Professional Documents
Culture Documents
2010-06-18 15:37
To begin with let me first briefly explain to you, what TNCs or MNCs basically
are?
Very large multinationals have budgets that exceed some national GDPs.
Multinational corporations can have a powerful influence in local economies as
well as the world economy and play an important role in international relations
and globalization. It is beyond dispute that TNCs are now the leading vehicles
for economic globalization. According to UN Conference on Trade And
Development (UNCTAD). In 2002, global sales of TNCs reached $18 trillion for
world exports.
Throughout the past half century, states and international organizations have
continued to expand the codification of international human rights law protecting
the rights of individuals against governmental violations. In parallel with
increasing attention to the development of international criminal law as a response
to war crimes, genocide, and other crimes against humanity, there has been
growing attention to individual responsibility for grave human rights abuses. The
creators of this ever-larger web of human rights obligations, however, failed to
pay sufficient attention to some of the most powerful non state actors in the
world, that is, transnational corporations and other business enterprises. With
power should come responsibility and international human rights law needs to
focus adequately on these extremely potent international nonstate actors.
Over the last two decades, peoples' ability to borrow against their homes or
run up credit card balances during recessions has helped create an
appearance of a safer environment while actually making the economy more
fragile.
Petersen took time before his presentation for a phone interview to talk about
some of the more pervasive, and overlooked, issues he believes have
contributed to the current economic and financial crisis.
While the most visible signs of the current crisis include falling home prices,
increasing mortgage defaults and record unemployment, the seeds of today's
problems were planted well before the housing boom of the last decade,
Petersen says.
"A lot of what we call this economic and financial crisis are problems with
individuals having too much credit card debt and too much consumer debt,"
he said.
Consumer debt was relatively flat through the 1960s and '70s until about
1983, when the level of debt started to increase, Petersen said.
He noted that the 1991 and 2001 recessions were relatively mild, as
consumption dropped a bit. Unemployment never hit 8 percent in the
recession of the early 1990s, and it barely got above 6 percent in 2001,
Petersen said.
Normally, during recessions of the 1960s, '70s or early '80s, if employees lost
their jobs, they didn't have the ability to borrow against their houses because
home equity loans didn't exist and credit cards were scarce.
In later years, however, people who lost jobs could take out home equity
loans and run up credit card balances and continue consuming, which led to
recessions becoming less severe over the last couple of decades, Petersen
explained.
This tendency to borrow when times are tough and then borrow and buy more
when times get better causes debt to rise, Petersen said.
"That means that a buffer for rainy day is no longer there so when we have a
severe recession like we are in now, our savings essentially have been
consumed," he said.
This ability of middle America to borrow over the last two decades has created
the appearance of a "less risky and a safer" U.S. economy, and people in turn
have changed behaviors and saved less, Petersen said.
Whereas the average middle American in the 1960s put money in a savings
or checking account, today people put it in the stock market, "which is good
when it goes up, but a disaster when it collapses because that wealth
disappears," Petersen said.
One of the great joys that men in free societies have long enjoyed is
the ability to earn an honest wage for an honest day of work. In
particular, the amazing capitalist engine that powered the U.S.
economy for decade after decade greatly rewarded the incredible
hard work and industriousness of the American people. America
was known as the land of opportunity, and we built the largest
middle class in the history of the world by working incredibly hard.
But today, all of that is fundamentally changing. Thanks to rapid
advances in technology, and thanks to the globalization of the work
force, the labor of American workers is rapidly losing value.
Automation, robotics and computers have made many jobs obsolete.
Today one man can do the work that a hundred men used to do. Not
only that, but today American workers literally have to compete
against workers from all over the globe. Global corporations often
find themselves having to choose whether to build a factory in the
United States or in the third world. But in the third world workers
often earn less than 10% of what American workers earn,
corporations are often not required to provide any benefits to
workers, and there are usually hardly any oppressive government
regulations. How can American workers compete against that?
Other reason and not the least important for the deadly Global
Recession of 2007-2009 could be considered the exodus of Industrial
Production and related Capital Investment from the Most
Developed Countries and Markets such as US and EU into China
and India.
o Xinjiang attracts nearly 13 billion yuan of external investments in
Q1 - "External investments have played a crucial role in spurring
economic growth in Xinjiang Uighur Autonomous Region. Xinjiang
attracted nearly 13 billion yuan of external investments in the first quarter
of 2010, up nearly 46 percent from last year, marking the highest quarterly
growth rate of paid-in investments since the global financial crisis."
