Quinnipiac University Poll/September 21, 2010 ± page 2
³An Onorato victory probably would require a sea change among independent voters whoare now strongly in Corbett¶s camp and often are the group that decides elections,´ Brown added.Corbett¶s lead in the horse race is matched by the difference in voter opinions of the twocandidates. Onorato¶s favorable/unfavorable ratio with likely voters is 40 ± 24 percent with 33 percent saying they haven¶t heard enough about him to form an opinion. Corbett gets a 51 ± 21 percent favorability while 27 percent haven¶t formed an opinion. Among the key voting bloc,independents, Corbett has a 50 ± 17 percent favorability rating, while Onorato has a 33 ± 29 percent score.³Gov. Ed Rendell isn¶t exactly helping Onorato¶s cause. Likely voters disapprove 57 ± 35 percent of the job Rendell is doing. In an election year that is showing strong signs of having ananti-incumbent, anti-Democratic tide, Onorato¶s party tie to the unpopular incumbent may be a problem,´ said Brown.Corbett leads Onorato on issue and character questions:
48 ± 38 percent that he would do a better job rebuilding the state¶s economy;
48 ± 38 percent that he would better handle the state budget;
49 ± 38 percent that the Republican most shares their values.Only 2 percent of likely voters say they are ³very satisfied´ with the way things are goingin Pennsylvania today, while 34 percent are ³somewhat satisfied.´ A total of 64 percent are³somewhat dissatisfied´ or ³very dissatisfied.´³This election is playing out across a pessimistic electorate. When voters are unhappywith the status quo they look for change and since the two best known Democrats ± PresidentBarack Obama and Gov. Ed Rendell ± are not on the ballot this year, they are taking their frustrations out on any other Democratic target, and that is Dan Onorato,´ said Brown.From September 15 ± 19, Quinnipiac University surveyed 684 Pennsylvania likelyvoters, with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points.The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts publicopinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and thenation as a public service and for research.
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