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Journal of Operations Management 27 (2009) 114–118

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Journal of Operations Management


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Editorial

Perspectives on risk management in supply chains

A B S T R A C T

Managing risk in supply chains is an important topic in supply chain management. The
topic’s importance is due to several industry trends currently in place: increase in strategic
outsourcing by firms, globalizations of markets, increasing reliance on suppliers for
specialized capabilities and innovation, reliance on supply networks for competitive
advantage, and emergence of information technologies that make it possible to control
and coordinate extended supply chains. This article identifies some important aspects of
risk management in supply chains and summarizes the four articles that are in this special
issue. This emerging area of research interest deserves considerable attention and it is our
hope that the articles in this special issue would spur additional research on this important
topic.
ß 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction The study by Hendricks and Singhal (2005) showed how


media announcements of supply chain disruptions can
Managing risk in supply chains has emerged as an affect stock price and shareholder value. Supply chain
important topic in supply chain management. The topic risks, their impact and management are receiving much
derives its importance due to several industry trends attention among practitioners and academicians alike. The
currently in place: increase in strategic outsourcing by objectives of this special issue are to: (1) highlight supply
firms, globalizations of markets, increasing reliance on chain risk management as an important area of investiga-
suppliers for specialized capabilities and innovation, tion in operations and supply chain management; and (2)
reliance on supply networks for competitive advantage, to present a compendium of articles that break new ground
and emergence of information technologies that make it in addressing methodological and theoretical issues deal-
possible to control and coordinate extended supply chains. ing with supply chain risk management.
These trends have manifested themselves in an increase in Supply chain risk management (SCRM) can be viewed
outsourcing and off-shoring of manufacturing and R&D as a strategic management activity in firms given that it
activities, low cost country (LCC) sourcing, and collabora- can affect operational, market and financial performance of
tion with international supplier partners (Fisher, 1997; firms. Organizational efficiency and performance are
Lee, 2002). While these increase the strategic options for enhanced when strategy to reduce uncertainty takes into
firms, they also increase the probability of experiencing account ‘‘context’’ and ‘‘environmental realities’’ (Duncan,
adverse events in supply chains that significantly threaten 1972). In the case of SRCM, context can be interpreted to
normal business operations of firms in the supply chains. refer to sources of risk, magnitude of risk and its relationship
Along with the increase in these initiatives, there has been to business objectives, and threat of disruption in supply
an increase in the potential and magnitude of supply chain chains. Environmental realities can be interpreted to mean
risks (Blackhurst et al., 2005). Recent events involving food the degree of exposure to adverse events, scope of
supply chains (for example, Melamine in infant formula extended supply chains, supplier management practices,
and powdered milk sourced from China) underscore risks etc. Therefore, the essence of SCRM is to make decisions
of extended supply chains. Supply chain disruptions can that optimally align organizational processes and decisions
also adversely affect the financial performance of firms. to exploit opportunities while simultaneously minimizing

0272-6963/$ – see front matter ß 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
doi:10.1016/j.jom.2009.02.001
Editorial / Journal of Operations Management 27 (2009) 114–118 115

