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OFHEO 3% TRen With 100 Yr Data

OFHEO 3% TRen With 100 Yr Data

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Published by kettle1

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Published by: kettle1 on Jan 01, 2011
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01/01/2011

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 Kettle1 Research
0100200300400500600
     M    a    r  -     7     5     F    e     b  -     7     6     J    a    n  -     7     7     D    e    c  -     7     7     N    o    v  -     7     8     O    c    t  -     7     9     S    e    p  -     8     0     A    u    g  -     8     1     J    u     l  -     8     2     J    u    n  -     8     3     M    a    y  -     8     4     A    p    r  -     8     5     M    a    r  -     8     6     F    e     b  -     8     7     J    a    n  -     8     8     D    e    c  -     8     8     N    o    v  -     8     9     O    c    t  -     9     0     S    e    p  -     9     1     A    u    g  -     9     2     J    u     l  -     9     3     J    u    n  -     9     4     M    a    y  -     9     5     A    p    r  -     9     6     M    a    r  -     9     7     F    e     b  -     9     8     J    a    n  -     9     9     D    e    c  -     9     9     N    o    v  -     0     0     O    c    t  -     0     1     S    e    p  -     0     2     A    u    g  -     0     3     J    u     l  -     0     4     J    u    n  -     0     5     M    a    y  -     0     6     A    p    r  -     0     7     M    a    r  -     0     8     F    e     b  -     0     9     J    a    n  -     1     0
OFHEO NJ HPI (All Transactions), Dec 2010
(3% trend was based off of the 100 yr trend)
OFHEO NJ HPI3% Trend
OFHEO NJ HPIwould have to drop about 40% from currentlevels to come in line with the 3% trend as calculted from1985 based on the overall 100 yr RE trend, and about a 50%drop from peak value to reach the 3% trend.

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