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28Dec07E-mailRelease Barstow part6

28Dec07E-mailRelease Barstow part6

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Soit'stimetochangethemission,saysBiden.HisproposalwouldlimittheU.S.roletocounterterrorism andtrainingIraqiforcesandremoveallcombatforcesnotnecessaryforthattaskbyMarch
of2008
...Themeasurealsosets
a
firmtimetableforwithdrawal,whichsomemilitaryanalystsbelievewouldonlyvalidatetheinsurgentandterroriststrategy.Brig.Gen.
Grange
:Toattackthelength
of
acampaignbecausewe'renotgoodatlong-termcommitmentsandattackmoraleusingthemediaas
a
toolandthey'reverysavvyatit.
WillBlair
Announce
Major
TroopWithdrawal
from
Iraq?
-Feb.
20(CNN:TheSituationRoom)
...
WolfBlitzerBlitzer:There'ssomeconcernIhaveheard,GeneralGrange,thatthewithdrawal
of
theseBritishforcesfromBasraandotherareasinthesouthcouldcreateavacuum,avacuumthatwouldresultinShiiteperhapsversusShiitebattlingforcontrol
of
thatarea.Brig.Gen.David
Grange
(viaphone):
Weill
thinkthat'sagreatpossibilitybecauseit'sallaboutwhois goingtotakeoverpowerinthedifferentsectorswithinIraqasdifferentcoalitionforcesdopullback.Itwould
be
thesameintheAnbarProvinceorBaghdadforU.S.forces.It'smore
ofa
benignareawheretheBritswork,butitcouldinfactcauseavacuum,justasyoustated. Blitzer:Hereistheareawe'retalkingabout,thesouthernpart
of
Iraqoverhere,Basra.That'swherethe Britisharebasedrightnow.They'vekeptthesituationunderrelativelystableconditions.Isitjustfor politicalreasonsoristhereamilitaryreasonwhytheBritishcan'tmovesome
of
thosetroopstothealAnbarprovinceorBaghdad,wheretheU.S.clearlyneedshelprightnow?
Iran
Fails
toMeetU.N.
Deadline
00
Nukes;RJsing
Concerns
About
ChemicalAttacks
io
Iraq
-Feb.
22
(CNN:LouDobbsTonight)
Dobbs:
TheBushadministrationtonighttryingtoportraytheBritishdecisiontowithdrawtroopsfromIraqasasign
of
success...
It
isremarkable,thisadministrationtalkingaboutcuttingandrunning,in pullingbackany
of
ourtroops,andinthecase
of
theBritish,talkingaboutitasasign
of
success.
Do
youever,asawarrior,andonethecountry'smostdistinguishedformermilitarycommanders,getalittletired
of
thepoliticalspin?Brig.Gen.
Grange:
Well,yes.
I
don'tthinkthisisagoodthingthattheBritishareleavingatthistime.
1
mean,itsends
a
signaltoouradversaries,andactuallyothersintheworldthatarelookingathowwellthiswarisgoing,thatourstaunchestallyinfactisleaving,orpulling
out
part
of
theirforce,while
we're
inthesurge.
Dobbs:
Doyoubelieve,andeventhoughthisis.--thereispeculiarandspecialcircumstances,obviously, insouthernIraq,wherethebulk
of
theBritishtroopsarestationedanddeployed.
But
doyouthinkthatthiscouldleadtoevengreaterIranianinfluencewithinIraq?
Grange
:Well,theareaissecurewhenyoulookatitcomparedtomaybeBaghdadand
Anbar
province,buttheystillhavesometoughproblemsinBasraandinthatareawiththeIranianinfluence.AndIthinkthatthiswillemboldentheIranianstousetheirproxiesto,infact,entrenchevenin
a
strongermannerthantheyalreadyare.Dobbs:Andturningtotheissue
of
ourhelicopters,eight
of
themshotdownoverthepastmonth.Andinnearlyeveryinstance,militaryinitiallynotconfirmingthattheywereshotdown,evenreferringtooneasahardlanding.
In
eachcase,itturnsthattheywereshotdownbymissilesOrRPGsorsmallarmsfire.Whyisittakingthemilitarysolongtorespondtothesenewaggressiveattackson
our
helicopters?
Grange
:Well,actually,theresponseisalreadyinplace.Newtacticsandproceduresarebeingputinto effectbecause
of
theshootdowns.Iwouldsay,youknow,morehelicopteroperationsareongoingrightnow.Theenemyisusingbettertacticsandtechniquesandtrainingtheirpeople
to
takedownhelicopters.Andprobablymostimportant,theyknowthatit'sahigh-valuedtargetwithtremendouspresscoverage. Sothey'regoing
to
continuetodoit.
000001
7
SD
PublicAffairsResearchand
Analysis
NY
TIMES
 
