LOS ANGELES COUNTY DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC WORKS

Storm Water Engineering Division

2017- 2018 STORM SEASON

Date : 3/21/18 Prepared by: SC

Time: 1600 Hr Recommended by: SEK

Approved by: CS

Please note this Debris and Mudflow Potential Forecast applies to those communities for
which Mudflow Phase Maps have been prepared. Other rural and canyon roads below
burn areas may be impacted by any significant storm event.

DEBRIS AND MUDFLOW POTENTIAL FORECAST:

Duration: Wednesday 8 pm, 03/21/2018 – Thursday noon, 3/22/2018

Reference: National Weather Service (NWS) Quantitative Precipitation Forecast at 2:45 PM March 19, 2018

MUDFLOW
FORECAST
Fire Map Reference Date of Fire Affected Areas Special Issues
PHASE LEVEL

Creek Fire December Pacoima Wash & Lopez Canyon PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 NOTES BELOW
Creek Fire December Kagel Canyon PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 NOTES BELOW
Creek Fire December Little Tujunga, Lake View Terrace, PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 Eby Canyon & Shadow Hills NOTES BELOW
Skirball Fire December Sepulveda Blvd, Casiano Rd, Moraga Dr, PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 Moraga Ln, Vista Moraga, Linda Flora Dr. NOTES BELOW
La Tuna Fire September Burbank East PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 (Sunset, Wildwood and Stough Canyons) NOTES BELOW
La Tuna Fire September Burbank West PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 (Craig, Irving, McClure, Brace, NOTES BELOW
Cabrini and Fisher Canyons)
La Tuna Fire September Sun Valley PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 (City of Los Angeles) NOTES BELOW
La Tuna Fire September La Tuna Canyon East PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 (City of Los Angeles) NOTES BELOW
La Tuna Fire September La Tuna Canyon West PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 (City of Los Angeles) NOTES BELOW
La Tuna Fire September Shadow Hills PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 (City of Los Angeles) NOTES BELOW
La Tuna Fire September Sunland/Tujunga PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 (City of Los Angeles) NOTES BELOW
Brook Fire May Westlake Village PHASE 2 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 0 year, L1 2017 NOTES BELOW
Sand Fire July Santa Clarita / Agua Dulce PHASE 1 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 1 year, L1 2016 NOTES BELOW
Sand Fire July Angeles National Forest PHASE 1 SEE GENERAL
Recovery: 1 year, L1 2016 (Pacoima /Little Tujunga Canyons) NOTES BELOW
Fish Fire June Azusa / Duarte PHASE 1 SEE GENERAL
Recovery:1 year, M1 2016 NOTES BELOW

Old Fire June Calabasas PHASE 1 SEE GENERAL

Recovery: 1 year, L1 2016 NOTES BELOW

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 MUDFLOW
FORECAST
Fire Map Reference Date of Fire Affected Areas Special Issues
PHASE LEVEL
Calgrove Fire June PHASE 1 SEE GENERAL
Santa Clarita NOTES BELOW
Recovery: 2 year, L1 2015
Colby Fire January NO PHASE SEE GENERAL
Azusa/Glendora NOTES BELOW
Recovery: 3 year, M4 2014
Powerhouse Fire May NO PHASE SEE GENERAL
Lake Hughes/Elizabeth Lake NOTES BELOW
Recovery :4 year, L4 2013
Wilson Terrace Fire May NO PHASE SEE GENERAL
Glendale NOTES BELOW
Recovery: 4 year, L4 2013
Madison Fire April NO PHASE SEE GENERAL
Monrovia NOTES BELOW
Recovery: 4 year, M4 2013

NOTES:
Anticipate 5.0 to 10.0 inches of rainfall in the sloped areas with up to 2.0 to 6.0 inches locally on coastal
slopes from Tuesday evening through Thursday evening.

