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Goldman America Analysis

Goldman America Analysis

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Published by Zain Khwaja

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Published by: Zain Khwaja on Jun 25, 2010
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06/02/2011

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China: A Tale of Three SwanSongs
Posted by: asiablues
Post date: 03/25/2010 - 21:07 
The yuan-induced heated debatesprompted two prominenteconomists--Paul Krugman and Je
rey Frankel--to come up withtwo versions of swan songs forChina. Ironically, the two, howeverdiverging, could still lead to thesame "next black swan" scenariowarned by Albert Edwards atSocGen last November.
What Healthcare Success?
Posted by: Bruce Krasting
Post date: 03/25/2010 - 17:56 
I get screwed, again.
A Greek Sigh of Relief?
Posted by: Leo Kolivakis
Post date: 03/25/2010 - 21:06 
As Greeks celebrated ascaled-down parade forIndependence Day, an IMF-EUaccord was reached in Brussels, butmany questions remain. China iswatching nervously, increasinglyworried about the large chunk of its$2.4 trillion (£1.6 trillion) of foreignreserves held in eurozone bonds.No wonder Trichet reversed courseand came out in support of thedeal...
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Here Come HigherTaxes: Goldman OnImminent TaxIncreases
Submitted byTylerDurdenon03/25/2010 14:26-0500
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You didn't think Chinawould fund America'sinsane spendorama forever, did you. Here's
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Here Come Higher Taxes: Goldman On Imminent Tax Increases ...http://www.zerohedge.com/article/here-come-higher-taxes-gol...1 of 5510-03-26 4:51 AM
 
Goldman on the second,and much more relevant,part of Obamacare andthe stock market reflationtrade: tax rates goingthrough the roof.
 Tax policy has gainedattention in recent days asa result of the tax increasesused to pay for healthreform. In fact, this is justone of several potential taxdebates over the nextseveral months, with theexpiration of the2001/2003 tax cuts andstimulus tax provisionsscheduled for year end,proposed and recentlyenacted corporate taxproposals, and thepossibility of some form of consumption tax on energyor, in the longer term, abroader value added tax.There is little possibility of changes for 2010, apartfrom the expiration of some stimulus-relatedprovisions, but tax rates in2011 are almost sure torise on higher incomes aswell as capital income. Oneconsideration forlawmakers will be thedi
erent e
ect that taxpolicy can have in a zerointerest rate environment.This may reduce thenegative e
ects associatedwith increased taxation of labor and capital, but couldexacerbate the negativee
ect of any increase inconsumption-relatedtaxes.The passage of healthreform has done two thingsto focus attention on tax
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03-25 22:03:Leucadia National's CFO shed 98% of hisdirect stake, Barrons.com says03-25 22:02:Warner Chilcott could climb another 30% inthe next year, Barrons says03-25 22:01:Barrons.com thinks investors can do betterthan buying Best Buy03-25 22:00: Jim Cramer's "Mad Money"03-25 20:58:Somaxon 6M share Secondary priced at$8.2503-25 20:56:NetLogic 5.89M share Secondary priced at$28.8503-25 20:55:Consol Energy 38.5M share Secondarypriced at $42.5003-25 17:33:Magellan Petroleum to acquire an interestin Evans Shoal natural gas field03-25 16:49:AAR to acquire Aviation Worldwide Servicesfor $200M03-25 16:37:Brinker to sell On The Border Mexican Grill& Cantina brand
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03-26 03:14:Greek/German 10-year government bondyield spread tightens 7.2 BPS to 305 BPS03-26 03:11:ECB says Eurosystem covered bondpurchase total EUR 43.469bln03-26 03:11:ECB says EUR 62mln borrowed usingovernight loan facility, EUR 207.308bln deposited03-26 03:10:China vice minister says should keep majorcurrencies stable since financial crisis is not over yet03-26 03:09:SAP (SAP GY) backs 2010 guidance03-26 03:04:Citigroup (C): US Treasury is consideringselling stake in parts, according to a report03-26 03:01:New BOJ board member Miyao says willmaintain very easy monetary policy03-26 02:59:Spain Mortgages on Houses (Jan) Y/Y 2.3%vs. Prev. -1.3%
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Here Come Higher Taxes: Goldman On Imminent Tax Increases ...http://www.zerohedge.com/article/here-come-higher-taxes-gol...2 of 5510-03-26 4:51 AM
 
policy. First, it included anumber of taxes to financea portion of the newspending the package callsfor. Second, it clears theagenda for the broaderdebate on tax policy thatwill begin in the next fewweeks when Congress takesup its budget blueprint for2011, which will lay thegroundwork for theextension of some, but notall, of the tax cutsscheduled to expire laterthis year.Tax policy over the nextyear is likely to see moresubstantial changes than atany point since 2001, andis likely to see taxation risemore than any point since1993. After several years of relative stability in taxpolicy (the stimuluslegislation was the oneexception), the next fewyears will require decisionson several fronts:Financing of healthreform. Just under aquarter of thenancing for the newspending in thehealth bill comesfrom an increase inthe Medicare payrolltax rate on incomeover $250,000 (forcouples) and theaddition of a new taxof 3.8% on “unearnedincome” whichincludes most formsof income outside of wages, includingcapital gains,dividends, andinterest. These taxincreases arescheduled to takee
ect at the start of 2013. The bill alsoincludes $210 billion1.
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Here Come Higher Taxes: Goldman On Imminent Tax Increases ...http://www.zerohedge.com/article/here-come-higher-taxes-gol...3 of 5510-03-26 4:51 AM

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