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马来西亚
RHB Research
技术分析 Institute Sdn Bhd
A member of the
RHB Banking Group
Company No: 233327 -M
每日交投策略
MARKET DATELINE
2010 年 10 月 7 日
市场技术解读
近期走势备受看俏…
图 1∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(FBM KLCI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 2∶
∶富时大马综合指数(
富时大马综合指数(单日线图)
单日线图)
本地股市的交投指引∶
♦ 由于市场憧憬可能会有更多振兴经济措施,这激励了隔夜美国道琼斯工商指数(DJIA)创下 3 位数涨势,并且也带动了本地
股市昨日一连第 2 日扩大反弹动力。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 技术而言,从它成功破除 9 月的高峰看来,这意味着它有望进一步往上冲高。
♦ 尽管它以一根“星线”( star)挂收,但富时综指依然有能力在更强的动力指标下扩大其多头动力,尤其是随机指标
(stochastic oscillators)已发出一个新“买入”讯号。
Page 1 of 6
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露(
请仔细阅读位于本报告尾页的重要披露( IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES)
2010 年 10 月 7 日
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 虽然“星线”的形成可能会在今日引来一些套利活动,但我们认为该指数将会获得良好的扶持。昨日所创下的 1,472.32 点
至 1,476.05 点之间的技术缺口和 10 日移动平均线(即 1,464 点)料将在近期带来一些趁低吸购的良机。
♦ 此外,假如该指数能在今日再度划出另一根白烛,那么我们将维持看俏,并预期将会有更多上涨空间。
♦ 展望未来,投资者将把焦点放在于周四开始的美国季度财报季节,以及于周五公布的美国每月就业报告上。
表 1 ∶每日统计 表 2∶
∶主要海外指数及原产品
9月 10 月 10 月 10 月 10 月 变动 变动
收盘
股市摘要 30 日 1日 4日 5日 6日 本地主要指数 (点) (%))
上升股 富时大马综合指数 1,479.61 7.42 0.5
329 422 501 319 443
下跌股 富时大马 100 指数 9,709.43 46.19 0.5
399 327 295 411 330
平盘 富时大马创业板 3,965.60 -9.84 -0.2
280 267 258 290 283
无交易 各大海外指数
346 338 299 337 301
道琼斯工商指数 10,967.65 22.93 0.2
市场资本 纳斯达克指数 2,380.66 -19.17 -0.8
总成交量 标准与普尔 500 1,159.97 -0.78 -0.1
(百万股) 1,052 974 1,369 986 955
伦敦金融时报指数 5,681.39 45.63 0.8
总成交值 恒生指数 22,880.41 241.27 1.1
(百万令吉) 1,718 1,469 1,707 1,505 1,657 雅加达综合指数 3,603.40 11.70 0.3
东京日经 225 指数 9,691.43 172.67 1.8
首尔综合指数 1,903.95 25.01 1.3
外汇 上海综合指数 休市 休市
2,655.66
令吉兑美元 3.0835 3.0855 3.0910 3.0963 3.0890 曼谷综合指数 977.91 8.63 0.9
新加坡海峡时报指数 3,190.07 27.71 0.9
资料来源∶RHBInvest &彭博社( Bloomberg)
台湾加权指数 8,284.03 83.60 1.0
印度 Sensex 指数 20,543.08 135.37 0.7
主要原产品
纽约商品交易所
(NYMEX)原油期货
(每桶/美元) 83.23 0.41 0.5
MDEX 原棕油 – 第 3
个月 (每公吨/令吉) 2,730.00 25.00 0.9
美国利率 目前 最新
10 年 9 月
隔夜联邦基金利率 0-0.25% 无变动
21 日
下个联邦公开市场操作
2010 年 11 月 2 日-3 日
委员会(FOMC)会议
Page 2 of 6
2010 年 10 月 7 日
图 3∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 4∶
∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI)(
)(单日线图
)(单日线图)
单日线图)
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 受激励于隔夜美国和欧洲股市的涨势,吉隆坡期货市场于周三持续往上冲高。
♦ 但在图表上,“星线”的形成却表示它今日可能会回软,以填补于昨日所创下的一个小技术缺口。
每日交投策略∶
每日交投策略∶
♦ 尽管“星线”暗示市场今日会回软,但整体的图表仍显示近期还有更多上涨空间。
♦ 若它今日能再创新高,那么对激进交易员而言,这将足以触发进一步的“买入”讯号。
表 3∶∶吉隆坡综合期货指数(
吉隆坡综合期货指数(FKLI))收盘
月份)
月份
FKLI (月份 变动
合约 开盘 最高 最低 收盘 (点) 结算 成交量 未平仓宗数
10 年 10 月 1482.50 1487.00 1478.50 1484.00 9.00 1484.00 4778 21372
10 年 11 月 1483.50 1486.00 1479.00 1484.00 9.00 1484.00 149 99
10 年 12 月 1483.00 1486.00 1479.50 1484.00 9.50 1484.00 120 391
11 年 3 月 1484.00 1484.00 1482.50 1483.50 10.00 1483.50 14 142
Page 3 of 6
2010 年 10 月 7 日
图 5∶
∶美国道琼斯工商指数
美国道琼斯工商指数(
琼斯工商指数(DJIA)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图 图 6∶
∶美国纳斯达克指数(
美国纳斯达克指数( Nasdaq)
)(日线图
日线图)
日线图
美国股市的交投指引∶
美国股市的交投指引∶
♦ 在私人就业数据意外下跌后,加上一些证券商也下修科技领域,导致美国各大主要指数于周三收盘时起落参半。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 通过“利淡身怀六甲”(negative harami),这显示近日的多头动力已放缓。
Page 4 of 6
2010 年 10 月 7 日
每日技术焦点∶
每日技术焦点∶
图 7∶
∶WCT 公司(
公司( WCT)(日线图
)(日线图)
日线图) 图 8∶
∶ WCT 公司(
公司(单日线图)
单日线图)
♦ 技术而言,随着 10 日和 40 日移动平均线稳健地攀高,其中期展望仍维持看俏。
技术解读∶
技术解读∶
♦ 10 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(10-day SMA): RM3.041
♦ 40 日移动平均线(
日移动平均线(40-day SMA): RM2.911
Page 5 of 6
IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES
This report has been prepared by RHB Research Institute Sdn Bhd (RHBRI) and is for private circulation only to clients of RHBRI and RHB Investment Bank Berhad
(previously known as RHB Sakura Merchant Bankers Berhad). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. The
