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Americans for Prosperity Poll – Maryland’s First Congressional DistrictSurvey of 400 Likely Voters, MoE +/- 4.9%Conducted April 25-26, 2010 by Public Opinion StrategiesQA: Are you a registered voter?
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100% - YESQB: Are you, or is anyone in your household, employed by a newspaper, television orradio station, or a political party, or by a candidate for political office?
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100% - NOQC: I know it’s a long way off, but thinking about the election in November 2010 forGovernor, US Congress and various other local offices how likely would you say you areto vote in the November 2010 election?
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84% VERY LIKELY
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16% SOMEWHAT LIKELYQ1: Before we begin, just to be sure we have a representative sample, in what year wereyou born?
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3% - 18-24 years old
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11% - 25-34 years old
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20% - 35-44 years old
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23% - 45-54 years old
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18% - 55-64 years old
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23% - 65 +Q2: Would you say things in the country are going in the right direction, or have theypretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track?
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30% RIGHT DIRECTION
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62% WRONG TRACK
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7% NO OPINIONQ: Now, changing topics for a moment...I would like to read you some names of differentpeople active in politics here in Maryland. For each one, please tell me, first whetheryou've heard of the person; then, if so, please tell me whether you have a favorable orunfavorable impression of that person. If I name someone you don't know too muchabout, just tell me and we'll go on to the next one.
TOTAL HRD OF/ NEVER (DNR)HRD OF FAV UNFAV NO OPIN HEARD REF
The (FIRST/NEXT) name is...
(RANDOMIZE NAMES)
3. Andy Harris
81%
31% 22% 28% 19% –
4. Frank Kratovil
79%
34% 22% 23% 19% 2%
Q5: Which ONE of the following issues is currently MOST important to you in decidinghow to vote for US Congress? (Randomize)
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28% THE ECONOMY AND JOBS
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6% SOCIAL SECURITY AND MEDICARE
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7% EDUCATION
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12% HEALTH CARE
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6% MORAL VALUES
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2% TERRORISM AND HOMELAND SECURITY
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18% TAXES AND SPENDING
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9% BUDGET DEFICITS
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2% ILLEGAL IMMIGRATION
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2% THE ENIVRONMENT
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4% WARS IN IRAQ AND AFGHANISTAN
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1% NONE
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2% DON’T KNOWQ6: Now, thinking ahead to the November elections...If the election for Govenor werebeing held today, for whom would you vote...
(ROTATE)
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58% BOB EHRLICH, REPUBLICAN
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31% MARTIN O’MALLEY, DEMOCRAT
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9% Undecided
(DO NOT READ)
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2% Refused
(DO NOT READ)
Q7: Now, thinking about the election for U.S. Congress...If the election for United StatesCongress were being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were...
(ROTATE)
Andy Harris, Republican, Frank Kratovil, Democrat and Richard Davis,Libertarian?
(IF CHOICE, ASK:)
And would you DEFINITELY vote for (choice) or justPROBABLY for (choice)?
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23% DEFINITELY HARRIS
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16% PROBABLY HARRIS
39% TOTAL HARRIS
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19% DEFINITELY KRATOVIL
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17% PROBABLY KRATOVIL
36% TOTAL KRATOVIL
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3% DEFINITELY DAVIS
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3% PROBABLY DAVIS
6% TOTAL DAVIS
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* OTHER/INDEPENDENT CANDIDATE
(DO NOT READ)
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18% UNDECIDED
(DO NOT READ)
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1% REFUSED
(DO NOT READ)
Q8: As you may have heard, Congress recently passed a law to change the health caresystem. Based on what you know, do you favor or oppose the bill recently signed intolaw by President Obama?(IF FAVOR/OPPOSE, ASK:) And do you STRONGLY (favor/oppose) or onlySOMEWHAT (favor/oppose) the bill signed into law by President Obama?
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21% STRONGLY FAVOR
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14% SOMEWHAT FAVOR 35% TOTAL FAVOR
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11% SOMEWHAT OPPOSE
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46% STRONGLY OPPOSE 58% TOTAL OPPOSE
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7% DON’T KNOWQ9: Which of the following phrase comes closest to your opinion of the impact of theeconomic stimulus package passed by Congress and signed into law by President Obamalast year?
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30% The economic stimulus package is working to create jobs and pull theeconomy out of the recession.
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65% The economic stimulus package was just a government spendingprogram that did not create enough new jobs for the money.
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4% DON’T KNOW
(DO NOT READ)
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1% REFUSED
(DO NOT READ)
Q10: I'm going to read you two statements about the role of government, and I'd like toknow which one comes closer to your point of view....
(ROTATE)
Statement A: Government should do more to solve problems and help meet the needs of people.Statement B: Government is doing too many things better left to businesses andindividuals.
(PROMPT:)
Which statement comes closest to your opinion?
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43% GOVERNMENT SHOULD DO MORE
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53% GOVERNMENT IS DOING TOO MUCH
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4% DON’T KNOW
(DO NOT READ)
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1% REFUSED
(DO NOT READ)
Q11: Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the TEA Party Movement, or doyou really know enough about it to have an opinion?(IF FAVORABLE/UNFAVORABLE, ASK:) Would that be STRONGLY(favorable/unfavorable) or just SOMEWHAT (favorable/unfavorable)?
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22% STRONGLY FAVORABLE
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13% SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE 36% TOTAL FAVORABLE
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5% SOMEWHAT UNFAVORABLE
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