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Research Team
Katarina SETIAWAN
Head of Research
Equity Daily
ksetiawan@kimeng.co.id
+6221 2557 1125 Banking: Bisnis Indonesia reported that Bank Central Asia (BBCA
Ricardo SILAEN, CFA
IJ) posted Rp8.5t net profit in 2010, increased by 25.2% y/y. Loan
rsilaen@kimeng.co.id grew by 24.3% y/y to Rp153.9t in 2010 with NPL declining to 0.6%
+6221 2557 1126 from 0.7% in the previous year. The growth in loan is higher than
Rahmi MARINA
that of deposit (of 13.2% y/y to Rp277.5t), inching up BCA’s LDR
rmarina@kimeng.co.id to 55.5% (vs. 50.3% in 2009).
+6221 2557 1128
Mining: Borneo Lumbung Energi (BORN IJ) posted FY10 net profit
Lucky ARIESANDI, CFA
www.kimengresearch.com
lariesandi@kimeng.co.id
of Rp349b, a turnaround from Rp100b loss in FY09. The FY10 net
+6221 2557 1127 profit is slightly better than consensus estimate.
Adi N. WICAKSONO
anwicaksono@kimeng.co.id
+6221 2557 1130
Arwani PRANADJAYA
apranadjaya@kimeng.co.id
+6221 2557 1129
INDONESIA
Key Indices
Last Point % chg
IDX Index 3,556.2 38.5 1.1
IDR/USD 8,722.5 ‐7.0 ‐0.1
SEE APPENDIX I FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES AND ANALYST CERTIFICATIONS
Equity Daily 24 March 2011
Bank Central Asia (BUY): Posted Rp8.5t profit in 2010
Bisnis Indonesia reported that BCA posted Rp8.5t net profit in 2010,
increased by 25.2% y/y.
Loan grew by 24.3% y/y to Rp153.9t in 2010 with NPL declining to 0.6%
from 0.7% in the previous year. The growth in loan is higher than that of
deposit (of 13.2% y/y to Rp277.5t), inching up BCA’s LDR to 55.5% (vs.
50.3% in 2009).
Analyst comment:
The reported profit came inline with our estimate of Rp8.7t. For 2011, we
are projecting 13.4% profit growth to Rp9.8t on the back of 16% y/y loan
growth.
We expect to hear more details on BCA’s 2010 performance in the analyst
meeting scheduled for 30 March 2011.
We maintain our BUY recommendation on BCA with TP at Rp7,800/share
(19.3x 2011F PER; 4.7x 2011F PBV).
Figure 1: Summary of Bank Central Asia FY10 results (BBCA IJ)
(Rp b) FY10 FY09 % chg y/y 4Q10 3Q10 % chg q/q
Net Interest Income 12,970 14,051 ‐7.7 3,494 3,618 ‐3.4
Operating income 8,230 5,200 58.3 957 1,916 ‐50.0
Operating expenses 10,920 10,731 1.8 1,668 2,905 ‐42.6
Pre‐tax income n/a 8,945 n/a n/a 2,750 n/a
Net profit 8,520 6,807 25.2 2,411 2,128 13.3
Gross loans 153,970 123,901 24.3 153,970 138,856 10.9
Total assets n/a 282,392 n/a n/a 310,196 n/a
Total deposits 277,520 245,140 13.2 277,520 262,765 5.6
NIM (%) 5.3 6.4
Gross NPL (%) 0.6 0.7
LDR (%) 55.5 50.5
CAR (%) n/a 15.3
Source: Bisnis Indonesia daily, Kim Eng
Borneo Lumbung Energi: Good FY10 result
The company posted FY10 net profit of Rp349b, a turnaround from
Rp100b loss in FY09.
Revenue jumped to Rp2752b from Rp200b in FY09, as sales volume
increased to 1.65m tons of coal in FY10 from 0.21m tons in FY09.
Gross and operating profits increased significantly to Rp1501b and
Rp1014b in FY10, from only Rp92b and Rp49b in FY09.
The FY10 net profit is slightly better than consensus estimate.
Management expects to produce 3.6m tons of hard coking coal in FY11,
almost double from 1.95m tons in FY10.