risk (Miles and Snow, 1978; Venkatraman and Camillus, that risk can be studied as a ‘‘mathematical construct’’
1984). Supply chain disruptions can ‘‘materialize’’ either (Cachon, 2004; Tomlin, 2006), ‘‘conceptual construct’’
inside or outside a supply chain. As Wagner and Bode (Svensson, 2004; Zsidisin and Smith, 2005) or a combina-
(2008) point out, ‘‘the financial default of a supplier and an tion of the two approaches (Wu and Knott, 2006). As
earthquake that destroys production capacity are situa- pointed out by the authors, the conceptual view of risk
tions with completely different attributes and therefore might be very useful in the risk identification stage.
have different effects on the supply chain’’. This observa- The general approach to risk management should start
tion points to the need for effective methodology for with the identification of business objectives and perfor-
anticipating, identifying, classifying and assessing risks in mance goals and associated risks. Identifying risk, thus
supply chains. The papers in this issue seek to address increasing its visibility in the performance evaluation
these aspects of supply chain risk management. We briefly process, leads to risk minimization strategies that can
discuss the four papers in this special issue by way of contribute to performance gains (see for example, Ritchie
introduction to the special issue and to motivate the issues and Brindley, 2004). In this analysis stage, understanding
examined in each. the hierarchy of business risks is essential.
Extant literature has focused on identifying sources of
2. Value focused process engineering uncertainty and the risks that emanate from them. To do
this effectively, it is necessary to develop a consistent
Supply chain risks contribute to the overall business methodology for risk identification. Several authors have
risks. An example that illustrates this arises in strategic addressed this issue (see, for example, Chopra and Sodhi,
outsourcing engagements. Firms outsource for a variety of 2004; Wu and Knott, 2006). Risk identification is
reasons—cost reduction, need for strategic agility, innova- succeeded by quantification of risks that can be used in
tion and to increase their ability to respond to rapidly deriving risk mitigation strategies (Cachon, 2004; Sodhi,
changing customer demands. In the case of innovation 2005). Another aspect of supply chain risk management is
based outsourcing engagement, achieving business objec- that supply chain risks manifest themselves in the
tives requires effective use of integrative supply manage- disruption of supply chain flows. These can be disruptions
ment practices. These include information integration, to material flows, information flows, knowledge flows, and
knowledge integration and design integration. It is apparent control and coordination flows. This perspective of supply
that in these engagements, there is risk of knowledge leak, chain risks requires that sources and types of risk be
since the firms cannot have complete control over knowl- related to the flows that occur within the supply chain. The
edge inflows and knowledge outflows. In this situation, while literature on this aspect of risk identification is not
the firm might achieve its innovation objective, it might run extensive (Juttner, 2005; Paulson, 2004). The Value-
the risk of disclosing proprietary knowledge that might Focused Process Engineering (VFPE) methodology seeks
reduce its competitiveness in the future or the firm might to fill this gap in the literature. VFPE is based on the
find itself in a ‘‘lock-in’’ situation with the supplier. These ‘‘extended-event-driven Process Chain (e-EPC) represen-
supply management risks must be carefully identified and tation of business activities and processes (Scheer, 1999).
evaluated vis-à-vis the business objectives. Some of these VFPE methodology integrates value-focused thinking
issues have been considered in the literature (Christopher (VFT) developed by Keeney (1992) and e-EPC (Scheer,
and Peck, 2004; Narasimhan et al., 2008; Gaudenzi and 2000). Nieger, Rotaru and Churilov, in their article, define a
Borghesi, 2006). The strategic outsourcing context is but one five-step process for risk identification in supply chains.
instance where the need to identify and relate risks to supply These are: (1) Activity driven identification of risk
chain activities is manifested. objectives; (2) Objective driven identification of risk
In the article ‘‘Supply Chain Risk Identification with objectives; (3) Synchronized decomposition; (4) e-EPC
Value-Focused Process Engineering,’’ the authors explicate taxonomy of risk sources, and (5) combining events
a novel methodology for identifying process-based supply structure to the objective structure. The authors illustrate
chain risk. The importance of supply chain risk identifica- these five steps of the VFPE methodology by considering a
tion methodology has been recognized in the literature. As generic supply chain from Scheer (1999).
the authors comment, it is important to have a coherent After explicating the five steps of the VFPE process, the
representation of supply chain structure and use it to authors identify how the proposed methodology conforms
express how different risks are related to the various to the ‘‘properties’’ of supply chain risk identification
components of the supply chain structure. It is also process. They argue that the suggested approach conforms
essential to classify the nature of the risks before to the following properties: objective driven identification
embarking on full blown risk assessment and developing and assessment of risk, risks included as part of objective
risk mitigation strategies. The paper addresses supply structure, risks linked to supply chain activities, risks linked
chain risk management under the rubric of managing to individual sources, risks quantified, cross-organizational
organizational uncertainty. risk visibility enabled and decomposition of risk according
Much of the literature on supply chain risk has dealt to process flow enabled. The key advantage of the proposed
with various types of risk and sources of such risk methodology is that it integrates conceptual views of risk
(Norrman and Lindroth, 2004; Speckman and Davis, and decision sciences approach to risk analysis. The
2004). They have not taken a multidimensional view of validation of the efficacy and usefulness of the proposed
risk that encompasses supply management processes, methodology can be pursued through action research or
objectives and risk source. It is recognized in the literature participant observation approach.
116 Editorial / Journal of Operations Management 27 (2009) 114–118

