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‡ Statistics
‡ Predictions
‡ MTNL
‡ Controversies
‡ Technical details


‡ Indian Telecom Industry ± Past, Present
and Future
‡ Drivers for Change
‡ Issues
‡ Trends
‡ Impact
‡ Experience Sharing
Telecom Sector
‡ A key component of infrastructure
‡ High Social and Private Returns
‡ Ten Percent Investment In Telecom
Leads to 2.3 Percent Growth In GDP (ITU
Study)
‡ Dynamic Sector ± growing 20-25% till 2002-
03 and now at 35 ± 40%
‡ Only Infrastructure sector to achieve plan
targets
Telecom Sector
‡ Phones in 1947 - Just about 1 Lakh
‡ Phones in 2010 ± Over 60 Crore
‡ Second largest network after China
‡ Teledensity has increased from 3 in 2000 to
50 in 2010
‡ Growth riding on Mobile. Share of wireless
is 93%
Telecom Sector
‡ Mobile Growth
Year (March) Subscribers

2001 3.5m
2003 13 m
2006 101 m
2009 391 m
2010 560 m
Drivers of Growth in Telecom
‡ Reforms
‡ Competition
‡ Technology
‡ Innovation
Reforms Genesis«.
‡ NTP
NTP--94
± Telecom for All and within reach of All
± Achieve Universal Service
± Quality of Service be of World Standard
± India to emerge as a major manufacturing
base and exporter of Telecom equipment
± Encourage private investment
National Telecom Policy

NTP--99
NTP

•Target oriented. Recognized role of IT


development
• Teledensity 7 by 2005 and 15 by 2010
• Rural Teledensity from 0.4 to 4 by 2010
• Further liberalized Cellular Mobile Service
• Opened up NLD/ILD
• Restructured TRAI/DoT
• Spread Internet services
Telecom Regulatory Authority Of
India
‡ TRAI Act 1997
‡ Functions
± Advisory
± Regulatory
± Legislative
‡ Landmarks
± Tariff reduction and rebalancing
± Licensing
‡ TRAI Amendment 2000
± TRAI & Dispute Settlement Tribunal
± Composition changed
Competition

‡ 241 Unified Access Service license at the


beginning of 2010Composition changed and
38 CMTS licenses

‡ 24 ILD and 29 NLD licenses

‡ Practically 10 operators in a circle

‡ 3G auction along with BWA fetched


government more than 100000 Cr


Southward movement of tariffs


Lower ARPUs
Squeezed margins
Cost optimization
New source of revenue streams
M&A and consolidation
Higher aspirations, higher churn
Death Of Distances
Business Mange More ± Bandwidth
Technology

‡ Initially dominated by fixed line


± Strowger, crossbar, digital
± Mobile overtook in 2005
‡ Strong fiber network developed (more
than 11lakh RKm)
‡ Internet service, Broadband ± ADSL2+,
9 m subs
‡ Mobile ± technology neutral but GSM
dominates
Evolution of GSM
1G Analog Mobile
(NMT)
2G Digital
(GSM)
2.5G GPRS

2.75G EDGE

3G WCDMA
Comparative Data Speed
Mobile Roadmap
‡ 3.5G (HSDPA) ± 3.6 to 14.4 mbps DL
‡ HSUPA ± 5.2 mbps UL
‡ HSPA
‡ HSPA Plus ± upto 24 mbps
‡ 3.9 G - Getting deployed and is called
Long Term Evolution (LTE) ± 100 mbps
‡ 4G ± 1 Gbps
‡ 5G ± ?
3G Services in India
‡ MTNL First to launch 3G Services in the
country and commercialize in Feb 2009
‡ BSNL has 3G in more than 300 cities
‡ Affordability a key factor
‡ 3G pricing and device pricing a key issue
‡ Private players to launch 3G services soon
‡ Customer education essential for growth
3G Capabilities
‡ 3G, the Third Generation of Mobile
technology can provide a host of new
and exciting services like :
lVideo Calls
lHigh Speed Internet access on Mobile,
BlackBerry and Laptop
lMobile TV ð Live Broadcast
lAudio- Video Access over phone call
lVideo on Demand


‡ 
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‡ › 
 ‡ ! 
     
‡ Application Downloads: Ring tones, Wall papers, ‡ Connectivity: emails, intranet
etc
‡ Group Communication: Video Conferencing, Push
‡ Messaging & Chat to Video
‡ Games ‡ Corporate Applications: CRM, RFP, Sales Force
Automation
‡     
‡ m-Commerce
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‡ Energy / Utilities
‡ Financial Services ‡ Field Service Automation

‡ Healthcare ‡ Sales Force Automation

‡ Manufacturing ‡ Remote Order Processing

‡ Retail ‡ Inventory Tracking

‡ Transportation


•Data Traffic > Voice Traffic

• IP Centric

• Sophisticated Software

• Standards based

• Intelligence in Device & Networks

•Value Added Services

•Sharing
!

‡ Digital Divide
± Rural teledensity 27 , poorer states having lower penetration
± 5 lakh out of 6 lakh villages covered
± USO fund set up in 2002, has 25000 Cr corpus

‡ Broadband still has low penetration, target 20m by 2010


‡ Telecom Equipment manufacturing sector under-
performing. Output in 2009 merely 4880 Cr and exports
1000 Cr.
‡ Echo system to develop
‡ Issues like green telecom, EMF radiation rightly gaining
importance
‡ Innovations required
Thanks

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