opinions and information contained herein are based on generally available data believed to be reliable and are subject to change without notice, and may differ or
be contrary to opinions expressed by other business units within the RHB Group as a result of using different assumptions and criteria. This report is not to be
construed as an offer, invitation or solicitation to buy or sell the securities covered herein. RHBRI does not warrant the accuracy of anything stated herein in any
manner whatsoever and no reliance upon such statement by anyone shall give rise to any claim whatsoever against RHBRI. RHBRI and/or its associated persons
may from time to time have an interest in the securities mentioned by this report.
This report does not provide individually tailored investment advice. It has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives
of persons who receive it. The securities discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors. RHBRI recommends that investors independently evaluate
particular investments and strategies, and encourages investors to seek the advice of a financial adviser. The appropriateness of a particular investment or
strategy will depend on an investor’s individual circumstances and objectives. Neither RHBRI, RHB Group nor any of its affiliates, employees or agents accepts
any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part of this report.
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Group may at any time hold positions, and may trade or otherwise effect transactions, for its own account or the accounts of customers, in debt or equity
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services from the companies in which the securities have been discussed/covered by RHBRI in this report or in RHBRI’s previous reports.
This report has been prepared by the research personnel of RHBRI. Facts and views presented in this report have not been reviewed by, and may not reflect
information known to, professionals in other business areas of the “Connected Persons,” including investment banking personnel.
The research analysts, economists or research associates principally responsible for the preparation of this research report have received compensation based
upon various factors, including quality of research, investor client feedback, stock picking, competitive factors and firm revenues.
Technical Recommendation:
Trading Buy = Short-term positive opportunity spotted. It is an aggressive trading recommendation with a book to sellers’ price for short-term technical upside.
Bargain Buy = Short-term positive but technical signals have yet to trigger a rally. Traders can park and queue for their desired entry level within a small range.
Buy on Weakness = Short- to Medium-term positiveness anticipated, but technical readings are still negative. Traders can pick-up the stock for future rally.
Sell on Strength = Short-term momentum still positive, Traders are advice to lock in profit base on current strength.
Take Profit = Short-term target achieved. Traders are advice to exit before the technical readings turn bearish.
Avoid = Risky situation in the short-term and high volatility expected on the share price. Traders’ best strategy is staying away until it stabilises.
Technical recommendations are generally short-term in nature and may differ from RHBRI’s equity fundamental view and recommendation on the same company.
RHBRI is a participant of the CMDF-Bursa Research Scheme and will receive compensation for the participation. Additional information on recommended
securities, subject to the duties of confidentiality, will be made available upon request.
This report may not be reproduced or redistributed, in whole or in part, without the written permission of RHBRI and RHBRI accepts no liability whatsoever for the
actions of third parties in this respect.
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