Welcome to Scribd, the world's digital library. Read, publish, and share books and documents. See more
Download
Standard view
Full view
of .
Save to My Library
Look up keyword or section
Like this
5Activity

Table Of Contents

FOREWORD
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
LIST OF FIGURES IN TEXT
LIST OF TABLES IN TEXT
BACKGROUND
What are Scenarios and why they are Useful?
Different Types of Scenario
Objectives and Purpose of this Study
Outline of Book Contents
General Methodological Aspects
Basic Definitions
Developing a Scenario – Key Elements
Taxonomy
Review of Recent Scenario Work
Global Scenarios
Figure 1.3 ETF Scenarios in their Planning Space
A Critique of Scenarios
THREE EXPLORATORY SCENARIOS TO 2050
Background
Methodology
Elements that Differentiate the Scenarios
SCENARIO 1: Clean, but not Sparkling
2000-2025: Riding on Good Intentions
Developed Countries
Developing Countries
2025-2035: a Time of Growing Economic Constraints
2035-2050: Pushing Ahead
SCENARIO 2: Dynamic but Careless
2003-2015: Abundant Energy Resources
2015-2030: Supply Security and Environmental Challenges
Security Risks
Environmental Stress
2030-2050: a New Stage of Technological Development
SCENARIO 3: Bright Skies
2003-2025: Lowering the Emissions Curve
2025-2050: Joining Efforts for Long-term Technology
Comments and Implications of the Three Exploratory Scenarios
General Comments
Implications for Policy and for Technology
Normative Characteristics
■climate change mitigation;
Climate Change Mitigation
Energy Security and Diversification
Access to Energy
Building a Reference Framework
A Normative Case: the SD Vision Scenario
Figure 3.1 Comparing GDP Trajectories
Figure 3.2 The A1 T Scenario: World Total Primary Energy
Figure 3.3 The SD Vision Scenario: World Total Primary Energy
Figure 3.4 Comparing Carbon Emissions Trajectories
Regional Implications of the SD Vision Scenario
Policy Implications
Table 3.1 SD Vision Scenario – Selected Indicators
Renewables
Nuclear Power
Fossil Fuel Resources
Fossil Fuel Based Technologies for Power Generation
Energy End Use
The Industrial Sector
The Residential/Commercial Sector
The Transport Sector
Hydrogen and Hydrogen Infrastructure
Carbon Capture and Storage
Conclusions
CONCLUSIONS
Developing a New Scenario: the Explorative Approach
Moving to Policy Intervention: the SD Vision Scenario
Where do we go from here?
Global (World) Scenarios
Shell’s Scenarios
Stockholm Environment Institute - Global Scenario Group
World Business Council for Sustainable Development
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Scenarios
Millennium Project
Country Scenarios
Canada: Energy Technology Futures
The Netherlands: Long-term Outlook for Energy Supply
The United Kingdom Foresight Program – Energy Futures
APPENDIX II: SCENARIO COMPARISONS
Table A.II.1 IPCC/SRES Marker Scenarios 1990-2020
Table A.II.2 Summary Results for the SRES MESSAGE A1B Scenario
Table A.II.3 Summary Results for the SRES MESSAGE A1T Scenario
Figure A.II.1 Population Projections
Figure A.II.2 GDP Projections
Table A.II.5 Selected Indicators for the MESSAGE A1T Scenario
REFERENCES
GLOSSARY
Glossary
0 of .
Results for:
No results containing your search query
P. 1
Energy to 2050

Energy to 2050

Ratings: (0)|Views: 108 |Likes:

More info:

Published by: Fliiby : file library on Jun 24, 2008
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

Availability:

Read on Scribd mobile: iPhone, iPad and Android.
download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
See more
See less

10/14/2011

pdf

text

original

You're Reading a Free Preview
Pages 5 to 62 are not shown in this preview.
You're Reading a Free Preview
Pages 67 to 160 are not shown in this preview.
You're Reading a Free Preview
Pages 165 to 193 are not shown in this preview.
You're Reading a Free Preview
Pages 198 to 203 are not shown in this preview.
You're Reading a Free Preview
Pages 208 to 224 are not shown in this preview.

Activity (5)

You've already reviewed this. Edit your review.
1 thousand reads
1 hundred reads
sazalina liked this
vartanami liked this
thedoubleduty liked this

You're Reading a Free Preview

Download
/*********** DO NOT ALTER ANYTHING BELOW THIS LINE ! ************/ var s_code=s.t();if(s_code)document.write(s_code)//-->