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QUINNYSENATEPOLL

QUINNYSENATEPOLL

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Published by: jmicek on Feb 17, 2011
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FOR RELEASE: FEBRUARY 17, 2011
OBAMA APPROVAL UP IN PENNSYLVANIA,QUINNIPIAC UNIVERSITY POLL FINDS;CASEY HAS BIG JUMP, BUT MANY STILL DON¶T KNOW HIM
President Barack Obama¶s job rating among Pennsylvania voters is 51 ± 44 percent, his higheststanding in the Commonwealth since July 2009 when it was 56 ± 33 percent, according to aQuinnipiac University poll released today.
 
But Pennsylvania voters tell the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) Universitysurvey they oppose two of President Obama¶s key issues:
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oters say 52 ± 40 percent that the U.S. should not be involved in Afghanistan;
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oters say 48 ± 42 percent that Congress should repeal Obama¶s health care reform.Sen. Bob Casey Jr. has a 44 ± 24 percent approval rating, but even after four years inoffice, 31 percent of the state¶s voters are undecided about him. By 46 ± 28 percent, voters sayCasey deserves another term in office.³President Barack Obama¶s approval numbers are up substantially since December 16,when the Commonwealth¶s voters split 44 ± 43 percent on his job approval,´ said Peter A.Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. ³Obama¶s approvalrating has been going up nationally as well, and the 7-point jump in approval since December inthis pivotal swing state should be good news in the White House.´Obama¶s reversal is fueled in part by his improved standing among independent voters.In December, they split on his job performance 41 ± 42 percent; now they approve 50 ± 46 percent. Democrats now approve 81 ± 14 percent, compared to 72 ± 17 percent in December,while Republicans disapprove 80 ± 15 percent, compared to 75 ± 18 percent in December. Hisstrength is largely among women who give him a thumbs-up 55 ± 39 percent, while men split47 ± 49 percent.
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Asked about the 2012 election, 45 percent say they would vote for the president and 39 percent say they would vote for the Republican who runs against him. By a narrow 48 ± 45 percent Pennsylvania voters say Obama deserves a second term in the Oval Office.Although Obama is becoming personally more popular, more Pennsylvania voters rejecthis positions on health care and Afghanistan.Calling for repeal of the health care reform legislation are Republicans 81 ± 12 percentand independent voters 47 ± 40 percent. Democrats back the reform 69 ± 22 percent.Shifting to support the president, Republicans say 55 ± 36 percent that fighting inAfghanistan is the right thing to do. The U.S. should not be involved, Democrats say 61 ± 29 percent and independent voters say 54 ± 39 percent.³The president seems to be more popular than his stance on some major issues,´ saidBrown. ³On the war especially, public opinion has turned in recent months. Just last July,Pennsylvania voters said 48 ± 45 percent that fighting in Afghanistan was the right thing to do.´Sen. Casey¶s 44 ± 24 percent job approval score is a jump from his 39 ± 29 percentapproval rating in Quinnipiac University¶s December 16 poll. In today¶s survey, Democratsapprove 58 ± 10 percent and independent voters approve 42 ± 30 percent. He gets a negative32 ± 37 percent score from Republicans.³Although Sen. Bob Casey, the son of a former governor with the same name, was astatewide elected official for eight years as state auditor general and has served four years assenator, it is somewhat surprising that 31 percent of Pennsylvania voters haven¶t decidedwhether they think he is doing a good job,´ Brown said. ³That¶s not that much lower than the 39 percent who don¶t have an opinion about the Commonwealth¶s other senator, Pat Toomey, whohas been in office just six week.´Pennsylvania voters say 45 ± 35 percent they say they would vote for Casey against theRepublican nominee in 2012.Toomey¶s approval rating is 41 ± 21 percent.From February 8 ± 14, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,366 registered voters with amargin of error of +/- 2.7 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts publicopinion surveys in Pennsylvania, New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Florida, Ohio and thenation as a public service and for research.
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2. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?UnionTot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHldsApprove 51% 15% 81% 50% 47% 55% 55%Disapprove 44 80 14 46 49 39 40DK/NA 5 5 5 4 4 5 4Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst CntrlApprove 52% 85% 50% 55% 49% 38% 37%Disapprove 43 12 43 41 47 57 57DK/NA 4 3 7 3 4 5 6TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job asPresident?APPROVE.......High LowFeb 17 Dec 16 Jul 14 May 13 Apr 08 May 04 Dec 162011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010Approve 51 44 46 46 45 66 44Disapprove 44 43 49 48 49 29 43DK/NA 5 13 5 6 6 5 133. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as UnitedStates Senator?UnionTot Rep Dem Ind Men Wom HsHldsApprove 44% 32% 58% 42% 41% 48% 43%Disapprove 24 37 10 30 30 19 25DK/NA 31 31 32 29 29 33 32Alghny Philly NthEst SthEst NthWst SthWst CntrlApprove 39% 59% 49% 45% 35% 35% 46%Disapprove 27 16 22 21 30 42 22DK/NA 34 25 29 34 36 23 33TREND: Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job asUnited States Senator?APPROVE.......High LowFeb 17 Dec 16 Jul 13 May 13 Apr 8 May 28 Dec 162011 2010 2010 2010 2010 2009 2010Approve 44 39 48 47 48 56 39Disapprove 24 29 29 30 30 21 29DK/NA 31 32 23 23 22 23 32

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