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RITFW - Germany - Chronos

RITFW - Germany - Chronos

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Published by GMLOGMD

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Categories:Types, Research, History
Published by: GMLOGMD on Dec 06, 2010
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08/31/2011

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Viewing cable 06BERLIN2546, SPD IN DRIVER'S SEAT FOR BERLIN ELECTION
If you are new to these pages, please read an introduction on thestructure of a cableas wellas how todiscuss themwith others. See also theFAQs  Reference IDCreatedReleasedClassificationOrigin06BERLIN2546 2006-08-30 15:03 2010-11-28 18:06 CONFIDENTIAL Embassy Berlin 
VZCZCXYZ0005RR RUEHWEBDE RUEHRL #2546/01 2421538ZNY CCCCC ZZHR 301538Z AUG 06FM AMEMBASSY BERLINTO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDC 5009INFO RUEHZL/EUROPEAN POLITICAL COLLECTIVERUCNFRG/FRG COLLECTIVE
Cable Viewerfile:///F|/EWACS/wikileaks/Germany/06BERLIN2546.html (2 of 5)12/5/2010 6:58:05 PM
 
C O N F I D E N T I A L BERLIN 002546SIPDISSIPDISE.O. 12958: DECL: 08/27/2021TAGS:PGOV GM SUBJECT: SPD IN DRIVER'S SEAT FOR BERLIN ELECTIONClassified By: PolCouns John Bauman. Reason: 1.4(b) and (d)1. (U) Summary. With three weeks to go, opinion polls andpolitical commentators and contacts all say Berlin's September 17election of a new parliament is the SPD's to lose. The SocialDemocrats lead the Christian Democrats by over ten percent in allpolls and the ratings gap between the two parties' candidates forMayor is even greater. Real interest is already focusing on whomthe SPD will chose as a coalition partner – the Left Party.PDSwith which the SPD now governs the city, or the Green Party. Theelection, which is expected, in essence, to confirm Berlin's leftof center majority, will have no immediate national politicalimplications. However, Mayor Wowereit has signaled his interestin playing a role in national SPD politics in the future. Becauseof the predicted low turnout, concerns have been expressed bysome observers that parties of the far-right will gain seats insome of Berlin's district assemblies. End Summary.The Campaign: SPD in Charge; CDU in Tatters--------------------------------------------2. (C) The state of Berlin leaves much to be desired – the weakschool system has been the subject of a steady drumbeat ofcritical headlines for months; the business climate is at beststagnant and high-profile departures or attempted departures ofbig employers are an issue; the city's enormous debt continues togrow steadily and is now at 60 billion euros. Nonetheless,support for the SPD remains strong at 30-35 percent (ahead of the29 percent taken in 2001) and Mayor Wowereit is genuinelypopular. CDU xxxxx admits that the CDU's lead candidate,Friedbert Pflueger, simply cannot match Wowereit for charisma andcampaign skills. Moreover, the Berlin CDU has been damaged by: 1)years of infighting and tension between modernizers in the party,including Pflueger, and old-school conservatives; and 2) thelingering effects of a banking scandal that drove it from officein 2001. Pflueger, from Lower Saxony, also suffers from acarpetbagger image – his last-minute announcement that he wouldgive up his Bundestag membership and Defense Ministry StateSecretaryship to concentrate on Berlin has not helped. The CDUhas been hovering at around 20 percent in polls since even before
Cable Viewerfile:///F|/EWACS/wikileaks/Germany/06BERLIN2546.html (3 of 5)12/5/2010 6:58:05 PM

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