"China will adjust its monetary policy in accordance with changes of economic
indicators and feedbacks from policy implementation, said central bank
governor Zhou Xiaochuan Saturday.
Zhou made the remarks at a press conference held on the sidelines of the
annual session of the National People's Congress (NPC), the country's top
legislature.
China targets a rise of consumer price of around 3 percent this year,
according to the government work report delivered by Premier Wen Jiabao
Friday.
"It's difficult for us to anticipate all the possible scenarios and changes in
indicators. Therefore, our plicy will be adjusted according to changes in
economic indicators and feedbacks from implementation," said Zhou.
"We are going to continue with a moderately easy monetary policy but at the
same time closely follow inflation and changes in other economic indicators,"
he said, noting that inflation control will be very complicated this year.
China will enhance the focus and flexibility of the policy according to new
conditions and strike a balance between inflation expectation management
and maintaining a sound growth, he said."
Equity between generations, to much extent, is subject to ethical area. The current
generation, in moral sense, should avoid "eat rice from ancestors while break
future generations''pot". They have no right to overconsume and damage natural
environment and resources that the future generations will live in. This point was
made very clear in the World Committee on Environment and Development
Report. In its definition of sustainable development, that not to harm the future
generations to meet the need of their own was established as a condition.
Although capacity building of the current generation is helpful to equity between
generations, this equity however is not the most important problem to solve in the
area of capacity building.
The equity between different social members under the same generation is closer
related to sustainability. On the one hand, from the perspective of social justice,
it''s necessary that the society takes into consideration the poor''s interests so as to
reduce the gap between the rich and the poor. This was emphasized in the
Brundland Report. That is, The basic needs of the poor in the world should be put
at the top priority. On the other hand, equity between different social members
under the same generation is also a condition to sustainable development. It seems
that there is not much connection between equity and sustainability, or not so
direct. However by some analysis, can you find that different social
members''unequally possession of the resources is an important reason for
difficult sustainable development.This is because that even though the society in
general is rich in resources averagely speaking, yet the gap in term of resources
possession will force the social members short of resources to overuse or abuse
their limited resources to make a living. Since the environmental problems are
interrelated and intereffected, some part of unsustainability in the society will
likely lead to an overall sustainability. Therefore, equity is also a condition to the
sustainable development process.
From our analysis of the features of employment absorption and wage determination in the two
parallel urban labor markets we can make the judgment that the labor market in the newly
established sector determined by market forces represent the future direction of development. In
other words,the process of transformation from the SOE''s employment system to NES''s is the
process of the formation of the labor and wage system of the market economy. How will this
system transition take place? Since the two systems of labor and wage in the two kinds of sectors
dominate their respective labor market, the competition for laborers between these two kinds of
enterprises and therefore the expansion of one labor market and the reducement of another will
realize the transition from one system to another. This is the first form that the transition of
employment system will take. In the process of expansion and reducements of the two labor
markets, caused by the competition between the two kinds of enterprises, the traditional system of
the state sector will respond accordingly, namely by introducing reform in order to survive in the
competition and shift to a market economy. In this way the second form of system transition takes
place.
First, we will look into how the first system transition that is characterized by employment
transfers between the two kinds of enterprises occurs and the features of its transformation. If we
suppose the urban labor market is closed off for outsiders, laborers are distributed merely between
the SOEs and NESs. Chart 1 indicates the competitive relations between these two sectors as well
as the process of expansion and reducement of the two labor markets.The horizontal axis stands
for the labor volume. From O1 to the right, the labor volume of the SOEs can be measured; from
O2 to the left that of the NESs can be measured. The domain between O1 and O2stands for total
supply of labor. The vertical axis stands for the marginal productivity of labors or the wage level.
The curve tilting downwards from the right to the left is the curve of marginal productivity of
labors in the NESs. It tilts because their marginal productivity of labors decreases with the
increase of the employed labor''s size. At the same time, the marginal productivity of labors in the
SOEs increases with the number of workers leaving their enterprises.Thus, the curve tilting
downwards from the left to the right is the curve of marginal productivity of labors in the SOEs.
The curve that is steeper, is the curve of marginal productivity of labors in the SOEs under the
assumption that their wage level is determined by the market (see name in quotation marks). In
this situation, this curve intersects at the point A with the curve of the marginal productivity of
labors of NESs during their employed labor volume expansion. This means the wage level of the
two kinds of enterprises are equal to the point Wa, and the expansion of labors''volume in NESs no
longer continues. Then the labor''s volume in the SOEs is O1A while that of NESs is AO2.