Grange:
Well,
r
think
that
would
be
the
choice
of
the
UnitedStates.No
doubtabout
it,Britainisaveryreliable--
our
most
reliableallyonoperationspastand
present
andmostlikelyinto
the
future.Andforthemtopull
out
before
we
pulloutisaconcern,there'snodoubt
about
it.Now,it's
more
ofa
benignarea,butit
has
alot
of
Iranianinfluence.
In
fact,
somemaysay
theyarealready
under
the
control,
some
of
thatarea,
of
Iran.
General
Jack
Keane(USA,ret.)ABC
.
Harry
must
learnhowto
read
Iraq's
deadlyroads-
Feb.25
(The
UK
Observer)
...
PeterBeaumont
...
OnFridaythenew
US
strategyfor
warsone
and
twowas
sketched
out
in
crude
graphform
by
General
Jack
Keane,
aretiredfour-stargeneral,and
one
of
the
strongestproponents
of
the
'surge'tactic.
He
hasbeentakenonbyIraq's
new
USmilitary
commander
,General
David
Petraeus,asa
consultant
andaskedtosurvey
the
currentstate
of
the
battle.'Seethis:
said
Keane,
addressing
two
seniorIraqigeneralsatanoutpostin
Baquba.
'Thisis
the
graphthat
shows
theviolence.'He
scribbles
ona
sheet
of
paper.'2003.Up.2004.Up.2005
..
.'
He
draws
asteeplyclimbinglineinsoaringincrements.He
takes
hispenagain.'Thisisthecapability
of
the
Iraqisecurityforces,'hesays.
Keane
draws
aline
that
gentlyplateausafteralittlerise.
'If
we
can
reduce
thisviolencehere,'hepoints,'and
bring
it
down
tohere,'heindicatesIraqicapabilities,'then
you
can
manage
it.Andwecanleave,'Itisaterribly
big
if,
and
General
Keane
knows
it.He.hasalready
complained
that
theoriginalsurgethathe
proposed
hasbeendiluted.
Now
inIraqheis
being
told
what
hefeared,thatboth
Week'sWar-Related
Activities
Recounted
-
Feb
.17
(CNN
:
ThisWeek
at
War)
...John
Roberts
SegmentairedagainonFeb.18
George
W.
Bush
:We
know
theyareprovidedby
thequds(ph)
force.
Weknowthequds
forceisapartoftheIraniangovernment.
1
don't
thinkwe
know
the
-
who
pickedupthe
phoneand
said
thequds
force
go
dothis.
We
know
itisavitalpart
of
the
Iraniangovernment.
What
mattersis
that
we
are
responding.
Roberts:
General
Grange,
letme
ask
you
about
how
thisintelligence
disconnectperhaps
happened...Wastheproblem
here
tha
tthisintelligenceanalysttoldpeople
what
hethinksas
opposed
towhatheknows?
Brig.Gen.Grange:
Well,it
was
probablyhis
assessment
andalot
of
intelligenceisanassessment.Therearefactsandthenyouassess
whatyouknow
or
thenthereareassumptions.
You
assessthose.Andthat'sprobably
what
theintelligenceofficerdid.
The
funnythingaboutthis
whole-issue
isthat
we
doknow,
I
thinkthefacts
are
out
there,
that
weaponry
isbeing--
ammunitions
beingsuppliedfromIrantoIraq.Sowhoisresponsible?
If
it
is
thequdsforce
that
they
know
istiedtoit,they
report
tosomebody.
Now,
doyouneedawritten
document
toprove
thatsomeone
in
the
regime
of
Iran
gavetheorder?Most
of
these
kinds
of
ordershappen
over
aslivovitz
if
youare
inBosnia.
They
happen
over
a
cup
of
tea
if
youareinthispart
of
theworld.
They
say
I
want
you
toraisehavocand
I
want
to
createchaos
and
I
wantyou
to
kill
AmericansinIraq.
Then
theyrespond,thequdsforcerespondstothatorder.
What
kind
of
proof
reallyisneeded?
Americans
aredying
from
those
weaporis...
Roberts:
General
Grange
,onthese
weapons,
though,
short
of
war,is
there
any
way
to
stop
themcomingacrosstheborder?
Grange:
Youknow,I
agree
thatwhen
»
youknow
,thisisn't
someth
ing
youwould
reactto
where
youwouldinvadeIran.
I
mean
,I'mnot
arguing
thatpoint.
I
do
think
thatthere
are
things
that
wecanbedonealong
the
borders,increasing
some
of
the
infiltrationroutes.I
think
thereare
somethings
thatcouldbedoneinside
of
Iraq,
whether
itbeagainstmilitantmilitiagroups,Shia,
or
al
Qaeda
or
insurgentgroups
of
theSunniand
pick
up
offensive
operation.Imean,
I
don't
thinkthere
is
muchchoice
in
that
untilthe
Iraqi
militarycan
do
i ~
themselves.
...."
8
SD
PublicAffairsResearchandAnalysis
NY
TDmS
'.'
 
