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Shane Hensinger Case Study Design – The Intent of Iran’s Nuclear ProgramINTS 4735Josef Korbel School of International Studies – Universityof Denver
Abstract ................................................................................3Introduction ..........................................................................3Literature Review ................................................................4
Information provided by a governmental source: ............................................................ 5Office of the Director of National Intelligence, National Intelligence Council, National Intelligence Estimate: Iran: Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities ..................5IAEA, Information Circular: Communication dated 4 September 2009 received fromthe Resident Representative of the Islamic Republic of Iran to the Agency regardingthe implementation of safeguards in Iran.....................................................................6Information provided by a non-governmental source: .....................................................6Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation, Front and Center; Iran’s Nuclear Program: Time to Negotiate.........................................................................................6Institute of Science and International Security, Nuclear Iran: Not Inevitable:Essential Background and Recommendations for the Obama Administration ............7Arms Control Association, Chronology of Libya’s Disarmament and Relations withthe United States.......................................................................................................... 8The Washington Institute for Near East Policy; Carrots for Iran? Lessons fromLibya............................................................................................................................ 9Institute for Science and International Security; Misconceptions about Iran’s Nuclear Program ........................................................................................................ 10
Libya and Pakistan as a Multiple Case-Study ...................10Conclusion .........................................................................12Works Cited .......................................................................14
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Abstract
This case-study design is intended to present an introduction to the nature of the Iranian nuclear program – peaceful intent or non-peaceful intent. Using materials from a range of sources and amultiple case study looking at states which have developed nuclear weapons and those that haveabandoned their nuclear weapons programs, the goal is to provide illumination into the intent of the Iranian nuclear program.
Introduction
Over the past five years many in the global community have expressed increasing concern over the intent of Iran’s nuclear program. Reams of data from many different sources, governmental aswell as from non-governmental, have provided a wide range of differing conclusions on the intentof the Iranian nuclear program.As a signatory to the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) Iran is entitled to have a peacefulnuclear program (Text of the NPT). For the intents and purposes of this case-study design theresearch question is in the
intent
of Iran’s nuclear program. Numerous statements from Iran’sgovernment pledge that Iran is pursuing an exclusively peaceful program. Statements from NGOs, intelligence agencies of various states (including the United States) and organs of theUnited Nations indicate that Iran has been duplicitous in its presentations on its nuclear programand has attempted to evade the controls of the NPT and its enforcing arm – the InternationalAtomic Energy Agency (IAEA). The implication of evasiveness on Iran’s part is that Iran if seeking to defy the IAEA then it has something to hide – which would be pursuing a non- peaceful nuclear program.
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