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The potential “doji” star top on the Weekly was clearly negated with the market sporting another bullish continuation stick. The S&P
finished on the highs for the day and week. There is nothing remotely bearish about these candles….
Daily Weekly
8/13
bullish
cross
*It’s much more common for waves flowing in the same
direction to adhere to Fibonacci relationships.
f
d
b
g b?
“w” e “x”
c
-5-
c
a
-3-
a
“x” -1-
b -4-
d -2-
The “orthodox” crowd won’t like this count, but this is another good
b alternative. The prolonged congestion higher in the middle of the pattern
could have been one of those “diametrics” (seven-legged corrections). This
a wave count suggests more sideways or higher price action before we
conclude the wave up from early February. A break of 1175 would damage
e this idea.
“y”
c (X)
d
b
This sure looks like a triangle
g with a “thrust” that is just
“w” “x” beginning….
c e
-5-
c This overlapping price action in the middle of
the progression highly suggests the
a presence of a corrective “x” wave
-3-
a
-1-
-4-
-2-
The market held key support last week and now seems to have completed a
triangle b-wave. The “thrust” is just now underway, so it looks like the first few
b days of next week will have an upward bias.
(X)
a
-c- -b-
-d-
-a-
The triangle might
have concluded here.
-e-
b
f
-b- -c-
-a-
One good target for this setup would be 1237 for a = c. The “thrust” should achieve
75-125% of the widest part of the triangle. This would give a range between 1220 and
g 1236. The midpoint (100%) would give us 1228. If a triangle did conclude at either
“x” 1197.50 or 1201.50, then those levels should be solid support for the short
term/daytraders looking to ride this “thrust.”
-3-
2
-b-
3 c
“4”
5 e
“3”
-a-
d
-c-
b