Since the SOEs are overstaffed and wage is not determined by the marginal productivity of labors,
however, their curve of marginal productivity should be more flat (might be a horizontal beeline
without elasticity), i. e. the curve whose name is without quotation marks that intersects at the
point B with the curve of the marginal productivity of labors in the NESs. It is at this point that
NESs stop expanding their labor volume, here the wage rate is Wb. As the wage is determined
institutionally NESs need to pay higher wage to attract laborers; and the transformation of the
laborers from the SOEs to NESs becomes smaller. In the real laborer''s distribution, the laborer''s
volume employed by the SOEs is O1B instead of O1A, that for newly established enterprises is
BO2 instead of AO2. So the NESs are limited by their ability to pay higher wage, the difference
between labor volume they really employ and that they should employ is indicated by the distance
between A and B in the chart.
Our theoretical analysis reflect the reality of transformation of laborers between the two sectors.
One characteristic of NESs is very labor intense. It is not feasible for NESs to pay very high wage
to attract employees from SOEs if NESs are to keep their advantage in laborer''s resource. So
competition of employment is limited by the scope of their ability to pay high wages. Within this
scope, however, NESs can certainly attract relatively high qualified workers to form the backbone
of their enterprises without taking cost into account. As it is not possible for the NESs to obtain all
the laborers they need from the state sector it is necessary to have other channels to find labor. If
NESs had not have other such channels, this sector would not have been able to develop to the
present stage.
Our analysis above was made under the assumption that the urban labor market was closed off for
outsiders, in our further analysis we will give up this assumption. NESs obtain highly qualified
workers from the SOEs by paying higher wage in order to satisfy their needs for technology. The
other source is laborers with common skills from the rural areas.
The problem of the Rest of the World is the ideological almost blind
following of Marx's' Das Kapital financial system controlled by
the rules of trickle-down Capitalism that happen to be quite
impractical even when this system built North Americas, Great
Britain, France and Germany: Great Powers envied by anyone in
the World, however looking in History things sometime have to
change; it happened to Rome, Persia, Victorian Empires, and etc.,
thus change could be considered as ongoing now affecting different
countries and markets in different ways, but the trend is quite
similar ( In the Worlds short term history: once mostly
agriculturally driven GDP changed into mostly industrial
production driven GDP, now to change into mostly artificially
balanced Demand-to-Supply Market Economics GDP).
World Bank, IMF end Spring Meetings with solid step in voice reform"The World
Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) ended their Spring Meetings
in Washington on Sunday, with a solid step in the long-expected voice reform, a
cautious note on exit strategy and a call for global cooperation amid uncertain
recovery prospects. STRIDES IN VOICE REFORM The meetings approved a
plan to increase the developing countries' voting power in the International
Bank for Reconstruction and Development (IBRD) by 3.13 percentage points to
47.19 percent, representing a total shift of 4.59 percent to developing and
transition countries since 2008."
Rating Agency Data Aided Wall Street in Mortgage Deals"In essence,
banks started with the answers and worked backward, reverse-engineering
top-flight ratings for investments that were, in some cases, riskier than
ratings suggested, according to former agency employees. The major
credit rating agencies, Moodys, Standard & Poors and Fitch, drew
renewed criticism on Friday on Capitol Hill for failing to warn of the
dangers posed by complex investments like the one that has drawn
Goldman Sachs into a legal whirlwind. But while the agencies have come
under fire before, the extent to which they collaborated with Wall Street
banks has drawn less notice.
Profit of Bulgarian Banks Down by 37% in 2010 Q1 "The profit generated by the
Bulgarian banking system in the first quarter of 2010 amounts to BGN 170 M, which is a
37.2% drop year-on-year. At the same time, however, the profit of the Bulgarian banks
grew by 7.5% in January-March 2010 compared to the last quarter of 2009, showed data
of the Bulgarian National Bank released Thursday.
Fed chief: Joblessness, housing still problematic Despite a more stabilized
economy, he says, the U.S. is "far from being out of the woods."
"WASHINGTON Problems in the housing market and high
unemployment are the biggest economic challenges the nation faces,
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke said Wednesday. After suffering
through the worst recession since the 1930s, the economy seems to have
stabilized and is growing again, Bernanke said. But he warned: "We are
far from being out of the woods. Many Americans are still grappling with
unemployment or foreclosure or both." In prepared remarks to business
people in Dallas, Bernanke said he saw no evidence of a "sustained
recovery" in the housing market, noting that foreclosures keep rising.
