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July 26, 2010
Heinrich Maintains Solid Lead in New Mexico’sFirst Congressional District
To:
Interested Parties
From:
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research
In the race for New Mexico’s 1
st
Congressional District, Martin Heinrich continues to be in astrong position for victory over his challenger, Jon Barela. In a survey conducted earlier thismonth among likely voters in the November election, Heinrich leads Barela by double digits, 53 – 41 percent. Heinrich has led in this race throughout the year.Heinrich’s support is especially broad; he leads Barela among Anglo and Hispanic voters,among both men and women, as well as with younger and older voters.In addition, 52 percent of all likely voters in the 1
st
District approve of the job Heinrich is doing astheir representative. This includes a majority of both Anglo and Hispanic voters.Table 1: “If the election for U.S. Congress were held today and the candidates wereDemocrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Jon Barela -- for whom would you vote,Democrat Martin Heinrich or Republican Jon Barela?
(Percent responding)
Heinrich – Barela
Total 53 – 41
Anglos 49 – 45Hispanics 66 – 30Men 52 – 41Women 55 – 40Voters under 50 58 – 39Voters over 50 51 – 41
Heinrich’s advantage in this race continues a trend we have seen throughout the year. InFebruary, PPP released a survey showing Heinrich with a 9-point, 45 – 36 percent advantage.And in April, our GQR survey had Heinrich ahead 55 – 38 percent.These findings are from a survey of 505 likely general election voters in New Mexico’s 1
st
Congressional District by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research. The survey was conducted byprofessional dialers on July 8-13, 2010 and carries a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percent at the 95percent confidence interval.
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