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The industrial production growth rate in December 2009 showed an improvement in the
industrial output, a rise of 17.6% vis-à-vis the weak growth witnessed in the previous months.
Growth in December 2008 was negative. Output in mining, manufacturing and electricity rose by
10.7%, 19.3% and 5.4%, respectively, in December 2009, as compared to 2.2%, -0.6% and
1.6% growth, respectively, in 2008. The basic goods market grew by 7.7%, intermediate goods
market by 22.7% and capital goods by 13.2%. The growth of 13.2 % in the consumer goods
category was mainly seen coming from the consumer durables segment, the growth in
consumer durables was on account of an increase in sales during the festive season. Growth
mainly picked up in ten industry sectors, where cotton textiles grew by 7.6 %, wool , silk and
fibers by 24.5 %, textile products by 14.5 %, wood products by 10.4 %, paper by 4.4 %, basic
chemicals by 5.8 %, rubber, plastic , petroleum and coal products by 21.6 %, metal products by
12.2 %, machinery equipment by 44.8 % and transport equipment by 83.4 %.
Core Infrastructure
Growth in the overall core infrastructure sector increased from 3.8 % in October 2009 to
9.4 % in January 2010, compared to the low growth of 2 % achieved during the
corresponding months of the previous year. In January 2010, acceleration in growth
was seen in all the six core industry sectors.
Fiscal Trends
With an increase of 17%, the total expenditure incurred by the government grew from
$150 billion during the period April-January 2008-09 to $175 billion in the current fiscal.
In case of revenue receipts, the figures have also showed an increase of 5% during the
same period. As a result, the fiscal deficit increased moderately at the rate of 33% and
went up from $58 billion to $77 billion during April-January 2009-10.
Foreign Investments
Foreign direct investment accumulated during the April-December period of 2009-10
stood at $26.5 billion, which was $2 billion higher than what was achieved previously.
Portfolio investments came in at $23.6 billion, compared to negative $11 billion in the
previous year. The rise in portfolio investments was particularly due to an increase in
FII investments.
Manufacturing continued to grow faster in April- November 2005-06 than it did last year
and remained the main growth driver in the current year.
Industry was aided by the buoyancy in both the consumer and investment goods
sectors. Growth in the capital goods sector was up by 3 percentage points to 15.9% in
April- November 2005-06. However in the consumer goods sector it was the consumer
nondurable that registered a significant pick up in growth even as the growth in the
consumer durable goods segment.
Despite fluctuations in the output the growth in the basic goods sector was marginally
higher than in the previous year at 6%. In contrast overall growth in the intermediate
goods sector went down by more than half to 3%.
Sectors with positive growth rate in November 2005-06 are Cotton Textiles (13.3%),
Basic Metals (13.3%), Transport (11.8%), Food Products (5.8%), Jute and other fiber
textiles (4.2%), Manmade textiles (3.4%) and Rubber (1.8%).
Index of six core infrastructure industries grew at a slower pace of 4.4% in April-
November period of current year. Among the six core infrastructure industries,
production grew faster only for Cement at 10.6% in the April- November period of
2005-06. In the April- November 2005-06 Production of Finished Steel, Coal and
Power grew up at a lower rate than last year, by 7.2%, 7.1% and 4.9% respectively.
Highest ever addition to telephone network of 28.37 million was made at the end
of December 2005-06. Total phones stood at almost 125 million on account of 23.7
million cellular phones booked in April- December 2005-06. Mobile phone network also
added a record of 4.46 million phones in December 2005-06.
Stock Markets had shown resilience in November 2005-06, further picking up to
exceptionally all time high levels. Sensex and Nifty increased to 9390 and 2835 points
respectively. Both the indices recorded a 5% rise in November against the previous
month of 2005-06.
Broad Money grew at higher magnitude of 12% in the fiscal year upto December
2005- 06 this was mainly due to higher growth credit to the commercial sector.
Government Borrowings reduced further, however, aggregate deposits in Scheduled
Commercial banks increased by 14% by December 2005. Lower government
borrowings is also reflected in low investments made by SCB, which registered a
decline.
The total credit of SCBs increased in December 2005-06, ascribed to higher non -food
credit.
Textile and Edible oil became cheaper, price of Edible oil was reduced by 7.5 % and
Textile by 3.8%.
Major partners for Indian exports in April-October 2005 are: Singapore with 68%
Growth, Sri Lanka (54%), Netherlands (53.2%), China (48.8%), UK (37.6%), Hong
Kong (34.7%), EU (25.2%), France (24.9%), Japan (20.9%,) Germany (18%), UAE
(15.6)%, Belgium (15.1)% and Italy (8.6).
Growth in major commodities for India's imports are Iron and Steel (95%), Metal scrap
and ores (57%), Fertilizers (57.4%), Artificial Resins ( 56.7%), Transport Equipments
(53%), Machinery (48.9%), Textile Yarn Fabric (36.5%), Pearls, Precious stones
(36.4%), Gold and Silver (34.1)%, Organic and Inorganic Chemicals (20.6)% and
Electronic Goods (18.3%), Major Importing Partners for India are: Russia (62%),
Germany (48.1%), China (47%), Switzerland (43.1%), Hong Kong (42.6%), UAE
(40%), Australia (37%), EU (30%), UK (29.9%), South Korea (29.8%), USA (21.8%),
Belgium (21.%), Singapore (19.7%), Japan (12.9%) and Malaysia (6.7%).