3. Labor management and global supply chain risk Chinese workers. The survey yielded 634 usable responses
for a response rate of 21.13%. The data were analyzed using
The paper by Jiang, Baker and Frazier examines the Logit regression analysis with the ratio of probability of
issue of labor turnover as a source of supply chain quitting to probability of remaining as the dependent
disruption risk in an outsourcing context. It is an empirical variable, and human resources management, production
study of labor turnover problems in Chinese suppliers. The operations management, buyer characteristics, job condi-
authors link labor turnover problems to supply chain risks tions, compensation and opinions of industry as indepen-
such as poor quality, low productivity and unfilled orders dent variables. The results of the analysis show that human
in supply chains. The paper examines a theoretical issue resources management practices are statistically signifi-
under the rubric of supply chain risk management. The cant and therefore, are important in retaining employees
Global Supply Chain Forum at The Ohio State University and reducing turnover. The analysis also showed that
has identified eight processes that form the foundation of opinions about the buyer were statistically significant.
supply chain success (Lambert, 2004). Among these, two The study by Jiang et al. has two implications for supply
are directly influenced by labor management issues—order chain risk management. First, since human resource
fulfillment and manufacturing flow management. It is management and compensation issues were shown to
recognized that strategic outsourcing and off-shoring will be important, it is important for buying firms to carefully
continue to grow as firms come under increasing cost and evaluate and qualify suppliers before entering into supply
competitive pressures. The need for strategic agility has contracts. It is not clear that extant literature has
added to this impetus for outsourcing. In the context of off- emphasized these sufficiently. Generally the emphasis
shoring, contract manufacturing and low cost country has been on process and product related capabilities, and
sourcing, understanding labor management issues can be financial strength of suppliers. The results of the study
critical for avoiding supply disruptions or under-perform- point to an important dimension of supplier qualification
ing suppliers. It is useful to note that Meredith (2001) has in international sourcing. Second, buying firms must invest
drawn attention to the need for studying human resources in supplier firms to develop their capabilities. Without
issues in operations and supply chain management. such investments, supplier capabilities might lag the
Jiang et al. conducted their study in the Pearl River delta continually evolving demands placed on them by the
region of China. They identify two major elements that buyers over time. In the absence of these proactive actions
contribute worker dissatisfaction and turnover: the sour- by supplier firms, supplier performance in terms of cost,
cing standards of (foreign) buying firm are sometimes too quality, delivery and flexibility might degrade to a point
high and the local suppliers’ ‘‘greed.’’ As the buying firms that they might pose a variety of risks to the supply chain.
strive to meet the demands of their markets and
customers, they feel the need to continually change 4. Planning for catastrophic events in supply chains
product specifications, tighten quality standards and
decrease lead times for delivery. Approvals for product In their paper, Knemeyer, Zinn, and Eroglu develop a
samples are granted later than desirable from the proactive process for effectively planning for catastrophic
perspective of the Chinese suppliers. The authors observe events in supply chains. They discuss the importance of
that faster production lines and increasing production planning for events such as terrorist attacks, earthquakes,
volumes are typical in manufacturing plants. These lead to floods, East Coast blackout in the summer of 2003, West
‘‘unreasonable assignments’’ and extend work hours Coast port strike, and hurricanes in the Gulf Coast region in
beyond what is deemed by the workforce to be acceptable. the summer of 2005. While the probability of occurrence of
This study is an attempt to identify the root causes of job catastrophic events is small, the business impact asso-
dissatisfaction leading to turnover and implications for ciated with such events can be extremely damaging
mitigating labor-related supply chain risks. (Brindley, 2004). Thus, it is critical for supply chains to
The paper identifies three major aspects of supply chain have planning systems in place that enable them to
risk: cost risk, operational risk and reputation risk. It is respond effectively to such events. According to the
useful to note that all three of these risks are impacted by authors, due to the increasing emphasis on efficient supply
labor management practices in suppliers’ manufacturing chains with limited slack resources, the ability of firms to
plants. To understand labor turnover issues, the authors cope with catastrophic events is limited, which makes this
invoke Mobley’s model that describes labor turnover issue even more critical for companies. The main
process as evolving through ten stages (Mobley, 1977): contribution of their paper is in proposing a sequence of
evaluating the existing job, experiencing job dissatisfac- steps that firms can utilize in proactively planning for
tion, considering quitting, evaluating quitting and job catastrophic events in supply chains by drawing from the
search costs, intending to search for alternatives, searching extant research in risk management with specific empha-
for alternatives, evaluating alternatives, comparison with sis on Paul Kleindorfer’s framework for risk analysis
present job, intention to quit and actual quitting. The (Cohen and Kunreuther, 2007). The proposed proactive
authors also invoke Lee and Mitchell’s ‘‘unfolding model’’ planning process in this research involves four critical
(1994). This theory utilizes the notions of ‘‘market pull’’ steps, they are: identification of key supply chain locations
and ‘‘psychological push’’. Empirical studies have shown and threats, estimation of probabilities and loss for each
that both these models are useful in understanding location, evaluation of alternative countermeasures for
employee turnovers. Using the constructs from these each location, and selection of countermeasures for each
theories, the authors carried out an empirical study of location. Each of these steps is briefly discussed below:
Editorial / Journal of Operations Management 27 (2009) 114–118 117