Commercial real estate remains a trouble spot, too. The toughest problems
are in the job market. Even though layoffs have slowed, hiring is "very
weak," Bernanke said. He noted that unemployment, now at 9.7 percent, is
still close to its highest levels since the early 1980s."
ADDRESSING THE PARALYZED HOUSING MARKET
"Some in the US (especially the democrats) have been
calling for a housing stimulus bill that will help the
struggling home owners stay in their homes and also stop
the house prices from falling further. President Obama
recently announced an expected plan to fight a deepening
housing crisis by committing up to US 275 billion to stop
the wave of foreclosures sweeping the US. The plan aims
to help around 9 million American families. Under the
proposed plan a US 75 billion fund will be formed to reduce
the monthly payments for homeowners and provide them
a buffer of up to $ 6,000 against any decline in the value
of the houses. The treasury will also agree to double its
financial aid to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac enabling them
to play a bigger role in supporting the housing sector. The
aim is obviously to increase the confidence in Fannie and
Freddie ensuring the strength and security of the mortgage
market and to help maintain mortgage affordability.
G20 sounds warning note over new bank rules "One of the
lessons of the crisis is that facing global challenges we
need to have global answers," IMF Managing Director
Dominique Strauss-Kahn told the Romanian parliament
during a flying visit to Bucharest. "This lesson is about to
be lost," he said. The IMF chief said individual countries
were working on new regulations and creating new
supervisory bodies. "The only problem is, they don't fit
together," he added. The G20's steering countries said in a
letter to all group members that governments must
recommit and deliver on reforms they agreed to in
Pittsburgh."We all have a mutual responsibility to deliver
on all our commitments to address the weaknesses that
led to the financial crisis," the letter said."This will require
that we maintain our vigilance to address the required
reforms and guard against complacency as our economies
recover," it added. Bank of England director of financial
stability Andrew Haldane said it is possible that no amount
of capital or liquidity will be enough to totally shield
taxpayers as profit incentives may place risk one step
beyond regulation. "That means banking reform may need
to look beyond regulation to the underlying structure of
finance if we are not to risk another sparrow toppling the
dominos," Haldane said. PAY RULES PATCHY But G20
leaders said there can be no let-up on efforts to agree a
new set of bank capital and liquidity rules -- dubbed Basel
III -- for implementation by the end of 2012. They singled
out the need to still include a leverage ratio or cap in Basel
III as some countries like France have expressed concerns
about its impact. The letter also said all countries must
have adopted the existing Basel II bank capital framework
by 2011, a reminder to the United States which has yet to
implement it in full. They also reiterated the need to
regulate over-the-counter derivatives by the end of 2012
and implement the G20's principles aimed at curbing big
bonuses for excessive risk- taking at banks. The Financial
Stability Board, tasked by the G20 to implement its
regulatory pledges, said several countries have yet to fully
apply the remuneration principles. They were agreed in
part to help quell public outrage at the return of big
bonuses in a sector that had to be shored up by taxpayers
during the financial crisis. "Firms will need to maintain
momentum toward reforming their compensation practices
through 2010 and beyond," FSB Chairman Mario Draghi
said. Many of the major financial centers like the United
States, Britain, Germany, France, Japan and Hong Kong
have taken the regulatory or supervisory steps needed to
implement the code. Argentina, Brazil, Singapore, India,
Indonesia, Mexico, Russia and Turkey lag, the FSB said.
Sarkozy urges new world finance rules in US speech"Sarkozy wants the
United States to champion firm regulations of financial systems, from tax
havens to hedge funds. His ideas were shared by many in the immediate
wake of the financial crisis but momentum for dramatic changes has since
slowed. "We should invent a new global monetary order," he said
Monday, insisting that new regulations would "save capitalism."
US
U.S. rebound on good footing: Fed's Fisher (Reuters) - The U.S. economic
recovery is gathering speed as business activity picks up pace, despite
lingering weakness in employment, Dallas Federal Reserve Bank
President Richard Fisher said on Tuesday.
I'm Sure Glad The Recession Ended "It's a good thing the
recession ended. Otherwise, key economic charts might
look something like this.
Alternatives to appreciating the Chinese yuan "Recent debate has focused on
how to increase US exports and savings and increase Chinese imports and consumption
in order to correct the trade imbalance between the US and China. In America in
particular, focus has been placed on Chinese exchange rate policy. American leaders
would like the RMB to appreciate significantly and quickly. They hope that this would
lead to an increase in US exports and employment."
