Unit 6.

4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability

Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Unit 6.4 - Data Analysis and Probability

Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

How can data be

manipulated to How can I express
communicate a particular probability?
message?

6.1.1- Make conjectures and predictions

based on data. 6.5.1 - Determine the theoretical
probability of simple and compound event
6.5.2 - Identify features of graphs that may in familiar contexts.
be misleading.
6.5.3 - Determine whether or not a sample
is biased.
 Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Month Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Week
Day Daily Learning Objectives
State Performance Topical Essential Vocabulary and Assessment
Indicators Questions Reference Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to…
Define: Statistics, data
6.4.1 - Calculate and evaluate how measures of analysis
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central tendency describe data. How can data be Data, datum

manipulated to Raw data
communicate a Frequency table
particular message? Components of a table
Stem-and-leaf plot
6.4.2 - Select the appropriate measure of center to Line plot
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describe a data set. Categorical vs. numerical

data

Measures of Central
6.4.3 - Match a data set to the correct circle graph.
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Tendency
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Mean (Average)
Median
Mode
6.4.4 - Interpret circle graphs. Range

Outlier
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Minimum
Maximum

Types of Graphs:
Line
Bar
Benchmark Focus Double Bar
Histogram
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Pictograph
Pie/Circle
(knowing when to use
them)
 Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Day
Month
Week

Daily Learning Objectives

State Performance Topical Essential Vocabulary and Assessment
Indicators Questions Reference Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to…
6.4.5 - Identify the population and sample in a
February 2011

data collection method. 6.5.3 - Determine Key

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whether or not a sample Trends

6.4.6 - Determine whether or not a sample is is biased. How can data be Discrepancy
manipulated to Scale
biased.
communicate a Interval
particular message? Surveys
6.4.7 - Analyze the data on a graph to make a
6.1.5- Make conjectures Polls
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conjecture and/or infer the projected

and predictions based Sample
outcome(s) in a contextual situation.
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on data. Bias
6.4.8 - Analyze the features of a graph to
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6.5.2 - Identify features

determine what may be misleading. of graphs that may be
misleading.
March 2011

6.4.8 continued
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Benchmark Focus
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 Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Month Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Week
Day Daily Learning Objectives State Topical
Assessment
*If time allows- Performance Essential Vocabulary and Reference
Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to… Indicators Questions
6.4.9 - Determine the likelihood of everyday events The probability of an event is a
number between zero and one that
using the language of probability. How can I express
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expresses
probability? the likelihood of an occurrence.

The probability of an occurrence

is the ratio of the number of
6.4.10 - Express simple probabilities as actual occurrences to
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the number of possible

3 of 6 (Week of 3/7) Week of Spring Break

percentages, decimals, fractions, or odds. occurrences.

(with review of fractions, decimals, P (x) = (Chances for)/(Total
percent conversions) chances)
6.4.10 continued
 Understand different ways of
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expressing probabilities--as
March 2011

percentages, decimals, or
6.5.1 - Determine the
odds. Example: If the probability
theoretical of rain is .6, the weather
6.4.11 - Calculate the probability of an occurrence
probability of simple forecaster could say that there
given the probability it will not occur and is a 60% chance of rain or that
and compound event
vice versa. the odds of rain are 6:4 (or
in familiar contexts.
3:2). Odds: (Chances for) :
(Chances against)

 If p is the probability that an

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event will occur, then 1 – p is

the probability that it will
not occur. Example: If the
probability of rain is 60%, then
the probability that it will not
rain is 100% – 60% = 40%.
(Equivalently, 1 – .60 = .40.)

Sample Space as the set of all

possible outcomes; probability
tree diagram
 Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Month Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Week
Day Daily Learning Objectives State Topical
Assessment
Performance Essential Vocabulary and Reference
Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to… Indicators Questions
Independent event: two events do not affect
each other, such as flipping a coin twice.
6.4.12 - List the possible outcomes for a How can I use
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single event. data to make Dependent event: the preceding event affects
good predictions the outcome of the proceeding event, such as
about what pulling colored marbles from a bag.
might happen in
6.4.13 - Create a sample space and Mutually exclusive: when two events cannot
6.5.1 - Determine the future? happen at the same time.
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determine the probability of a

the theoretical
single-event, given a simple
probability of Simple event: the probability of one event
experiment. occurring
simple and
Compound events: the probability of two or more
compound event in independent events occurring  multiply the
6.4.14 - List the possible outcomes for
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familiar contexts. probabilities

compound events. P(A and B) = P(A) x P(B)
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March 2011

Probability is the chance or likelihood that an event

6.4.15 - Estimate the probability of can happen; always has a value between 0 and 1; can
compound events through be represented as a fraction, decimal, or percent.
experimentation or simulation.
A compound event is when two or more events take
place at the same time. When we have a compound
event, we can use a rule to find the total number of
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possible outcomes.

Instead of drawing a tree diagram to show all of the

possible outcomes, we can use the Fundamental
Counting Principle. To use the FCP, you just multiply
together the number of possibilities for each event.

The FCP says that the total number of outcomes is the

total number of choices for each situation or event.
Benchmark Focus
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 Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Month Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Week
Day

Daily Learning Objectives State Topical

Assessment
*If time allows- Performance Essential Vocabulary and Reference
Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to… Indicators Questions
The probability of an event is a
number between zero and one that
6.4.16 - Calculate the theoretical probability How can I express
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expresses
of independent and dependent 6.5.1 - Determine the probability? the likelihood of an occurrence.
compound events. theoretical
The probability of an occurrence
probability of simple
is the ratio of the number of
and compound event actual occurrences to
6.4.16 continued
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March 2011

in familiar contexts. the number of possible

occurrences.
P (x) = (Chances for)/(Total
chances)
6.4.17 - Determine the total number of
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 Understand different ways of

5 of 6 (Week of 3/28)

possible outcomes for a compound expressing probabilities--as

event by using the fundamental percentages, decimals, or
counting principle. odds. Example: If the probability
Benchmark Focus of rain is .6, the weather
forecaster could say that there
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is a 60% chance of rain or that

the odds of rain are 6:4 (or
3:2). Odds: (Chances for) :
(Chances against)
Interim Assessment 3
 If p is the probability that an
event will occur, then 1 – p is
the probability that it will
April 2011

not occur. Example: If the

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probability of rain is 60%, then

the probability that it will not
rain is 100% – 60% = 40%.
(Equivalently, 1 – .60 = .40.)

Sample Space as the set of all

possible outcomes; probability
tree diagram

There is time for a performance task, such as a survey or probability project, where students also learn how to construct a circle graph.
 Unit 6.4 – Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Organizing data can help us better recognize patterns and make predictions.

Day
Month
Week

Daily Learning Objectives State Topical

Assessment
*If time allows- Performance Essential Vocabulary and Reference
Evidence
KIPPsters will be able to… Indicators Questions
Benchmark Focus
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Benchmark Focus
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April 2011
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Benchmark Focus
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April 2011

Benchmark Focus
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Benchmark Focus
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