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rysavy-spectrum-effects-301611

rysavy-spectrum-effects-301611

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Published by: StimulatingBroadband.com on Mar 20, 2011
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TheSpectrumImperative:MobileBroadbandSpectrumanditsImpactsforU.S.ConsumersandtheEconomyAnEngineeringAnalysis
March 16, 2011
Copyright©2011RysavyResearch,LLC.Allrightsreserved.http://www.rysavy.com
 
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Table of Contents
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ............................................................................................ 3
INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................... 3
SPECTRUM AND CAPACITY ..................................................................................... 5
APPLICATION AND USER DEMANDS ....................................................................... 9
ADVERSE APPLICATION EFFECTS ......................................................................... 17
MARKET EFFECTS.................................................................................................. 20
CONCLUSION ........................................................................................................ 21
 Rysavy Research provides this document and the information contained herein to you for informationalpurposes only. Rysavy Research provides this information solely on the basis that you will takeresponsibility for making your own assessments of the information.Although Rysavy Research has exercised reasonable care in providing this information to you, RysavyResearch does not warrant that the information is error-free. Rysavy Research disclaims and, in no event,shall be liable for any losses or damages of any kind, whether direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, or punitive arising out of or in any way related to the use of the information.
 
3
ExecutiveSummary
Thepurposeofthisreportistoanalyze,fromanengineeringperspective,theconsequencesoffailingtomakenewspectrumavailabletoconsumers,theeconomyandthewirelesssector.Thisreportdiscusseshowspectrumrelatestocapacity,howdifferenttypesofapplicationsanddevicescanconsumeavailablecapacity,andtheeffectsofinsufficientspectrum.Forconsumers,theseeffectsincludeunreliableserviceandperformanceandpotentiallyhigherconnectivitycosts—adevelopmentthatwouldplaceanessentialmodernserviceoutofthereachofmanyAmericans,includingthosewhostandtogainthemostfromallthatmobileconnectivityhastooffer.Totheextentthatserviceprovidersrespondtocapacityconstraintsbylimitingdemandthroughusagecapsandsignificantlyhigherpricing,consumers’abilitytoaccesstheInternetmaybelimitedorcomeatahighercost.Theseeffectswillparticularlyharmthose,includingmanyminoritiesandlow-incomeAmericans,whoprimarilyrelyontheirmobiledevicestoaccesstheInternet.Thisinturnrollsbackthepromiseofmobileconnectivityandinnovation,denyingaccesstocriticalservicesandopportunities.Themarketconsequenceofsuchanenvironmentwillbelessincentiveforbusinessestoinvestinnewapplications,servicesanddevicesbecauseperformance,andthuscustomerenthusiasm,willlikelybesubpar.Thisjeopardizesthe2.4millionAmericanjobscurrentlysupportedbymobileinnovation.And,theultimatepriceofthisdownwardspiralisalossofU.S.leadershipintheglobalinnovationeconomy.
Introduction
U.S.mobileinnovationcontinuestosurgeforward,fueledbyacombinationoffasternetworks,powerfulnext-generationwirelessdevices,includingsmartphonesandtablets,andinnovativeapplicationsthattakeincreasingadvantageofourconstantstateofconnectivity.Lifestylesareenhancedandworkismoreproductive,asthefullandgrowingvalueoftheInternetisincreasinglyever-presentandaccessibleinthepalmsofourhands.CompellingdataalreadyexiststoillustratetheimportantrolethatmobiletechnologyplaysinpoweringourinnovationeconomyandempoweringAmericanconsumersandbusinesses.And,weseeclearevidencetodaythatwirelessbroadbandishelpingtobridgethedigitaldivide,withminorityandlower-incomeAmericansincreasinglyturningtomobileservicesastheirprimaryconnectiontotheInternet.ThenumberofU.S.consumerswithbroadbandaccessontheirmobiledevicehasrisenfromthreemillionin2006to73millionin2008.
1
Asearlyas2014,morepeoplemaygoonlineviamobiledevicesthanPCs.
2
And,withinthisdecadeanestimated10billiondevices—fromthemedicaltabletatthe
1
Source:“USBroadbandRanking:DoesitMatter?,”
PCWORLD
,June5,2009.
2
Source:MobileInternetReport,
MorganStanley 
,December2009.

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