CREEK FIRE

Pacoima Wash and Lopez Canyon Area

Phase 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Alta Vista Way, Pacoima Cyn Rd., Gladstone Ave., Lopez Cyn
Rd., Bailey Rd., Kagel Ridge Rd., N Lopez Rd., Paxton St., Haywood St., Fenton Grove, Fenton Ave, Carl St., Hoyt
Ln., Terra Vista Way, Kathyann St., Eldridge Ave., Jouett St., Pierce St., Vanport Ave., Wheeler Ave., and trails below
burned hillsides. Also included are residences that have been advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any
or significant rain.

Kagel Canyon
Phase 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Rayland Dr., Kagel Cyn Dr., Upper Marek Mtwy., Lopez Cyn
Rd., Dexter Park Rd., North Trail Short Trl., Summit Trl., Blue Sage Dr., 1st Trl., 2nd Trl., 3rd Trl., Spring Trl., Creek
Trl., Vinyard Moon Hill Rd., Veranda Dr., Shafer Pl., Santol Dr., El Merrie Del Dr., Inspiration Trl., West Trl., East Trl.,
Mountain View Trl., Grand View Trl., Canada Trl., Orchard Trl., Osborne St. Terra Vista Way, Terra Bella St., Little
Tujunga Cyn Rd. and trails below burned hillsides. Also included are residences that have been advised to be
prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant rain.

Little Tujunga Cyn, Lake View Terrace, Shadow Hills, Eby Canyon
Phase 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Little Tujunga Cyn Rd., Gold Creek Rd., Akens Spur, Kagel
Ridge Rd., Orcas Ave., Kurt St., Jeff Ave., Ledeen Dr., Camaloa Ave., Alberni st., Oliver Rd., Foothill Blvd., Dominica
Ave., Jacinto Ave., Jimenez St., Ranetto Pl., Esko Ave., Foothill Pl., Conover St., Eby Cyn Rd., Riverwood Dr., La
Canada Way, Wheatland Ave., Barling St., Rancho Caballo Dr. and trails below burned hillsides. Also included are
residences that have been advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant rain.

SKIRBALL FIRE
Phase 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Moraga Dr., Moraga Ln.,
Linda Flora Dr., Bel Ter and Sepulveda Blvd. and trails below burned hillsides. Also included are residences that have
been advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant rain.

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LA TUNA FIRE

Burbank East Area

PHASE 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Country Club Dr., Wildwood Canyon Rd., Harvard Rd.,
Walnut Ave., Lockheed View Dr., Stough Canyon Ave., the DeBell Golf Course, and trails below burned hillsides.
Also included are residences that have been advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant
rain.

Burbank West Area

PHASE 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Brookshire Ct. (east terminus), Groton Dr. (north of Stephen Rd.),
Irving Dr. (north of Kenneth Rd.), Lamer St. (near Brace Canyon Rd.), Mystic View Pl. (north terminus), Olney Pl. (north
terminus), Remy Pl. (north terminus), and Wedgewood Ct. (near Brookshire Ct.). Also included are residences that
have been advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant rain.

Sun Valley Area

PHASE 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition in Chandler Canyon Channel (east terminus); and on streets and
canyons below the burned hillsides: Cabrini Dr. East (between Via Tortana and Cabrini Dr. West), Cabrini Dr. West,
Edmore Pl. (north of Lenark St.), Glenhill Dr. (north terminus), Hollywood Way (north of 5 Fwy), Lanark St. (between
Glencrest Dr. and Edmore Pl.), Petaluma Dr. (north of Roscoe Blvd.), Petaluma Pl., Roscoe Blvd. (east of Echelon Pl.),
Shady Cove Ave. (at Glenhill Dr.), Springford Dr. (north of Roscoe Blvd.), Via Milano (private street,
below Cabrini Dr. East) Via Salerno (private street), Via Stephano (private street), Via Venizia (private street), and
other trails below burned canyons and hillsides. Also included are residences that have been advised to be prepared
to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant rain.

