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Table Of Contents

Judgmental Approaches to Forecasting
Experimental Approaches to Forecasting
Relational/Causal Approaches to Forecasting
Time Series Approaches to Forecasting
Definitions and Notation
Time Series Patterns
Accuracy and Bias
Error Statistics
Forecast Optimality and Accuracy
The Cumulative Mean
The Naive Forecast
The Simple Moving Average
AN ILLUSTRATION OF THE EFFECT OF M ON MSE
The Weighted Moving Average
Simple Exponential Smoothing
Adaptive Response Rate Exponential Smoothing
Extending the Forecast Horizon
Trended Demand Data
Time Series Regression
Brown’s Double Smoothing
Holt’s Procedure
Smoothing with Seasonal Indices
Winter’s Model for Seasonal/Trended Demand
Forecasting Low Density Demand
The Poisson Distribution
Compound Poisson Distributions
Empirical Distributions and Vector Smoothing
Other Time Series Procedures
Power Spectrum Analysis
Box-Jenkins [ARIMA] Models
Demand Data Aggregation
Sales History versus Demand Data
Demand Displacement
Treatment of "Spikes" in Demand Data
Demand for New Items
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Masters2001_DemandForecasting

Masters2001_DemandForecasting

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Published by tdh12000

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Published by: tdh12000 on Dec 11, 2010
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11/09/2011

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