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Wikileaks - Cairo - SCENESETTER FOR A/S POSNER'S JANUARY 12-15 2010

Wikileaks - Cairo - SCENESETTER FOR A/S POSNER'S JANUARY 12-15 2010

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Published by Ljiljana Tatic
Cable 10CAIRO47- automatski Google prevod na srpski jezik

opisuje situaciju u Egiptu ravno godinu dana pre izbijanja demonstracija
Cable 10CAIRO47- automatski Google prevod na srpski jezik

opisuje situaciju u Egiptu ravno godinu dana pre izbijanja demonstracija

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Published by: Ljiljana Tatic on Feb 04, 2011
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Viewing cable 10CAIRO47,SCENESETTER FOR A/S POSNER'SJANUARY 12-15If you are new to these pages, pleaseread an introduction on the structure of a cable as well as how to discuss themwith others. See also the FAQsReference ID Created ReleasedClassification Origin10CAIRO472010-01-06 14:022011-02-03 00:12CONFIDENTIALEmbassy CairoVZCZCXRO1738PP RUEHROVDE RUEHEG #0047/01 0061417ZNY CCCCC ZZHP 061417Z JAN 10 ZDSFM AMEMBASSY CAIROTO RUEHC/SECSTATE WASHDCPRIORITY 4689INFO RUEHXK/ARAB ISRAELICOLLECTIVERHEHNSC/NSC WASHDCC O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 01 OF04 CAIRO 000047C O R R E C T E D C O P YSIPDISFROM CDA TUELLER FOR A/S POSNERTEL AVIV PLEASE PASS TO A/SPOSNERE.O. 12958: DECL: 01/06/2030TAGS: PGOV PHUM KDEM KIRF ELABEGSUBJECT: SCENESETTER FOR A/SPOSNER'S JANUARY 12-15VISIT TO CAIROREF: A. 09 CAIRO 2283¶B. 09 CAIRO 2277¶C. 09 CAIRO 2209¶D. 09 CAIRO 2164¶E. 09 CAIRO 1836¶F. 09 CAIRO 928Pregled kabl 10CAIRO47, SCENESETTERZA JANUAR / S Posner'S 12-15Ako ste novi ovim stranicama, molimo Vasda proitate uvod u strukturu kabla kao inain da se razgovara sa drugima. Viditakoe FAKKataloki broJ Postavljeno ObJavljenKlasifikaciJa Mesto10CAIRO472010-01-06 14:022011-02-03 00:12POVJERLJIVOAmbasada KairoVZCZCKSRO1738PP RUEHROVDe RUEHEG # 0047/01 0061417ZNI ccccc ZZHP Jan 10 061417Z ZDSFM AMEMBASSI KAIRONA RUEHC / SECSTATE VASHDCPRIORITET 4689INFO RUEHKSK / ARAPSKI IZRAELSKOGKOLEKTIVNIRHEHNSC / NUO VASHDCSEKCIJA ZA POVJERLJIVO 01 04 KAIRO000047C o C R r E T E D C o P ISIPDISOD CDA TUELLER za A / S Posner TELAVIV MOLIMO pere / S PosnerE.O. 12958: Decl: 01/06/2030TAGS: PGOV Phum KDEM KIRF EG ElabPREDMET: SCENESETTER za A / S Posneriz Januara 12-15POSETA u KairoREF: A 09 KAIRO 2283¶ B. KAIRO 09 2277¶ C. KAIRO 09 2209¶ D. KAIRO 09 2164¶ E. KAIRO 09 1836¶ F. KAIRO 09 928KAIRO 00000047 001,2 NA 004
 