INFLATION
The Wholesale Price Index for 'All Commodities' (Base: 1993-94 = 100) for the week
ended 28th May 2005 rose by 0.1 percent to 192.2 (Provisional) from 192.0
(Provisional) for the previous week.
The annual rate of inflation, calculated on point-to-point basis, stood at 5.20 percent
(Provisional) for the week ended 28/05/2005 as against 5.38 percent (Provisional) for
the previous week and 5.61 percent during the corresponding week of the previous
year.
The index for Primary Articles (weight 22.02 %) rose by 0.2 percent to 189.1
(Provisional) from 188.7 (Provisional) for the previous week. The index for 'Food
Articles' group rose by 0.3 percent to 191.1. The index for 'Non-Food Articles' group
rose by 0.2 percent to 179.5 (Provisional) from 179.1 (Provisional) for the previous week
due to higher prices of raw rubber (3%), fodder (2%) and groundnut seed, gingelly seed,
cottonseed and raw jute (1% each). However, the prices of coir fibre (19 %), raw silk
(2%) and copra, castor seed and tobacco (1% each) declined.
The index for "Fuel, power, light and lubricant" (weight 14.23%) remained unchanged at
its previous week's level of 293.1. The index for "Manufactured products" (weight 63.75
%) rose by 0.1 percent to 170.7 (Provisional) from 170.6 (Provisional) for the previous
week mainly on account of Textiles', 'Chemicals & Chemical Products', 'Non-Metallic
Mineral Products' and 'Machinery & Machine Tools.
Monthly inflation rate as measured by the all-India CPI(UNME) for April, 2005 stood at
443, two point more than the index for the previous month i.e. March, 2005. With the
corresponding all-India index for April 2004 being 425, the index for the month of April
2005 has shown a rise of 4.2% over the year.
MONEY SUPPLY
Stock of money was Rs 23,46,415 Crore on May 27, 2005. So far in the financial year
2004-05, this variation is of the order of 3.4 %. In terms of amount, the total
outstanding money stock is higher by Rs 77,258 crore than that in the same period a
year ago. The components in money supply namely, currency with public, Demand
deposits with banks, time deposits with banks and "other" deposits with banks
witnessed a growth rate of 5.6, -3.6, 4.4 and -33.3 % respectively. Among the sources
of variation in money supply net bank credit to govt. and net foreign exchange assets of
banking sector saw a decline while bank credit to commercial sector went up.
Compared to growth rate in 2003-04, banking sector net non-monetary liabilities other
than time deposits shot up.
INTEREST RATES
Prime lending rate of major 5 banks remained static at 10.25%-10.75% in the month of
May also. Bank rateis also the same as of last month's figure of 6%.
The Indices of Industrial Production for the Mining, Manufacturing and Electricity sectors
for the month of April 2005 stand at 152.4, 215.7, and 186.7 respectively, with the
corresponding growths of 3.1%, 10.0% and 3.0% as compared to April 2004.
As many as 14 of the 17 twodigit industry groups have shown positive growth during the
month of April 2005 as compared to the corresponding month of the previous year.
'Textile Products (including Wearing Apparel)' have shown the highest growth of 23.2%,
followed by 20.9% in 'Other Manufacturing Industries' and 16.6% in 'Basic Metal and
Alloy Industries'. On the other hand, 'Wood and Wood Products; Furniture and Fixtures'
have shown a negative growth of 6.3% followed by a decline of 4.6% in 'Wool, Silk and
Manmade Fibre Textiles' and 2.8% in 'Jute and Other Vegetable Fibre Textiles (except
cotton)'.
As per Usebased classification, the growth in April 2005 over April 2004 is 5.9% in
Basic goods, 24.5% in Capital goods and 2.3% in Intermediate goods. The Consumer
durables and Consumer nondurables have recorded growth of 18.6% and 11.4%
respectively, with the overall growth in Consumer goods being 13.1%.
A week ago, total foreign exchange reserves including gold and SDR went down by
$520m to $139.6 bn during the week ended May 20. While foreign currency assets fell
by $518m, the reserve tranche position in the IMF dipped $2m during the week. The
value of gold and SDR in reserves remained unchanged.
Imports during April 2005 are valued at US $ 10422.54 million representing an increase
of 51.05 % over the level of imports valued at US $ 6900.15 million in April 2004.
In Rupee terms, the imports increased by 50.40 %.
Oil imports during April, 2005 are valued at US $ 3299.64 million which is 41.37 %
higher than oil imports valued at US $ 2334.11 million in the corresponding period last
year. Non-oil imports during April 2005 are estimated at US $ 7122.90 million, which is
56.00 % higher than the level of such imports valued at US $ 4566.04 million in April
2004
SENSEX
Breaking seven successive sessions of gains, the Sensex closed below the
psychological mark of 6,700 on 30th May 2005. The markets, which had consistently
rallied over the past few sessions, gave in to sustained profit booking in the absence of
any major triggers. At close, the Sensex was at 6,663, down 44 points. In the broader
markets, the Nifty closed with marginal losses at 2,072. The Sensex started at 6200
closing points in the beginning of May, went up to 6445 ten days later and revolved
around 6600 in the third and fourth week of the month.