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Aging Aircraft

Aging Aircraft

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Published by: sougatapahari on Sep 30, 2010
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Raymond A. Pyles
USAF Workload and Material Consumption Life Cycle Patterns 
Prepared for the United States Air Force
Approved for public release;distribution unlimited
RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy anddecisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND
is aregistered trademark.RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflectthe opinions or policies of its research sponsors.
© Copyright 2003 RAND
 All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from RAND.Published 2003 by RAND1700 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA 90407-21381200 South Hayes Street, Arlington, VA 22202-5050201 North Craig Street, Suite 202, Pittsburgh, PA 15213-1516RAND URL: http://www.rand.org/To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information,contact Distribution Services: Telephone: (310) 451-7002;Fax: (310) 451-6915; Email: order@rand.org 
Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data
Pyles, Raymond, 1941-Aging aircraft : USAF workload and material consumption life cycle patterns / Raymond A. Pyles.p. cm.“MR-1641.”Includes bibliographical references.ISBN 0-8330-3349-2 (pbk.)1. Airplanes, Military—United States—Maintenance and repair. 2.United States. Air Force—Ground support. I.Title.UG1243.P96 2003358.4'183'0973—dc212003005775
Cover design by Barbara Angell Caslon
The research reported here was sponsored by the United States AirForce under Contract F49642-01-C-0003. Further information may be obtained from the Strategic Planning Division, Directorate of Plans, Hq USAF.
Throughout the 1990s and into this century, the United States AirForce (USAF) has found it necessary to retain its aircraft fleets forunprecedentedly long service lives. Current plans forecast keeping portions of some existing fleets for as long as 80 years of service.The safety, aircraft availability, and cost implications of that fleet-retention policy are unknown. Project AIR FORCE’s Aging AircraftProject is conducting a wide range of studies to improve the AirForce’s ability to foresee those implications and identify actions that will mitigate or avoid some of the more severe consequences.This study measures how the USAF aircraft fleets’ ages relate tomaintenance and modification workloads and material consump-tion. It will provide the foundation for future estimates of the effectsof those activities on maintenance-resource requirements, aircraftavailability, and annual operating costs. Thus, it should be of inter-est to force planners, maintenance production planners, mainte-nance policy analysts, system program directors, and logistics andcost analysts.Planners can use the empirical and analytic results in this report toforecast how workloads and costs may grow in both the near termand long term. System program directors can use those results togain an integrated perspective of the end-to-end resource and bud-get implications for their weapon systems. Logistics and cost ana-lysts should be interested in how this analysis dealt with the widerange of confounding factors that may affect the measurement of age-related workload growth and in the way in which different pat-

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