Pearl Harbor: Failure of Intelligence?
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A review of the evidence available from official, public, and private sources, however, indicates these viewpoints are inaccurate. At best they reflect a lack of understanding of the collection capabilities and information available to the U.S. intelligence community before Pearl Harbor; at worst these views are an effort to rewrite history. It is possible to disprove these allegations, however, by examining the history of the U.S. intelligence community prior to the attack; its intelligence collection capabilities; the success or failure of the collection effort; its knowledge of Japanese military preparations for offensive activity; and the utilization of that information by national and military decision-makers.
The lessons of Pearl Harbor are too valuable to be lost to misinterpretation or revisionism. They provide the basis for teaching future generations of government and military leaders the importance of national preparedness and the proper use of intelligence. Without a clear understanding, future leaders may be doomed to repeat the mistakes of the past—an error of major proportions during this time of military downsizing and decreasing power projection capabilities.
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Pearl Harbor - Lt.-Col. Robert F. Piacine
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Text originally published in 1997 under the same title.
© Pickle Partners Publishing 2016, all rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted by any means, electrical, mechanical or otherwise without the written permission of the copyright holder.
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PEARL HARBOR: FAILURE OF INTELLIGENCE?
BY
ROBERT F. PIACINE, LT COL, USAF
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Contents
TABLE OF CONTENTS 3
PREFACE 4
CHAPTER 1—DAY OF INFAMY 5
CHAPTER 2—EVOLUTION OF THE U.S. INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY 9
1775-1917—The Formative Years 9
1917-1929—Renewed Interest in the Aftermath of World War I 10
1929-1941—Isolationism, Downsizing, and Neglect 10
Summary 12
CHAPTER 3—OVERVIEW OF THE U.S. INTELLIGENCE COMMUNITY IN 1941 13
Overview 13
Federal Bureau of Investigation 13
State Department 14
Military Intelligence Organizations 15
Navy Department—U.S. Navy 19
CHAPTER 4—THE SUCCESS OF INTELLIGENCE COLLECTION PRIOR TO DECEMBER 7, 1941 24
Overview 24
COMINT 24
HUMINT 27
Aerial Reconnaissance 29
Japanese Planning, Security, and Deception Activities 30
Summary 33
CHAPTER 5—INTELLIGENCE AVAILABLE TO U.S. DECISION-MAKERS 34
Overview 34
Washington, D.C. 34
MAGIC Purple Code Intercepts 34
Negotiation Instructions 35
Codes and Code Destruction 37
Espionage 39
Last Minute Signals 40
Aftermath 42
Hawaii 52
Summary 59
CHAPTER 6—CONCLUSIONS 60
BIBLIOGRAPHY 62
REQUEST FROM THE PUBLISHER 64
PREFACE
The success of the Japanese attack on Pearl Harbor represents an excellent case study on national preparedness that has influenced each generation of American military leaders since December 7, 1941. Despite the efforts of no less than nine indepth investigations, however, the circumstances surrounding the attack remain controversial. References continue to surface in official and public writings that do not accurately address the underlying causes for the defeat, ranging from new interpretations of the existing data to revisionist conspiracy theories. One of the most prevalent assertions is that Pearl Harbor resulted from a failure of intelligence.
As a career intelligence officer, these claims always interested and annoyed me. I undertook this study to determine for professional and personal reasons if the attack on Pearl Harbor truly was the result of an intelligence failure. I felt the need to be aware of the lessons of Pearl Harbor to ensure that I would not make the same mistakes during my Air Force career. I also wanted to lay to rest in my own mind the questions I had concerning the culpability of the intelligence community in the disaster of December 7.
I sincerely thank Dr. Malcolm Muir and the staff of the Muir S. Fairchild Library at Air University for their invaluable assistance in this effort. Dr. Muir’s expert advice and guidance focused my research in examining the voluminous data available on the Pearl Harbor attack. He also provided patient understanding and insight into condensing and organizing this material. In addition, I truly appreciate the assistance rendered by the men and women of the Air University Library staff. Their knowledge of research materials was essential for locating the many sources of information required.
CHAPTER 1—DAY OF INFAMY
Yesterday, December 7, 1941—a date which will live in infamy—the United States of America was suddenly and deliberately attacked by naval and air forces of the Empire of Japan.
—President Franklin Delano Roosevelt
Aircraft from the Imperial Japanese Navy (IJN) attacked the sleeping American naval base at Pearl Harbor and other Hawaiian Department military facilities beginning at 0750 on Sunday, December 7, 1941. For the next two hours and twenty minutes the planes executed well planned, well-rehearsed strikes against ships of the Pacific Fleet and aircraft of the Army Air Corps. Surprise was complete, and the American forces could only offer ineffectual resistance. Resulting Japanese losses were light (29 aircraft and 5 midget submarines), while over 3400 American soldiers, sailors, airmen, and marines were killed or wounded. In addition, 188 Army, Navy, and Marine Corps aircraft were damaged or destroyed, as well as 18 ships assigned to the Pacific Fleet (eight battleships, three light cruisers, three destroyers, and four miscellaneous vessels).{1}
Figure 1. The U.S.S. Arizona burns in the aftermath of the Japanese attack
Thus began a controversy that continues today. Why were the American forces in Hawaii so unprepared for the Japanese attack? No fewer than nine Congressional and military investigations, as well as the efforts of numerous scholars and historians, have attempted to answer this question. The official answer, according to the United States Senate and House of Representatives’ Investigation of the Pearl Harbor Attack/Report of the Joint Committee on the Investigation of the Pearl Harbor Attack, dated 16 July 1946, states that:
The disaster of Pearl Harbor was the failure, with attendant increase in personnel and material losses, of the Army and the Navy [to] institute measures designed to detect an approaching hostile force, to effect a state of readiness commensurate with the realization that war was at hand, and to employ every facility at their command in repelling the Japanese.
Virtually everyone was surprised that Japan struck the Fleet at Pearl Harbor at the time that she did. Yet officers, both in Washington and Hawaii, were fully conscious of the danger from air attack; they realized this form of attack on Pearl Harbor by Japan was at least a possibility; and they were adequately informed of the imminence of war.
Specifically, the Hawaiian commands failed
(a) To discharge their responsibilities in the light of the warnings received from Washington, other information possessed by them, and the principle of command by mutual cooperation.
(b) To integrate and coordinate their facilities for defense and to alert properly the Army and Navy establishments in Hawaii particularly in the light of the warnings and intelligence available to them during the period November 27 to December 7, 1941.
(c) To effect liaison on