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Oracle Crystal Ball User's Guide

Oracle Crystal Ball User's Guide

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Published by: ed_nyc on Aug 29, 2010
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ORACLE® CRYSTAL BALL, FUSION EDITION
RELEASE 11.1.2
USER'S GUIDE
 
Crystal Ball User's Guide, 11.1.2Copyright © 1988, 2010, Oracle and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved.Authors: EPM Information Development TeamThis software and related documentation are provided under a license agreement containing restrictions on use anddisclosure and are protected by intellectual property laws. Except as expressly permitted in your license agreement orallowed by law, you may not use, copy, reproduce, translate, broadcast, modify, license, transmit, distribute, exhibit,perform, publish, or display any part, in any form, or by any means. Reverse engineering, disassembly, or decompilationof this software, unless required by law for interoperability, is prohibited. The information contained herein is subject tochange without notice and is not warranted to be error-free. If you find any errors, please report them to us in writing.If this software or related documentation is delivered to the U.S. Government or anyone licensing it on behalf of the U.S.Government, the following notice is applicable:U.S. GOVERNMENT RIGHTS:Programs, software, databases, and related documentation and technical data delivered to U.S. Government customersare "commercial computer software" or "commercial technical data" pursuant to the applicable Federal AcquisitionRegulation and agency-specific supplemental regulations. As such, the use, duplication, disclosure, modification, andadaptation shall be subject to the restrictions and license terms set forth in the applicable Government contract, and, tothe extent applicable by the terms of the Government contract, the additional rights set forth in FAR 52.227-19, CommercialComputer Software License (December 2007). Oracle USA, Inc., 500 Oracle Parkway, Redwood City, CA 94065.This software is developed for general use in a variety of information management applications. It is not developed orintended for use in any inherently dangerous applications, including applications which may create a risk of personalinjury. If you use this software in dangerous applications, then you shall be responsible to take all appropriate fail-safe,backup, redundancy, and other measures to ensure the safe use of this software. Oracle Corporation and its affiliatesdisclaim any liability for any damages caused by use of this software in dangerous applications.Oracle is a registered trademark of Oracle Corporation and/or its affiliates. Other names may be trademarks of theirrespective owners.This software and documentation may provide access to or information on content, products, and services from thirdparties. Oracle Corporation and its affiliates are not responsible for and expressly disclaim all warranties of any kind withrespect to third-party content, products, and services. Oracle Corporation and its affiliates will not be responsible for any loss, costs, or damages incurred due to your access to or use of third-party content, products, or services.
 
Contents
Chapter 1. Welcome
................................................................ 13Introduction ......................................................... 13Who Should Use This Program ........................................... 14What You Will Need ................................................... 14About the Crystal Ball Documentation Set ................................... 14Screen Capture Notes ............................................... 16Getting Help ......................................................... 16Technical Support and More ............................................. 17
Chapter 2. Crystal Ball Overview 
....................................................... 19Introduction ......................................................... 19Model Building andRisk Analysis Overview .................................. 19What is a Model? .................................................. 20Risk and Certainty ................................................. 20How Crystal Ball Differs from Traditional Analysis Tools ..................... 21Monte Carlo Simulation and Crystal Ball ................................. 22Crystal Ball FeatureOverview ............................................ 24Charts andAnalysis Tools ............................................ 24Other Crystal Ball Tools............................................. 31Process Capability Features ........................................... 33Trend Analysis with Predictor ......................................... 33Optimizing Decision Variable Values with OptQuest ........................ 33Steps for Using Crystal Ball .............................................. 34Resources for Learning Crystal Ball ..................................... 34Starting and Closing Crystal Ball .......................................... 34Starting Crystal Ball Manually ......................................... 35Starting Crystal Ball Automatically ...................................... 35Crystal Ball Welcome Screen .......................................... 35Closing Crystal Ball ................................................. 36Crystal Ball Menus and Toolbar ........................................... 36The Crystal Ball Menus .............................................. 36The Crystal Ball Toolbar ............................................. 37
Contents
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