Shadow Hills Area

PHASE 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on streets and canyons below the burned hillsides:
210 Fwy Eastbound On-Ramp, Dale Av., Green Verdugo Dr., Ranch Caballo Dr. (at Sunland Blvd.), Shadow Way,
Shadow Island Dr., Sunland Blvd. (between Sunland Pl. and 210 Fwy), Teazle Canyon Rd., and
Warnom Av. (south/above Sunland Blvd.), and trails below burned canyons and hillsides. Also included are residences
that have been advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant rain.

Sunland - Tujunga Area

PHASE 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition in Haines Canyon Channel (between Valaho Dr. and
Mount Gleason Av.); and on streets and canyons, below the burned hillsides: Chapin Ln., Chapin Wy,
Cora St. (at Oro Vista Av.), Day St. (between Sherman Grove Av. And Woodward Av.),
Eldora Ave. (between McGroarty St. and Apperson St.), Ennis St., Glenties Ln., Glenties Wy, McGroarty St.,
McGroarty Ter., McVine Av. (between McGroarty St. and Cora St.), McVine Ter.,
Mount Gleason Av. (at McGroarty St.), Moy Ln., Oro Vista Ave. (between McGroarty St. and Day St.),
Plainview Av. (between McGroarty St. and Thousand Oaks Dr.), Russett Av. (at Day St.),
Scoville Av. (between McGroarty and Apperson St.), Sherman Grove Ave. (between Day St. and Apperson St.),
Valaho Ln. (between Valaho Dr. and Holland Dr.), Woodward Ave. (at Glenties Ln, and between McGroarty St and
Apperson St.), and other trails below burned canyons and hillsides. Also included are residences that have been
advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant rain.

BROOK FIRE
PHASE 2:
Anticipate moderate mudflow/sediment deposition in Montview Court Debris Basin, and in Kirsten Lee Drive
Regulating Inlet. Also included are residences that have been advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of
any or significant rain.

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SAND FIRE

Pacoima Canyon and Little Tujunga Canyon Area

PHASE 1:
Anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Little Tujunga Canyon Rd. and trails below burned
hillsides. Also anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition in Pacoima Canyon, Little Tujunga Canyon,
and canyons within Indian Springs.

Placerita North Fork and Canyon Country Area

PHASE 1:
Anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Placerita Canyon Rd. and trails below the burned
hillsides and in Placerita Creek in the burned canyons.

Sand Canyon Area

PHASE 1:
Anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Pineview Rd., Cambria Estates Ln., Falter St., Iron
Cyn Rd., North Iron Cyn Rd., Pacy St. located south of Placerita Cyn Rd, Placerita Cyn Rd., Sand Cyn Trl., Sand Cyn
Rd., Silver Star Ln., and Warm Springs Dr.. Also anticipate potential mudflow/sediment deposition at culvert/dip
crossing locations below the burned area on Placerita Cyn Rd. and dip crossing locations within Iron Cyn channel.
Anticipate potential minor to moderate mudflow affecting residences on Brooken Ave., Iron Cyn Rd., North Iron Cyn
Rd., Josel Dr., Pacy St., Placerita Cyn Rd., Ranch Creek Rd., Silver Star Ln., and Warm Springs Dr..

Bear Canyon and Oak Springs Area

PHASE 1:
Anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on Capra Rd., Lang Station Rd., and Southern Pacific
Railroad, and trails below burned canyons and hillsides.

Soledad Watershed Area

PHASE 1:
Anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on streets and canyons below the burned hillsides: Soledad
Canyon Rd., Santa Clara River Streambed, and other trails below burned canyons and hillsides.