H-man - Thursday March 04, 2010 08:06AM EST "I was a manufacturing executive for
the past 30 years. I directly observed our manufacturing base disassembled and
outsourced. The pace only increased and unfortunately continues unabated. The
manufacturing jobs sent out of the country were much better paying than the service jobs
that replaced them. The bottom line is now Americans can no longer just "BUY
AMERICAN" and don't have the $ to do so anyway. Greed (Corporate, Political,
Individual) has killed the Amercian Dream.
The New Poor "Economists fear that the nascent recovery will leave more people
behind than in past recessions, failing to create jobs in sufficient numbers to absorb the
record-setting ranks of the long-term unemployed. Call them the new poor: people long
accustomed to the comforts of middle-class life who are now relying on public assistance
for the first time in their lives -- potentially for years to come."
Dearths of funds and delayed payments have forced the Micro and
Small Enterprise (MSE) sector to perform below capacity, a study conducted by
the industry lobby ASSOCHAM said Sunday. "Most of the MSEs are running at
close to 70 percent capacity utilization due to paucity of funds, arising out of
unduly delayed payment of their dues, resulting in serious suffocation," says the
ASSOCHAM study.
EU
Latin America
Some Latin Currencies May Be Too Strong
"That will be a big challenge, because right now the region gets only 2
percent of the world's overall investments in research and development,
compared with 28 percent received by Asian countries, according to
RICYT, a region-wide science and technology research network. While
China invests 1.4 percent of its gross domestic product in research and
development, Brazil is investing 1 percent, Argentina 0.6 percent, Mexico
0.4 percent and Colombia and Peru 0.1 percent, respectively, RICYT says.
Even more worrisome, the bulk of Latin America's investments in research
and development are state-funded projects on theoretical issues of no
commercial value. Consider this: While South Korea registered 80,000
patents worldwide last year, Brazil registered only 580, Mexico 330, and
Argentina 80, according to the World Intellectual Property Organization.
China
India, China to Reap Reward of Global Power Shift, "Roubini SaysThe
size of the emerging markets is going to become larger and larger, and its
going to become greater than the GDP of the United States, Roubini said.
It may take 20 to 30 years, depending on relative economic growth, but
the process will occur and we should get used to it.As the U.S., Europe
and Japan struggle to recover from the worst recession since World War
II, Indias main stock-market index has soared over the last 12 months and
its economy may grow 8.2 percent in the year starting April 1, the fastest
in two years, the Finance Ministry said in February. Chinese gross
domestic product grew 10.7 percent in the three months through
December, the quickest pace since the fourth quarter of 2007.China has
been a hare and India a tortoise but growth is accelerating in India,
Roubini said. Emerging markets are set for a V-shaped recovery, even as
India still has a massive need for human and financial capital as well as
economic-policy changes to achieve double-digit growth like China, he
said.
Its Chinas World Were Just Living in It "It's easy to forget that big international
bodies like the IMF and the World Bank were created by just a few nations, led by the
United States. These economic organizations have global reach, but that globe used to be
dominated by the American superpower, and their policies were suffused with U.S.
values. When Beijing was a small-stakes player its leaders didn't always like the setup,
but they lived with it, even facing down fierce grassroots opposition to join the World
Trade Organization. But now China has more worldwide clout, and public opinion at
home has taken on a combative (and sometimes downright jingoistic) tone. So with one
eye on China's national interests and the other on domestic critics accusing the regime of
"coddling" the West, Beijing has begun to push harder to reshape international systems to
make them more China-friendly (and, in the process, to raise the regime's chances of
survival).
China Exports Soar 45% Growth" CHINA reported Wednesday
exports soared for the third straight month in February.
The fastest pace in three years as most analysts believe it
could leave Beijing more open to a stronger yuan.
Overseas shipments grew 45.7 % on-year last month to
US$94.5 billion, the China customs bureau announced. The
consistent data cements a turnaround that began in
December when a year-long
The success of China and India is not because of the cheap labor only:
such cheap labor could be found around the Globe, neither it is because
of the vast population only: as a whole South America counts about
400M but could not succeed consistent economic growth, nor because of
"right time in history": for the last 20 years number of recessions have
plagued the World Economy (1999,2008 deadliest ), hence, why these
countries succeeded in economic growth even when recessions were
ongoing?
