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Climate Stabilization Targets, Report in Brief

Climate Stabilization Targets, Report in Brief

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Published by earthandlife
This new report from the National Research Council concludes that emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels have ushered in a new epoch where human activities will largely determine the evolution of Earth’s climate. Because carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is long lived, it can effectively lock the Earth and future generations into a range of impacts, some of which could become very severe. Therefore, emissions reductions choices made today matter in determining impacts experienced not just over the next few decades, but in the coming centuries and millennia. Policy choices can be informed by recent advances in climate science that quantify the relationships between increases in carbon dioxide and global warming, related climate changes, and resulting impacts, such as changes in streamflow, wildfires, crop productivity, extreme hot summers, and sea level rise. The report quantifies several future impacts per degree (°C) of global warming. The report also demonstrates that emissions reductions larger than about 80%, relative to whatever peak global emissions rate may be reached, are required to approximately stabilize carbon dioxide concentrations for a century or so at any chosen target level.

This new report from the National Research Council concludes that emissions of carbon dioxide from the burning of fossil fuels have ushered in a new epoch where human activities will largely determine the evolution of Earth’s climate. Because carbon dioxide in the atmosphere is long lived, it can effectively lock the Earth and future generations into a range of impacts, some of which could become very severe. Therefore, emissions reductions choices made today matter in determining impacts experienced not just over the next few decades, but in the coming centuries and millennia. Policy choices can be informed by recent advances in climate science that quantify the relationships between increases in carbon dioxide and global warming, related climate changes, and resulting impacts, such as changes in streamflow, wildfires, crop productivity, extreme hot summers, and sea level rise. The report quantifies several future impacts per degree (°C) of global warming. The report also demonstrates that emissions reductions larger than about 80%, relative to whatever peak global emissions rate may be reached, are required to approximately stabilize carbon dioxide concentrations for a century or so at any chosen target level.

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Categories:Types, Research, Science
Published by: earthandlife on Dec 08, 2010
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial No-derivs

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07/13/2014

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aA8&]+0&%E16@2%5&",&$+#$%#'01'"+#/&0%1$(%-&CC?& @@635&'01#/"%#'&:106"#*&:+.2-&)%&1)+.'&J8e`D5&).'&(+2-"#*&$+#$%#'01'"+#/&1'&CC?&@@63&:+.2-&6%1#&'(1'&
K#32+/'Q:'F1*0'#"7*)0$')*&',/'/.7/)0/-R
&Q(%&0%@+0'&F.1#'"T%/f@%0&-%*0%%&+,&:106"#*f/%3%012&1#'"$"@1'%-&%,,%$'/&1#-&"6@1$'/&+,&*2+)12&:106"#*5&"#$2.-"#*&$(1#*%/&"#&/'0%16U+:5&:"2-T0%/5&$0+@&@0+-.$'"3"'75&%E'0%6%&(+'&/.66%0/5&1#-&/%1&2%3%2&0"/%8&Q(%&*01@("$12&@10'&+,&'(%&-"1*016&/(+:/&(+:&1'6+/@(%0"$&$+#$%#'01'"+#/&+,&$10)+#&-"+E"-%&$+00%/@+#-&'+&'%6@%01'.0%/f'01#/"%#'5&+0&#%104'%06&:106"#*&<"#&)2.%A5&"/&+#27&1&,01$'"+#&+,&'(%&'+'12&:106"#*f'(%&%F."2")0".6&:106"#*f%E@%$'%-&'+&+$$.0&<"#&0%-A8
 
    C    O
    2
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160014001200100080060040001678
FOR 5°C
FOOD

prices
FOR 1–2°C WARMING
FIRE

 
per degree

SOME CLIMATE CHANGES AND IMPACTS OF NEXT FEW DECADES AND CENTURIES
FOR 1–4°C WARMING
RAIN

per degree

per degree

per degree

per degree

FOOD

per degree

per degree

FOR 3°C



FOR 4°C




2
45
 

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