 CAIRO 00000047 001.2 OF 004Classified By: CDA Matthew H. Tuellerfor reasons 1.4 (b) and (d).¶1. KEY POINTS-- (C) The impact of the political reformprocess that started at the beginning of this decade is mixed. Activists andopposition politicians are increasinglyengaged in political life and theindependent press has achieved asubstantial degree of freedom tocriticize the government.-- (C) However, the government continues to suppress the politicalopposition, retaliate against journalistsand bloggers, and restrict religiousfreedom.-- (C) As the 2010 parliamentary and2011 presidential elections approach,President Mubarak continues to resist taking steps that could weaken his holdon power, and significant politicalreform has had little traction.-- (C) We continue to urge the GOE totake steps forward such as lifting theState of Emergency, allowing increasedpolitical pluralism and respectingreligious freedom.¶2. (C) A/S Posner, we warmlywelcome you to Cairo, and arescheduling meetings with a wide rangeof interlocutors from the Egyptiangovernment, civil society and politicalparties. We are scheduling a pressconference for you to emphasize thethemes in the Secretary's December 14speech to the Egyptian public. Yourvisit will afford you the opportunity toengage with government officials whoare skeptical of U.S. efforts to promoteSvrstani po: CDA Matthev H. Tuellerrazloga 1.4 (b) i (D).¶ 1. KLJUNE TAKE- (C) UticaJ politikih reformi procesa koJiJe zapoet poetkom ove deceniJe Jepomean. Aktivisti i opozicioni politiari susve vie angaovani u politikom ivotu inezavisne tampe Je postigao znaaJanstepen slobode da kritikuJu vladu.- (C), meutim, vlada nastavlja da potisnepolitika opoziciJa, uzvratiti protivnovinara i blogera, i ograniavaJu verskeslobode.- (C) u 2010 parlamentarnih ipredsednikih izbora 2011 pristupu,predsednik Mubarak nastavlja da seodupru preduzimaJu korake koJi bi mogaoda oslabi njegov ostanak na vlasti, iznaaJne politike reforme Je imao malotrakciJa.- (C) Mi nastavljamo da pozivamo GOE dapreduzme korake napred, kao to supodizanje vanrednog stanja, to omoguavapoveanje politikom pluralizmu ipotovanju verskih sloboda.¶ 2. (C) / S Posner, srdano Vaspozdravljamo u Kairo, i zakazivanjesastanaka sa irokim spektromsagovornika iz egipatske vlade, civilnogdrutva i politikih partiJa. Mi smozakazivanje konferenciJe za tampu za vasda naglasite teme u decembru sekretara Je14 govor egipatskog Javnosti. Vaa posetae vam priutiti mogunost da sarauJe savladinim zvaninicima koJi su skeptiniprema amerikim naporima zapromovisanje demokratiJe i ljudskih prava,i pritisnite ih na sprovoenju reformi.Takoe ete imati
 
democracy and human rights, and pressthem on implementing a reformagenda. You will also have theopportunity to reassure activists andopposition politicians who areconcerned that the ObamaAdministration has backedaway from supporting political reform.-------------------Political Landscape-------------------¶3. (C) The 2011 presidential electionsand the question of succession are thefocus of most domestic politicaldiscussions. President Mubarak maywell run for another five-year term,although nothing is certain. Oppositionand civil society observers complainabout biased election rules, includingconstitutional reforms in 2007 that effectivelyblock independent candidates. Theyhave called for additional reformsbefore the elections, includingimprovements to the voting lists and areturn to judicial monitoring of eachballot box. While the GOE will allowdomestic monitoring, internationalmonitors remain a sensitive topic, withmany, even members of the opposition,calling it foreign intervention.Statements from putative candidatessuch as retired IAEA ChairmanMohammed El Baradei, who suggestedhe was open to the idea of running forpresident should there be significant changes to theelectoral system, have dominatedheadlines and drawn fire from NDPsupporters. We regularly raise with theGOE the importance of allowing freeand fair elections, and the value of international monitors.¶4. (C) As the 2010 parliamentary and2011 presidential electionsapproach,significant political reform has fallen off priliku da se uveri aktivista i opozicionihpolitiara koJi su zabrinuti da Je ObaminaadministraciJa podraladaleko od podrke politikih reformi.-------------------Politike scene-------------------¶ 3. (C) 2011 predsednikih izbora i pitanjesukcesiJe su fokus veine domaihpolitikih diskusiJa. Predsednik Mubarak Jemoda i kandidovati za Jo Jedanpetogodinji mandat, iako nita niJeizvesno. OpoziciJa i civilnog drutvaposmatrai ale na pristrasan izbornihpravila, ukljuuJui i ustavne reforme u2007 da se efikasnoblok nezavisnih kandidata. Oni su pozvalina dodatne reforme pred izbore,ukljuuJui poboljanja u birake spiskove ipovratak na sudski nadzor svakog glasakukutiJu. Iako GOE e omoguiti praenjedomaih, meunarodnih posmatraa i daljeosetljiva tema, sa mnogo, ak i lanoviopoziciJe, nazvavi ga stranim intervenciJe.IzJave iz navodnih kandidata, kao to supenzionisani predsednik MAAE MohamedEl Baradei, koJi Je predloio Je otvoren zaideJu o trci za predsednika bi trebalo dabude znaaJnih promena uizbornog sistema, su dominirale naslovimai uzburkao NPR pristalica. Mi redovnopodigne sa GOE znaaJ omoguavanjaslobodnih i potenih izbora, a vrednost meunarodnih posmatraa.¶ 4. (C) u 2010 parlamentarnih ipredsednikih 2011 electionsapproach,znaaJne politike reforme Je pao nadnevnom redu. U svoJoJ 19. novembar

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