Countries with very strong Social policies and Wealth distribution and
redistribution? - Maybe just because in the modern Capitalism the
biggest problem is Wealth distribution and redistribution, maybe because
they ignored following the taboos of "trickle-down" economics and used
flexible economic policies "as it comes as it goes", maybe because the
Great Industrial Nations of US, Japan and some in EU were not flexible
enough in adjusting their Economic policies to succeed Economics
growth, maybe because the Big Internationals and Big Inverstors moved
to China and India as a better choice: ther consistent at the same time
flexible economic policies, social stability, vast population, work ethics
and discipline, or finally, may be because China and India pretty much
ignored the Parish Club, the World Bank and the IMF in the ways they
conducted their Economic Policies: supported by strong foreign
investments they changed the rules of the economic game "as it comes:
as it goes": example is the devaluation of the Chinese Currency, the
strong business and financial laws against Corporate Risk Management
fraud, and etc.
India
"Industrial output in February grew at a slower rate of 15.1 percent,
official data showed on Monday. The production in January
was 16.7 percent. The index of industrial production (IIP),
which measures factory output, stood at 10.1 percent
during April 2009-February 2010 against 3 percent in the
same period of 2008-09, data released by the Central
Statistical Organisation showed. While basic goods grew
8.4 percent during the period under review, capital goods
grew 44.4 percent. Consumer durables and consumer non-
durables recorded growth of 29.9 percent and 2.3 percent
respectively."
sector should be given by April 2010 Read more.... Many of the govt.
The exodus of Capital from North America and E.U. had a deadly
effect on their Fiscal Quantities (GDP of any country in the World
and the most of Developed Industrialized Nations is based mostly on
Industrial Production and Return On Investment ROI mostly from
Industrial Production).
Japan, Germany and France succeeded in retaining some of their
High Tech Industrial Production but both Japan and Germany
among others were overrun by China: Japan as the Biggest World
Economy and Germany as the Biggest Industrial Exporter, however
Germany, France and Japan have balanced their internal demand
by strong Social and Infrastructural Policies much better then many
other countries have done it.
Japan
Applications for employment adjustment subsidies fall in Feb The government
grants subsidies to companies which have opted to maintain employment
instead of dismissing workers by shortening the hours they work, for example.
The subsidies are to make up for a wage decrease resulting from shorter
working hours. The number of workers for whom subsidies were applied came
to 1,608,149, down 119,066 from January, the ministry said.
The Global Debt Bomb: "Today Japan can borrow all it wants
from its own citizens. Over the decades they have dutifully
(if mechanically) piled up a $7.7 trillion cache of savings
they keep mostly in low-yielding bank deposits. Those
savings equal two-thirds of the total household wealth of
Germany, France and the U.K. combined, says John
Richards, North American head of strategy at RBS"
By Roland Buerk
BBC News, Tokyo
Japanese exports are rising, but deflation at home is cause for concern
Japan has been in deflation for 12 straight months, figures released by the government show.
Prices fell by 1.2% in February from a year earlier, threatening the country's recovery from
recession.
Japan's economy has been periodically plagued by deflation since the "lost decade" of the 1990s,
which led to years of stagnation.
The prospect that goods will become cheaper in the future makes consumers reluctant to buy
today.
Downward trend The latest figures - where the core consumer price index fell by 1.2% - is not as
bad as in previous months.
Germany
Euro zone deal points to a more German Europe (Reuters) - The masks have fallen. From
now on, we will all be living in a more German Europe, with economic policy driven by
Berlin's hair-shirt export-or-die model. That is the lesson of a deal among euro zone
leaders on a financial safety net for debt-stricken Greece, adopted largely on German
conditions on Thursday after months of wrangling that battered confidence in the single
European currency." The politics of the EU are undergoing a fundamental change at
present, with Germany becoming increasingly willing to cast off the shackles of the past
and make its voice heard," said RBS analyst Timothy Ash in a research note.
China And Germany Unite To Impose Global
Deflation Chindia, invented by Jairam Ramesh, an Indian
politician, to describe the composite new Asian giant. Let
me introduce you to Chermany, a composite of the worlds
biggest net exporters: China, with a forecast current
account surplus of $291bn this year and Germany, with a
forecast surplus of $187bn (see chart).
MF: German economy to grow faster than
expected The International Monetary Fund is cautiously
optimistic for Europe's biggest economy this year. It
expects the German economy to expand by 1.5 percent in
2010. Global growth is estimated at 3.9 percent.
(26.01.2010
German economy records biggest slump in post-war
history The Federal Statistics Office announced on
Wednesday that Germany's largely export-driven economy
recorded its biggest-ever decline since World War II last
year. The country also breached the EU's deficit limit.
