INTEROFFICE MEMORANDUM TO:
DAN BENISHEK BENISHEK FOR CONGRESS
MI-1 ENVIRONMENT TOXIC FOR DEMOCRAT CHANCES
At your request,
TargetPoint Consulting conducted a survey of likely voters in Michigan’s
1stCongressional District. We conducted 406 telephone interviews (300 across the entire district withan oversampling in key areas). A random sample of this type is likely to yield a margin of error of +/- 5.7% in 95 out of 100 cases. The surveys were conducted August 31
September 2, 2010. The results from the survey are compelling. The First District appears to be slipping away from theDemocrats and your chances of victory have improved greatly over the summer as national trendsare fully manifesting themselves in this district. The political environment facing our Democraticopponent has turned toxic.
Perhaps the most important
single data point is the fact that 67% of the voters’ would prefer
a congressman who will act as a check and a balance on the Obama/Pelosi agenda. Lessthan one-quarter of the district wants a congressman who will help implement that agenda.
Nearly as strong is their desire for an outsider to go to Washington and represent theirbeliefs. By a two-to-one margin, 56%-28%, voters prefer a congressman who comes fromoutside government and politics as opposed to a candidate who has experience as a statelegislator in Lansing.
Democratic leadership approval ratings are also abysmal
59% disapprove of the way President Obama is handling his job (45% strongly disapprove) and Speaker Pelosi has a60% unfavorable rating with only 25% responding favorably. This environment, coupled with your strong campaign to date, has made you the clear choice among
the district’s voters. In both a two
-way and a more crowded four way contest, you have strong leadsheading into the final two months of the campaign: Two-Way Congressional Ballot Four-Way Congressional BallotDan Benishek 54% Dan Benishek 39%Gary McDowall 31% Gary McDowall 25%Undecided 14% Lonnie Lee Snyder* 11Glenn Wilson 6
*Snyder has since been removed from ballot by the Michigan Supreme Court