According to the authors, a location in a supply chain is to focus on in order to achieve high levels of supply chain
considered as a key location if the interruption of its agility and effectively counteract disruptions thereby
activities results in a major disruption in the flow of goods leading to improved performance.
and services. Examples can include a sole sourced supplier, The authors draw from several research streams in the
a major distribution center, and production plants. The areas of supply chain risk (Tomlin, 2006; Chopra and Sodhi,
authors propose utilizing some of the approaches devel- 2004; Kleindorfer and Saad, 2005), supply chain agility
oped in extant research such as Disruption Analysis (Christopher, 2000; Christopher and Towill, 2001; Swaf-
Network methodology (Wu et al., 2007), which assists in ford et al., 2006; Narasimhan et al., 2006), organizational
identifying how the effects of disruptions propagate flexibility (Upton, 1994; Koste and Malhotra, 1999; Slack,
throughout a supply chain, and supply chain mapping 2005), and organizational culture (Nahm et al., 2004;
analysis (Gardner and Cooper, 2003) for identifying key McDermott and Stock, 1999; Zammuto and O’Connor,
locations. After identifying key locations, the authors 1992) in developing their theoretical model. Based on the
suggest applying approaches proposed by Mitroff and theoretical model postulated in their research, it is
Alpaslan (2003), Chopra and Sodhi (2004), and Svensson hypothesized that a firm’s supply chain agility is impacted
(2004) for potential threat identification. by three organizational practices (internal integration,
The next step in the proactive planning process is the external integration with key suppliers and customers, and
estimation of probabilities associated with catastrophic external flexibility), which has not been investigated in the
events at each of the key locations and the resulting loss. extant research relating to supply chain agility, and two
The authors focus on the application of expert systems and cultural elements (market and learning orientation) are
game theory in estimating risk of single catastrophes posited to augment the above three organization practices.
(Bigun, 1995; Sampson and Smith, 1982; Major, 2002). The results of their study show that all three organiza-
They also suggest utilizing large catastrophe simulation tional practices, i.e., internal integration, external integra-
models that allow for estimating probabilities associated tion with key suppliers and customers, and external
with individual facilities by catastrophe type and aggre- flexibility are direct antecedents of a firm’s supply chain
gating probabilities from multiple catastrophes into an flexibility. External integration with key suppliers and
overall damage distribution for each facility. customers was the strongest predictor of supply chain
The authors define loss estimation associated with a agility. Thus, by achieving high levels of external integra-
facility as the total impact of the loss of the facility on the tion, firms can improve their agility and be able to better
supply chain and its resources. Specifically, the authors respond to market uncertainty both in terms of customer
consider the impact on six different types of supply chain needs and foreseen/unforeseen disruptions. External flex-
resources (Helferich and Cook, 2002). These include: ibility (mix and volume flexibility) was found to be the
human resources, product/inventory, physical assets, second major antecedent of supply chain agility, which
public infrastructure, information, and financial. Finally, was followed by internal integration. However, internal
the expected loss associated with a facility in the event of a integration was identified as a critical factor in achieving
catastrophe is computed by the product of the probability external integration.
of the event occurring at a location and the estimated loss With respect to the two cultural elements, market
incurred at that location. orientation had a direct influence on both types of
The final two steps involve evaluating and selecting integration and external flexibility. Thus, the authors have
countermeasures for each location based on a catastrophic shown that firms with high levels of market orientation
risk management matrix proposed by the authors. This risk have high levels of internal and external integration and
management matrix categorizes catastrophic events by external flexibility. They have also found that learning
probability of occurrence (horizontal axis) and estimated orientation has a strong influence on internal integration.
loss (vertical axis) at a given location. The authors argue
that management has to primarily focus on events that
6. Conclusion
attain high levels on both axes, i.e., the upper right
quadrant of the matrix, and suggest potential counter-
The articles in this special issue break new ground in
measures for risk mitigation. The focus on off-diagonal
that they make methodological and theoretical contribu-
quadrants involves either loss mitigation or risk mitigation
tions to the area of risk management in supply chains. They
and the lower left quadrant is where risk and loss
raise interesting questions as well as provide some
acceptance is considered.
answers. The topic of risk management will continue to
be important to researchers and supply management
5. Supply chain agility and risk mitigation
professionals. The twin areas of risk assessment and
identification, and risk mitigation (approaches and the-
Braunscheidel and Suresh in their paper focus on the
ories) will continue to be of interest as the outsourcing
notion that supply chain agility not only allows firms to
trend continues to be a dominant strategy in firms.
respond efficiently and effectively to unanticipated changes
in the marketplace but also works as a risk mitigation
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