(13.01.2010)
Breakthrough thrombosis drug wins German
innovation prize A German research group has
developed new thrombosis medication that can make life a
lot easier for patients and doctors alike. The scientists
were rewarded with the German Innovation Prize for their
work. (03.12.2009)
France
2010 will be a slightly better year than 2009 for industry and service sector companies in the Ile-
de-France region which includes Paris and the surrounding area. According to the Bank of
France's annual report - based on a survey of some 2,000 companies - 2009 was a year of stark
decline in both sectors. But for 2010, companies are expecting business volume to rise again -
slowly but surely.
The Ile-de-France region is particularly dependent on big companies which have a high degree of
international exposure, and it has suffered from the global crisis, the Bank of France says in its
report.
But it expects the region's industrial activity to see an upsurge of some three per cent in 2010. The
companies rely on consumer borrowing to individual households, which has remained stable.
But there was a sharp decline in investment in 2009. Rejecting claims this might hinder growth
this year, the bank's regional director Bernard Tedesco said, If were dealing with full order
books, growth can happen quickly. Investment activities have simply been postponed. And never
have conditions been as favourable for companies as now, with interest rates at a historic low.
But the outlook for employment remains grim, according to the report.
In 2009 companies in the region laid off 4.5 per cent of their staff, and another 1.4 per cent are
likely to lose their jobs this year.
Low profits mean that the CEOs are cautious. The job sector will be the last one to grow, says
the report.
The study was conducted among 1,022 companies from the industrial sector (producers of
industrial or electronic machines, textile, automobile, consumer goods), as well as among 947
service sector companies (transport, merchandising, computer engineering, temporary work). In
the Ile-de-France region, more than 300,000 people are employed in these two sectors.
Industry:
Business volume: -12.3 % (2009), +3.0 % (2010)
Export volume: -13.6 % (2009), +2.8 % (2010)
Service sector:
Business volume: -5.2 % (2009), +1.7 % (2010)
Export volume: -10.8 %, -5.6 % (2010)
The information and links provided above are to prove that the new
trend in Economics differs from the trickle-down Capitalism: just
because there is not trickle-down of capital to the US market but
only trickle-up and trickle-down capital to the Chinese market, also
to prove that all tools of economics are to be randomly used as it
comes as: as it goes as these are used in China and India instead of
ideologically used as in US. Pragmatism is about to rule the Science
of Economics to the rest of this Century.
Engines of growth
Debt-GDP Ratio's - Major economies
EUs economy is contracting now for the last 18 months. The burden of the
Welfare State is not reducing. EUs populations are not scaling down their
expectations. Who will pay for these gold-plated services, that Europeans
consider is their birthright.
The Chinese+ASEAN economies depend on exports to US and European markets
for growth. With these bankrupt economies as customers, the outlook for
China+ASEAN is questionable. Middle East depends on US+EU for security,
banking, monetary and fiscal management.
That leaves the global economy with Brazil, Africa India and Russia as engines
for growth
There have been many indications that the process of running fiscal shortages
for many countries cannot be reverse by using current Economics of
Production based trickle-down Capitalism, because the Production based
Economics is generally founded on industrial production that adds the highest
percentage to any country GDP (General Domestic Product) and the
consequential fiscal reserves for a country or a market to develop most
definitely such country following the economics of production must
industrialize, or for an industrialized country such must keep being Globally
competitive in industrial production to maintain intact its deficit. The
Globalization of the market place propelled by the great Capitalization and the
rising Productivity have boosted the economies of China and now India to
industrialize rapidly, that industrial power added greatly to the current
industrialized economies of Japan, Germany, US capacity by how the Global
industrial production capacity overall is coming to a point of great
concentration of such industrial production into a very few industrialized
economies. The possibilities for other small or even big countries to become
competitive in industrial production and maintain their fiscal policies and
reserves in tact are diminishing.
