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wp151

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Published by: faraz19900 on Feb 13, 2011
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WORKING PAPER NO. 151
INDIA’S GLOBAL TRADE POTENTIAL: THE GRAVITY MODEL APPROACH
 Amita Batra
DECEMBER 2004
INDIAN COUNCIL FOR RESEARCH ON INTERNATIONAL ECONOMIC RELATIONS
Core-6A, 4th Floor, India Habitat Centre, Lodi Road, New Delhi-110 003Website 1: www.icrier.org, website 2: www.icrier.res.in
 
INDIA’S GLOBAL TRADE POTENTIAL: THE GRAVITY MODEL APPROACH
 Amita Batra
DECEMBER 2004
The views expressed in the ICRIER Working Paper Series are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect those of the Indian Council for Research on International Economic Relations (ICRIER).
 
Contents
FOREWORD...................................................................................................................................................................IABSTRACT....................................................................................................................................................................IIIINTRODUCTION................................................................................................................................................1ITHE GRAVITY MODEL...................................................................................................................................2IISURVEY OF LITERATURE............................................................................................................................5IIIOUR APPROACH................................................................................................................................................6
III.1M
ETHODOLOGY
..............................................................................................................................................9
 III.1.1Econometric Issues.............................................................................................................................10
III.2D
ATA
S
AMPLE
...............................................................................................................................................11
IVESTIMATION RESULTS................................................................................................................................12VINDIA’S TRADE POTENTIAL.....................................................................................................................15
V.1
EGIONAL
D
ISTRIBUTION OF
I
 NDIA
S
T
RADE
P
OTENTIAL
.....................................................................16V.2I
 NDIA
S
T
RADE
P
OTENTIAL WITH
EGIONAL
G
ROUPINGS IN
A
SIA
......................................................17
V.2.1India-SAARC........................................................................................................................................17 V.2.2India-ASEAN........................................................................................................................................18V.2.3India-GCC............................................................................................................................................18V.2.4India-China..........................................................................................................................................19
VICONCLUSIONS.................................................................................................................................................19REFERENCES.............................................................................................................................................................21APPENDIX....................................................................................................................................................................24ANNEX...........................................................................................................................................................................37

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