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Analysis of Uganda's Electricity Access Situation

Analysis of Uganda's Electricity Access Situation

Ratings: (0)|Views: 398 |Likes:
Published by Donna Namujju
An analysis of the problems accounting for Uganda's low electricity diffusion rate and a systems dynamics model showing how Uganda’s power sector is expected to evolve over a period of 80 years in terms of power supply and demand given the existing market structure and prevailing local conditions.
An analysis of the problems accounting for Uganda's low electricity diffusion rate and a systems dynamics model showing how Uganda’s power sector is expected to evolve over a period of 80 years in terms of power supply and demand given the existing market structure and prevailing local conditions.

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Published by: Donna Namujju on Jul 08, 2010
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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11/05/2012

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original

 
 
2009
 
MSc.
 
Thesis
 
Author:
 
Donna
 
Namujju
 
(1385925)
 
Thesis
 
submitted
 
in
 
partial
 
fulfillment
 
of 
 
the
 
requirements
 
for
 
the
 
degree
 
of 
 
Masters
 
in
 
Engineering
 
&
 
Policy
 
Analysis
 
Delft
 
University
 
of 
 
Technology
 
August
 
2009
 
Scaling up Uganda’s Electricity Access
 
 
Page
 
|
 
i
 
Title
 
:
 
Scaling
 
Up
 
Uganda’s
 
Electricity
 
Access
 
Author(s)
 
:
 
Donna
 
Namujju
 
Date
 
:
 
August
 
2008
 
Professor(s)
 
:
 
Prof.dr.ir.
 
W.A.H.
 
Thissen
 
Supervisor(s)
 
:
 
Dr.
 
E.
 
Pruyt,
 
Dr.
 
L.J.
 
de
 
Vries,
 
Gonenc
 
Yucel
 
Section
 
:
 
Faculty
 
of 
 
Technology,
 
Policy
 
and
 
Management
 
Section
 
for
 
Engineering
 
&
 
Policy
 
Analysis
 
Delft
 
University
 
of 
 
Technology
 
Copyright
 
©2009
 
Section
 
for
 
Engineering
 
and
 
Policy
 
Analysis
 
 All 
 
rights
 
reserved.
 
No
 
 parts
 
of 
 
this
 
 publication
 
may 
 
be
 
reproduced,
 
stored 
 
in
 
a
 
retrieval 
 
system,
 
or 
 
transmitted,
 
in
 
any 
 
 form
 
or 
 
by 
 
any 
 
means,
 
electronic,
 
mechanical,
 
 photocopying,
 
recording,
 
or 
 
otherwise,
 
without 
 
the
 
 prior 
 
written
 
 permission
 
of 
 
the
 
author 
 
or 
 
the
 
section
 
 for 
 
engineering
 
and 
 
 policy 
 
analysis
 
 
Page
 
|
 
ii
 
 Abstract 
 
Access
 
to
 
power
 
is
 
tied
 
to
 
any
 
country’s
 
development.
 
It
 
provides
 
opportunities
 
for
 
increased
 
social
 
welfare,
 
education,
 
health
 
and
 
income
 
generating
 
opportunities
 
all
 
of 
 
which
 
Uganda
 
needs.
 
Uganda’s
 
economic
 
development
 
is
 
being
 
stifled
 
by
 
power
 
inaccessibility.
 
Electricity
 
access
 
levels
 
are
 
as
 
low
 
as
 
9%
 
nationally.
 
The
 
study
 
was
 
aimed
 
at
 
building
 
a
 
working
 
theory
 
on
 
the
 
internal
 
setup
 
and
 
inner
 
workings
 
of 
 
Uganda’s
 
power
 
sector,
 
using
 
this
 
theory
 
to
 
facilitate
 
a
 
better
 
understanding
 
of 
 
how
 
elements
 
of 
 
the
 
power
 
system
 
contribute
 
to
 
the
 
problem
 
and
 
the
 
formulation
 
of 
 
effective
 
policies
 
that
 
take
 
into
 
account
 
prevailing
 
local
 
conditions
 
to
 
remedy
 
the
 
situation.
 
System
 
dynamics
 
methodology
 
was
 
applied
 
to
 
build
 
a
 
model
 
showing
 
how
 
Uganda’s
 
power
 
sector
 
is
 
expected
 
to
 
evolve
 
over
 
a
 
period
 
of 
 
80
 
years
 
in
 
terms
 
of 
 
power
 
supply
 
and
 
demand
 
given
 
the
 
existing
 
market
 
structure
 
and
 
prevailing
 
local
 
conditions.
 
Findings
 
from
 
the
 
study
 
show
 
that
 
while
 
physical
 
access
 
to
 
power
 
is
 
a
 
big
 
problem,
 
major
 
problems
 
regarding
 
the
 
nature
 
of 
 
power
 
accessed
 
exist
 
for
 
those
 
consumers
 
within
 
the
 
grid
 
covered
 
area:
 
Insufficient
 
power
 
supply
 
to
 
meet
 
an
 
existing
 
and
 
growing
 
power
 
demand,
 
an
 
unreliable
 
power
 
supply
 
and
 
high
 
power
 
service
 
costs.
 
On
 
top
 
of 
 
the
 
obvious
 
reasons
 
of 
 
Uganda’s
 
lack
 
of 
 
cheap
 
high
 
value
 
primary
 
energy
 
resources,
 
poor
 
investment
 
climate
 
so
 
few
 
suppliers
 
and
 
limited
 
negotiating
 
power
 
for
 
the
 
regulator,
 
the
 
study
 
finds
 
the
 
biggest
 
cause
 
to
 
be
 
the
 
nature
 
of 
 
the
 
existing
 
capacity
 
planning
 
process
 
in
 
terms
 
of 
 
how
 
future
 
capacity
 
requirements
 
are
 
determined
 
and
 
the
 
agreements
 
made
 
with
 
generators
 
as
 
to
 
how
 
and
 
when
 
they
 
fulfill
 
their
 
investment
 
obligations.
 
Policies
 
to
 
do
 
with
 
gradual
 
targeted
 
reduction
 
of 
 
Uganda’s
 
extremely
 
high
 
power
 
losses,
 
obligatory
 
upfront
 
capacity
 
investment
 
as
 
opposed
 
to
 
spreading
 
the
 
investment
 
over
 
the
 
period
 
of 
 
the
 
awarded
 
concession,
 
among
 
others,
 
are
 
explored
 
to
 
determine
 
their
 
impact
 
on
 
system
 
performance.
 
The
 
investigated
 
policies
 
highlight
 
how
 
slight
 
changes
 
to
 
the
 
capacity
 
planning
 
process
 
requiring
 
little
 
or
 
no
 
investment
 
could
 
yield
 
significant
 
gains
 
on
 
the
 
problems
 
identified.
 
Keywords:
 
Energy
 
policy,
 
electricity
 
access,
 
power
 
supply,
 
power
 
demand,
 
System
 
dynamics,
 
continuous
 
systems
 
modeling,
 
Uganda
 

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