FISH FIRE

City of Duarte Area

PHASE 1:
Anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on streets below the burned hillsides: Greenbank Av. from
its northern terminus to about 850 feet south of the street including intersection area with Brookridge Rd., Melcanyon
Rd. from its northern terminus to about 450 feet south of the street, Brookridge Rd. from Melcanyon Rd. to Opal Canyon
Rd., and Mountain Crest Rd. from its northern terminus to Shadylawn Dr.. Also anticipate minor to moderate
mudflow/sediment deposition in areas below the burned hillsides: adjacent area west of Cedarwood Av near its northern
terminus., downstream area near Las Lomas Debris Basin, area west of Greenbank Av near its northern terminus.,
northern foothill area between Greenbank Av. and Bettyhill Av., Glenn Miller Park of City of Duarte including the area
above Valley View Elementary School, northern foothill area above Brookridge Rd. to the east of Mountaincrest Rd.

City of Azusa Area

PHASE 1:
Anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on streets and canyons below the burned hillsides: Van
Tassel Motorway, Fish Canyon Rd., San Gabriel River Streambed, and other trails below burned canyons and hillsides.

OLD FIRE
PHASE 1:
Anticipate minor to moderate mudflow/sediment deposition on streets and canyons below the burned hillsides:
Mulholland Hwy, Dry Canyon Cold Creek Rd., Old Topanga Canyon Rd., Hill Rd., Dry Creek Canyon Park area, and
access road in Calabasas Creekside Park & Community Center including baseball field.

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CALGROVE FIRE
PHASE 1
Potential mudflows occurring in burned canyons above Crescent Valley Mobile Home Community, The Old Rd., Line
E Lower Debris Retaining Inlet (DRI) on east of Creekside Dr., Newhall-Hidden Valley tennis court, Calgrove Blvd. east
of Creekside Dr., Agramonte Dr., Haskell Vista Ln., Cross St. (Wildwood Canyon Open Space), and Wildwood Canyon
Road. It is recommended that emergency response entities monitor the following areas for potential minor to moderate
flooding and sediment deposition: Drive way within the Crescent Valley Mobile Home Community; The Old Rd. from
Edison Rd. to 2,700 feet west; Access road to a water tank south of Briardale Way from 300 feet to 100 feet south of
its cul-de-sac.; Calgrove Blvd. from 500 feet to 700 feet east of Creekside Dr.; Haskell Vista Ln. all portions including
an intersection with Cross St.; and Wildwood Canyon Rd. from terminus of its cul-de-sac to 3700 feet north. Also
included are residences that have been advised to be prepared to evacuate with forecasts of any or significant rain.

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GENERAL NOTES

The debris and mudflow potential forecast is based upon a review of watershed conditions and
weather forecasts from the National Weather Service and other weather predicting sources. It
represents conditions within the watershed that could lead to debris and mudflow events. Debris
and mudflows are highly unpredictable events. The following description is to assist storm
response Divisions and emergency response agencies to plan accordingly:

No Phase Rain is forecast by the National Weather Service, but the amount of rain and/or
watershed conditions are not anticipated to produce appreciable amounts of debris
on streets or specific public infrastructure locations. Reports of debris on private
property may be received by emergency response entities. Few, if any, structures
are anticipated to be endangered, other than those advised to be prepared to
evacuate with any forecast of rain.

Phase 1 Small isolated debris and mudflows possible at specific public infrastructure
locations. Streets may be flooded or blocked by debris. Reports of debris on
private property may be received by emergency response entities. A few structures
may be endangered, in addition to those advised to be prepared to evacuate with
any forecast of rain.

Phase 2 Moderate debris and mudflows possible at more widespread locations. Some
streets may be completely blocked by debris. Depending on location and terrain,
some structures may be endangered, in addition to those advised to be prepared
to evacuate with any forecast of rain.

Phase 3 The potential exists for significant debris and mudflows to be widespread over
specific areas. Streets may be blocked and considered unsafe for travel. Many
structures could be endangered by debris and mudflows. Extreme caution should
be exercised below uncontrolled canyons due to sudden debris flows.

For questions or further information, contact (626) 458-6164, Monday through Thursday,
6:30 A.M. to 5:15 P.M. After hours, telephone (800) 675-HELP.

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