Iraqi
and
USforces-inviolentDiyalaprovinceatleast-
are
short
of
themen
to
dothejob
just
atthe
moment
thatfighters
are
beingdisplacedherebythepressureonBaghdad.
U.S.apologizes
for
arrest
of
son
of
Iraqi
politician
at
Iranborder
-
Feb.23(CanadianPress)...
KimGamel
Repr
intin:
DeseretMorning
News
U.S.troopsdetainedthe
son
of
Iraq'smost
pow
erfulShiitepoliticianFridayashereturnedtothecountry from[ran,keepinghimincustodyfornearly12hoursbeforereleasing
him
,Shiiteofficials
sa
id... Meanwhile,retired
army
general
Jack
Keane,
who
wasthevicechief
of
staff
when
theIraq
war
was
launchedin2003,urgedIraqisnortheast
of
Baghdadto
be
patientduring
the
security
sweep
inthecapital.Heacknowledged
that
militantshadfledtotheareaahead
of
theoperationbutsaid
there
weren't
"enoughforcestosecurethepopulation."
The
War
in
Iraq
I
Forces
considermoveon
Sadr
City
I
Sunni
Arabs
want
toseehowal-Malikihandles
enclave',
Shiites-
Feb.
25
(HoustonChronicle)...BorzouDaragahi
Reprint
ed
by
:
Lo
s
Angeles
Times
Retired
Army
Gen.
Jack
Keane,a
former
Army
vice
chief
of
staff,andmilitaryanalystFrederick
Kagan,
who
wereamong
the
most
influentialadvocates
of
thecurrent
Bush
administrationplantoincreasethenumber
of
U.S.
troopsinIraqby
21,500,
havewarnedthatapushinto
SadrCitywould
unnecessarilyunitethecountry'ssplinteredShiiteleadership."Attemptingto
clearSadrCity
wouldalmostcertainlyforcethe(Mahdi
Army)
into(adirect)confrontationwithAmericantroops,"
they
wrote
inaJanuaryreportfortheAmericanEnterpriseInstitute,aWashingtonthink
tank.
"It
would
also
do
enormousdamageto
al-Maliki's
politicalbaseandwouldprobablyleadtothecollapse
of
theIraqigovernment."
9
U.S.detainsShiitepolitical
scion
upon
return
from
Iran
-
Feb.
24
(CharlestonGazette)...BrianMurphy
R
eprinted
by:Deseret
Morning
News,St.
Paul
Pioneer
Pr
ess.
Associ
ated
Press
N
ewswir
es
...
RetiredArmyGen.
Jack
Keane,
atopPentagonenvoytouringareasnortheast
of
Baghdad,saidthesecurityclampdownin
the
capitalhaspushedmilitantsout
of
thecapital.
But
he
conceded
thereweren't"enoughforcestosecurethepopulation"andsaidIraqisarenotreadytohandle
the
battlealone.Hewasthelatestofficialtooutline
the
Pentagon'snewapproach:Instead
of
trainingIraqiforcestotake
over
nationalsecurityonafast-tracktimetable,U.S.forcesplantothrow
moretroops
attheresourcefulandadaptableinsurgents."Theviolenceis
too
high,
It
saidKeane,
who
wassentonafact-findingmission
by
Gen.DavidPetraeus,thenew
commander
of
U.S.forcesinIraq."So
our
new
strategyistobringtheviolence
down
soIraqiforcescandealwithit."
Iraq
Diyala-
Feb.
24
(AssociatedPressNewswires)...LaurenFrayer AU.S.generalwarnedSaturdaythatanupsurgeinviolenceoutsidethe
capitalmay
delayplanstohandover
at
leastone
of
the
18
provincestotheIraqisbytheend
of
theyear.Planscallfor
all
provincestobetransferredtoIraqisecuritycontrolby
Dec
.
31
.
Butincreasedattacksby
Sunni
insurgentscoulddelaythetransfer
of
Diyalaprovince,whichlies
just
northeast
of
Baghdad,Maj.
Gen
.BenjaminMixontold
The
AssociatedPress...
On
Friday,atopPentagonenvoy,retired
Army
Gen.
Jack
Keane,
assured
U.S.and
IraqimilitaryofficialsinDiyala
that
help
was
on
the
way.
"Ournew
strategyis(for
US
forces)tobringtheviolence downsoIraqiforcescandealwithit,"saidKeane,
whowas
visitingIraqonafact-findingmissionbyGen.DavidPetraeus,thenew
commander
of
U.S.
forceshere."We'regoingto
work
hardonthisinBaghdad,andthenadd
more
forcesoutsideBaghdadaswell,"hesaid.
OSDPublicAffairsResearchandAnalysis
NY
TIMES

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