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Weather Science Haiti v 1.6

Weather Science Haiti v 1.6

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Over 1 million Haitians reside in tents or shacks, without adequate protection from seasonal severe weather which is typical for Haiti. The rainy season, combined with lack of good sanitation, has a direct impact on medical risks. There is also food insecurity. Weather and climate info helps planners see urgency of resolving high risk of another disaster.

Prior to the 2010 Jan earthquake, there were supposedly enough cyclone shelters for entire Haitian population. Those inside quake area (Port au Prince and many points to South and South West) were obliterated. Millions of Haitians left those devastated areas, and moved to live in communities outside the quake zone, some of which have now increased in population 130-150%, while their cyclone capacity has not increased. Thus, all over Haiti there is an emergency need for severe weather shelter capacity, which is not being met.
Over 1 million Haitians reside in tents or shacks, without adequate protection from seasonal severe weather which is typical for Haiti. The rainy season, combined with lack of good sanitation, has a direct impact on medical risks. There is also food insecurity. Weather and climate info helps planners see urgency of resolving high risk of another disaster.

Prior to the 2010 Jan earthquake, there were supposedly enough cyclone shelters for entire Haitian population. Those inside quake area (Port au Prince and many points to South and South West) were obliterated. Millions of Haitians left those devastated areas, and moved to live in communities outside the quake zone, some of which have now increased in population 130-150%, while their cyclone capacity has not increased. Thus, all over Haiti there is an emergency need for severe weather shelter capacity, which is not being met.

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Categories:Types, Research
Published by: Alister William Macintyre on Feb 16, 2011
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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Weather and natural phenomena Science risks to Haiti
 Weather ScienceHaiti
Evaluating and Understanding Risks
Include Earthquakes in the Natural Phenomena Risks
 AlisterWilliamMacintyre research notesLast updated 2011 June22
 Version
1.6
 Table of Contents
First Time Visitor Here (1 June 07)..............................................................................................3Backwards (1 Jun 22)..................................................................................................................4Introduction (1 Mar 08)......................................................................................................................5 Why this is important (1 May 16)..................................................................................................5Red Cross 2011 SWS (1 Apr 23)...............................................................................................7 Terminology (1 Feb 11)..................................................................................................................8 Tags (1 Apr 22)................................................................................................................................8Disaster Risk (1 Mar 08)......................................................................................................................9UN GAR (1 Jun16)..................................................................................................................10UNDP DRI (1 Apr 24)............................................................................................................11IADB Disaster Risks (1 Mar 08).............................................................................................11 World Bank (1 May 05)............................................................................................................11Maplecroft NDRI (1 Mar 08)..................................................................................................12Haiti Seasons..................................................................................................................................12Humanitarian Plans (1 Mar 08)...............................................................................................13 Weather and Epidemics (1 Mar 24).................................................................................................13
 
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Weather and natural phenomena Science risks to HaitiHaiti Rainy Season 2011 starts early................................................................................................14Haiti Lake Overflows (1 June 08)...............................................................................................15Haiti 2011 Spring Rains to intensify...........................................................................................16Storm Vulnerability (1 Apr 22).........................................................................................................16Hurricane Pam and Katrina (1 Mar 28).................................................................................18Other Nations Reality...............................................................................................................18Severe Weather Warnings (1 May 24).........................................................................................19Fiona followed Earl 2010.............................................................................................................20Haiti Weather Science (1 May 15)....................................................................................................20Earthquakes (1 June 05)................................................................................................................21Earthquake vulnerability (1 June 08)......................................................................................22Earthquake predictions (1 May 11)........................................................................................23 Tsunami Risks (1 May 24)............................................................................................................24 Tsunamis accompanying 2010 Jan Quake (1 May 11).........................................................25 Wind Hazards (1 Feb 17).............................................................................................................26Hurricane Intensities.....................................................................................................................26Haiti Historical Risks (1 Apr 08).................................................................................................28Understand El Nino and La Nina (1 Feb 17)............................................................................32La Nina predicts less 2011 spring rain (1 Feb 17)................................................................33La Nina stronger for 2010-2011 Winter (1 Feb 17).............................................................33Global Warming, Climate Change (1 Mar 08)...........................................................................34Sea Level Rise from Climate Change (1 Apr 08)..................................................................34Climate Change links (1 Apr 08).............................................................................................35Up-coming storm risks (1 May 07)..................................................................................................36Haiti Hurricane Mitigation (1 May 07).......................................................................................362011 Hurricane names (1 June 01)..............................................................................................372011 Hurricane Season how intense? (1 May 19).....................................................................372011 April Colorado Hurricane Totals (1 Apr 06)...............................................................382011 April Clarifications by Dennis (1 Apr 06)....................................................................392011 April Colorado Landfall Probabilities (1 Apr 06).......................................................41
 
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Weather and natural phenomena Science risks to Haiti2011 April Colorado Projection via Dennis (1 Apr 06)......................................................412011 February are bold guesses says Dennis (1 Feb 16).....................................................422011 Feb-March projections via Tony (1 Mar 09)...............................................................442010 Atlantic Hurricane Forecast...............................................................................................452010 Tomas................................................................................................................................47 Volcanoes........................................................................................................................................48US natural phenomena (1 May 24)..................................................................................................48 Tornadoes (1 May 24)...................................................................................................................49 Winter Storms (1 May 24)............................................................................................................49 Wild Fires (1 Jun 08).....................................................................................................................49Useful Downloads (1 Feb 17)..........................................................................................................50 Version History (1 Apr 22)..........................................................................................................51
First Time Visitor Here (1 June 07)
Haiti is an under-developed poor nation, which is particularly vulnerable to a variety of disasters, including tropical storms. I have been monitoring Atlantic Hurricane updates, andas I see impending threats, I post details to the Haiti Rewired Forum onHaiti WeatherForecast.
1
I suggest people might wish to joinHaiti Rewired,
2
so they may follow my poststhere, unless they are already getting satisfactory news elsewhere. After getting latest detailsto the HR Forum, I relay summary of update various other places, such as throughFacebook Group Messages.In this research notes document, I look at the bigger picture than tomorrow’s weather.
Millions of Haitians are in shelters which are inferior to the mobile homes whichcannot survive severe weather in America. What progress is being made to get thembetter quality survivability protection?
 What other risks does very bad weather bring to Haiti?
 Where can a person go to get authoritative information about these topics?
Do we have good info aboutweather forecast long range for this season?
 What do El Nino and La Nina tell us about how bad this year’s season may be?
Can we learn useful info from historical weather patterns?
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http://haitirewired.wired.com/forum/topics/weather-forecast-haiti
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http://haitirewired.wired.com/

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