SEE: Market Economics
From the Most Industrialized Economies US is particularly vulnerable under
these new Global developments of ongoing exodus of industrial production
and capital investment to the Far East. The Capitalism of US Economics is
very inept in distributing and redistributing Wealth so to speak the demand
side of Capitalism correlates the supply and works well in a close
marketplace in size of US market when trickle-down capital first trickle-up
to concentrate wealth then comes down to create industrial production, but
than when such trickle-down does not go to the US market but to elsewhere
the shortage of consumption cannot be avoided, following in not properly
balancing demand-to-supply, thus, to avoid economic catastrophes US
Government steps up with infusing capital into the system: exactly what
happen at the last Great Recession of 2007-2009. Also in time of narrowing
ROI (Return Of Investment) particularly for the SME (Small & Medium
Enterprises) and from the SMI (Small & Medium Investors), in time of
Governmental policies promoting and tolerating pro Big Business and Big
Investors deregulated trickle-down Capitalism which were mostly the only
ones benefiting from the ongoing Globalization, the possibilities in such times
for occurrences of Economic Bubbles are quite common. The 1999 Stock
Exchange Bubble and the 2007 Great Recession are products of appointed
lack of Wealth Distribution. Thus become obvious that the Government in
situations like that step into actions by infusing capital, save even individual
businesses and prompt social distribution: The Healthcare Reform, the
Finance Reform, and the US SME Tax Reform are good examples how the
system in distress works, though the consequences are up to be seen. It is
hard to believe that the US Government could constantly manage the
Economy and create business. In the Next Recession the Government will
appropriate more function in financing and business that overall is a scary
preposition having in mind how inflexible and inept a Government could be.
SEE: "Business Exchange - Market Economy"
Environmental pollution and Earth exhaustion of resources under the current
production economics based on industrial production mainly is unavoidable,
because when even most developed industrialized nations could introduce and
follow policies of protecting the environment, or even the developing nations
of China and India follow up which is highly doubtful, there are many
countries that will try to manage their fiscal shortages by compromising the
rules for Environmental protection thus they can bring to their soil industrial
production. In the World of ROI mostly from Industrial Production the prices
of Environmental protection technologies are making businesses hardly
competitive to others that do not implement these. Pollution comes also from
cutting and burning woods to farm or from heating with coal, or from driving
old autos, or from dispose sewers into open rivers. So to speak, without
curbing on the Global poverty can not be ways to curbing on pollution. But to
curb on poverty industrialization cannot be used thus the possibilities for
saving the World from Environmental disaster by using industrial production
are highly unlike.
SEE: "Environmental Issues of Market Economics"
To avoid multiple economic crashes and upheaval, to avoid The Government
take over when next recessions, to avoid fiscal shortages and deficit,
unemployment and poverty, to avoid Environmental destruction a new system
of economics is needed, one that will allow countries to develop without being
industrialized.
Is it possible to manage Global development without using current production
based economics system?
Well the most recent US and any Governments infusion of monetary
quantities, business involvement and social distribution of wealth is not
based on production economics.
The Chinese approaches in handling Economy is not production based
only economics: their interference in the ways trickle-down capital
works in the marketplace does not follow Capitalism but is more-like
artificial flexible usage of economic tools.
The Greece bailout by the EU and IMF is not trickle-down economics;
it is an interference with the powers of the Capitalism.
There are many more examples of how Governments and organization
interfere with freely flowing Capital and therefore using artificial
methods of economics.
At the moment he mounting debt accumulated by almost any country in the
World horrify economists and they predict imminent bust-and-doom (there
was a suggestion by some German politicians to Greece to sell some Greek
islands, but then funds has been appropriated help Greece). Though
economists should be horrified only from high imbalance of demand-to-
supply ratios, which imbalance provokes inflations and deflations; thus
should be the biggest concern to the Global Financial Institutions instead
these are fighting deficit and debt: these institution as mentioned above are
acting more-like a lender then a controller these should be. If the Global
marketplace is seen in its vastness as a common marketplace a mass
industrialization should not be expected and cannot be achieved therefore.
Thus, for balancing demand-to-supply ratios, the Monetary Policies should
be used instead industrializing the entire Earth. Comprehensive Monetary
Policies by Global Financial Institutions flexibly using Monetary Quantities as
Economic tools and Business and Financial Regulations as enhancing
business security are the way to Rome only.
Less Governmental involvement in business, more business laws and
regulations on business contracting, business and project bonding, intellectual
properties laws, risk management personal liability laws, and etc, these the
supplements to an appropriate Monetary Policies: because these regulatory
actions will enhance SME and SMI security and make these much more
adequate to be financed.
Low interest rate financing and subsidizing are economic tools to be used by
a Global Financial System in promoting environmentally friendly renewable
energies and agriculture, environmental tourism and sustained growth. This
new financial system must use commercial banks to invest in countries on
project by project basis on set matrix and low margin.
joshua.konov@gmail.com
Joshua Konov, 2010
https://sites.google.com/site/econo
micsofmarket/
About Me
Joshua Konov Chicago, United States In the University my most powerful discipline was
Philosophy and ever since I have been writing in. Thus 33 years has passed. View my
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Joshua Konov,2010