Welcome to Scribd, the world's digital library. Read, publish, and share books and documents. See more
Download
Standard view
Full view
of .
Look up keyword
Like this
9Activity
0 of .
Results for:
No results containing your search query
P. 1
Thayer Russia and Southeast Asia Hibernation is Over

Thayer Russia and Southeast Asia Hibernation is Over

Ratings: (0)|Views: 69|Likes:
Published by Carlyle Alan Thayer
An analysis of a leaked Russian foreign policy document that reveals Russia's intention to increase military, energy and communicatins cooperation with Burma and re-engage with Southeast Asia in general.
An analysis of a leaked Russian foreign policy document that reveals Russia's intention to increase military, energy and communicatins cooperation with Burma and re-engage with Southeast Asia in general.

More info:

Categories:Types, Research, History
Published by: Carlyle Alan Thayer on Jul 11, 2010
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

Availability:

Read on Scribd mobile: iPhone, iPad and Android.
download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
See more
See less

10/25/2012

pdf

text

original

 
 
Background
 
Brief:
 
Russia
 
and
 
Southeast
 
Asia:
 
Hibernation
 
is
 
Over
 
Carlyle
 
A.
 
Thayer
 
July
 
11,
 
2010
 
[client
 
name
 
deleted]:
 
As
 
you
 
may
 
know,
 
a
 
leaked
 
draft
 
Russian
 
foreign
 
policy
 
document
 
that
 
was
 
published
 
in
 
Russian
 
Newsweek 
 
in
 
May
 
mentions
 
Russia's
 
interest
 
in
 
Burma,
 
referring
 
to
 
an
 
interest
 
in
 
increasing
 
military
 
cooperation
 
and
 
in
 
broadening
 
military
 
output,
 
as
 
well
 
as
 
interest
 
in
 
improving
 
Burmese
 
business
 
activities
 
in
 
mining,
 
hydropower
 
and
 
telecommunications.
 
It
 
also
 
refers
 
to
 
interest
 
in
 
improvement
 
of 
 
relations
 
with
 
Vietnam
 
and
 
refers
 
to
 
a
 
number
 
of 
 
other
 
countries
 
in
 
the
 
region.
 
I
 
believe
 
you've
 
followed
 
this
 
issue,
 
at
 
least
 
Russian
 
arms
 
exports
 
to
 
Vietnam.
 
I'm
 
wondering
 
if 
 
you
 
might
 
send
 
along
 
some
 
of 
 
your
 
thoughts
‐‐
related
 
to
 
Russian
 
arms
 
to
 
Vietnam
 
or
 
to
 
broader
 
Russian
 
interest
 
in
 
involvement
 
in
 
Southeast
 
Asia.
 
I'm
 
trying
 
to
 
figure
 
out
 
whether
 
Russia
 
is
 
really
 
interested
 
in
 
reinserting
 
itself 
 
into
 
the
 
region,
 
whether
 
that
 
is
 
significant
 
and
 
whether
 
there
 
is
 
enough
 
here
 
for
 
a
 
story.
 
ANSWER:
 
The
 
Soviet
 
Union
 
and
 
now
 
the
 
Russian
 
Federation
 
do
 
not
 
have
 
the
 
economic
 
base
 
or
 
commercial
 
competitiveness
 
to
 
make
 
major
 
inroads
 
in
 
Southeast
 
Asia.
 
But
 
Russia
 
is
 
in
 
the
 
arms
 
business
 
big
 
time
 
selling
 
to
 
China,
 
India,
 
Vietnam,
 
Malaysia
 
and
 
Indonesia.
 
The
 
Su
30
 
is
 
the
 
main
 
but
 
not
 
only
 
item
 
of 
 
military
 
equipment
 
that
 
Russia
 
is
 
selling.
 
It
 
is
 
building
 
Gepard
class
 
frigates
 
for
 
Vietnam
 
and
 
reportedly
 
provided
 
Bastion
 
land
based
 
anti
shipping
 
missiles.
 
The
 
Russian
 
sale
 
of 
 
six
 
Kilo
class
 
submarines
 
included
 
a
 
provision
 
for
 
building
 
maintenance
 
facilities.
 
When
 
this
 
takes
 
place
 
the
 
Russian
 
Bear
 
will
 
have
 
returned
 
to
 
the
 
tropics.
 
This
 
will
 
not
 
be
 
the
 
major
 
presence
 
at
 
Cam
 
Ranh
 
bay
 
during
 
the
 
Cold
 
War.
 
But
 
as
 
noted
 
below
 
in
 
an
 
extract
 
from
 
a
 
report
 
I
 
wrote
 
in
 
March,
 
Russia
 
has
 
expressed
 
interest
 
in
 
setting
 
up
 
a
 
regional
 
maintenance
 
centre
 
for
 
Sukhoi
 
aircraft
 
which
 
it
 
has
 
sold
 
to
 
Malaysia,
 
Indonesia
 
and
 
Vietnam.
 
Russia
 
has
 
also
 
entered
 
the
 
nuclear
 
power
 
market
 
with
 
a
 
contract
 
with
 
Vietnam
 
and
 
a
 
contract
 
with
 
Myanmar
 
for
 
a
 
nuclear
 
research
 
reactor.
 
Neither
 
of 
 
these
 
projects
 
is
 
remotely
 
connected
 
with
 
nuclear
 
weapons.
 
All
 
fall
 
under
 
IAEA
 
safeguards
 
etc.
 
Ever
 
since
 
the
 
East
 
Asia
 
Summit
 
was
 
created
 
in
 
2005
 
Russia
 
has
 
been
 
pressing
 
for
 
membership.
 
It
 
was
 
only
 
this
 
year,
 
however,
 
that
 
ASEAN
 
encouraged
 
Russia
 
and
 
the
 
United
 
States
 
to
 
apply
 
for
 
membership.
 
This
 
is
 
not
 
a
 
problem
 
for
 
Moscow
 
as
 
it
 
has
 
been
 
chafing
 
at
 
the
 
bit
 
for
 
several
 
years.
 
Thayer Consultancy
ABN # 65 648 097 123

Activity (9)

You've already reviewed this. Edit your review.
1 hundred reads
joeypangky6484 liked this
ilya333333 liked this
hanoiiowa liked this
ASIAANALYSIS liked this
Yan Zhuang liked this
tranns liked this
kontum1990 liked this
joeypangky6484 liked this

You're Reading a Free Preview

Download
scribd
/*********** DO NOT ALTER ANYTHING BELOW THIS LINE ! ************/ var s_code=s.t();if(s_code)document.write(s_code)//-->