INDONESIA EQUITY RESEARCH
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Equity Daily 24 March 2011
Figure 2: Borneo Lumbung Energi’s FY10 results (BORN IJ)
(Rp b) FY10 FY09 % chg y/y
Revenue 2,752 201 1,272
COGS (1,250) (108) 1,056
Gross Profit 1,502 92 1,526
Selling expenses (325) (33) 892
G&A expenses (155) (10) 1,410
Operating income 1,015 49 1,958
Forex gain (loss) 14 75 (81)
Interest expenses (381) (127) 201
Mining Property amortization (55) (14) 300
Goodwil amortization (20) (28) (26)
Interest income 35 397 (91)
Others (85) (47) 82
Pretax Income 522 (89) (684)
Tax (174) (10) 1,577
Net income 349 (100) (450)
EPS (Rp) 61 (80) (176)
Gross margin (%) 54.6 46.1
Operating margin (%) 36.9 24.6
Net margin (%) 12.7 ‐49.8
Source: Company data
Figure 3: Adhi Karya’s FY10 results (ADHI IJ)
(Rp b) FY10 FY09 % chg y/y 4Q10 4Q09 % chg y/y
Revenue 5,675 7,715 ‐26 2,604 2,857 ‐9
Cost of revenue (4,964) (7,059) ‐30 (2,190) (2,421) ‐10
Gross profit 711 655 8 414 436 ‐5
Profit from join operation 58 96 ‐39 24 48 ‐51
Gross profit after JO 769 752 2 438 484 ‐9
Operating expense (218) (215) 1 (74) (76) ‐3
Operating profit 551 537 3 364 407 ‐11
PBT 321 332 ‐3 191 229 ‐17
Net profit 189 166 14 114 101 12
Gross margin ‐ after JO (%) 13.6 9.7 16.8 16.9
Operating margin (%) 9.7 7.0 14.0 14.3
Net margin (%) 3.3 2.1 4.4 3.5
Source: Company data, Kim Eng
INDONESIA EQUITY RESEARCH
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Equity Daily 24 March 2011
Figure 4: Resources Alam Indonesia’s FY10 results (KKGI IJ)
(Rp b) FY10 FY09 % chg y/y
Sales 969 407 138
COGS (493) (264) 87
Gross Profit 477 143 233
Operating expenses (256) (98) 161
Operating profit 221 45 391
Interest expense (1) (2) (22)
Forex gain (loss) (1) (6) (85)
Other income (expenses) 18 11 65
Pre‐tax 237 48 390
Income tax (71) (16) 334
Net profit 166 32 419
EPS (Rp) 166 32 419
Gross Margin (%) 49.2 35.2
Operating Margin (%) 22.8 11.1
Net Margin (%) 17.1 7.9
Source: Company data
Figure 5: Tower Bersama Infrastructure’s FY10 results (TBIG IJ)
(Rp b) FY10 FY09 % chg y/y
Revenue 671 341 97
COGS (98) (43) 126
Gross Profit 573 298 92
Operating expenses (87) (49) 76
Operating profit 486 249 96
Interest expense (226) (98) 131
Forex gain (loss) (18) 15 (219)
Other income (expenses) 117 102 14
Pre‐tax 359 268 34
Income tax (20) (16) 22
Minority Interest (13) (11) 18
Net profit 327 241 36
EPS (Rp) 72 53 36
Gross Margin (%) 85.4 87.3
Operating Margin (%) 72.4 72.9
Net Margin (%) 48.7 70.5
Source: Company data
INDONESIA EQUITY RESEARCH
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Equity Daily 24 March 2011
Figure 6: Gajah Tunggal’s FY10 results (GJTL IJ)
(Rp b) FY10 FY09 % chg y/y
Sales 9,854 7,936 24
COGS (7,915) (6,115) 29
Gross Profit 1,939 1,822 6
Operating expenses (651) (677) (4)
Operating profit 1,287 1,145 12
Interest expense (367) (420) (13)
Forex gain (loss) 113 487 (77)
Other income (expenses) 86 62 39
Pre‐tax 1,120 1,274 (12)
Income tax (290) (368) (21)
Net profit 831 905 (8)
EPS (Rp) 238 260 (8)
Gross Margin (%) 19.7 23.0
Operating Margin (%) 13.1 14.4
Net Margin (%) 8.4 11.4
Source: Company data
Figure 7: Arwana Citramulia’s FY10 results (ARNA IJ)
(Rp b) FY10 FY09 % chg y/y
Sales 830 714 16
COGS (566) (501) 13
Gross Profit 264 213 24
Operating expenses (117) (87) 35
Operating profit 147 126 17
Interest expense (31) (35) (11)
Forex gain (loss) 7 9 (25)
Other income (expenses) (15) (9) 61
Pre‐tax 108 91 19
Income tax (28) (26) 7
Minority Interest (1) (1) (7)
Net profit 79 64 24
EPS (Rp) 43 35 24
Gross Margin (%) 31.8 29.8
Operating Margin (%) 17.7 17.7
Net Margin (%) 9.5 8.9
Source: Company data
INDONESIA EQUITY RESEARCH
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Equity Daily 24 March 2011
Chart Pointers
IDX: The index has successfully closed above resistance level yesterday.
Our targets are at the resistance levels mentioned below. Again, pay
attention on coal and property stocks. Today’s trading range is between
3436‐3524‐3542 (support) and 3598‐3602‐3666 (resistance).
ASII: The stock is trending up. Meanwhile, trading volume was thin.
Target price is Rp57100. TRADING BUY.
UNTR: Assuming corrective wave C has completed and based on
resistance gap, we have positive view on the stock. Target price is
Rp24600. TRADING BUY.
INDONESIA EQUITY RESEARCH
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Equity Daily 24 March 2011
Commodities 23‐Mar‐11 22‐Mar‐11 Change (US$) Change (%)
Nickel (US$/ton) 26,815.50 26,340.00 475.50 1.81
Tin (US$/ton) 31,372.00 30,172.00 1,200.00 3.98
Gold (US$/t.oz) 1,437.40 1,427.65 9.75 0.68
CPO Malaysia (US$/ton) 1,105.46 1,109.39 (3.93) (0.35)
Oil NYMEX (US$/barrel) 105.75 104.00 1.75 1.68
Coal ‐ ARA region (US$/ton) 130.19 126.18 4.01 3.18
Key corporate actions
Cum date Ex‐date Company Action Price (Rp) Note
25‐Mar‐11 28‐Mar‐11 BTPN Stock Split: 5 (n) : 1 (o)
6‐Apr‐11 7‐Apr‐11 SDRA Final dividend 10 9
7‐Apr‐11* 8‐Apr‐11* ABDA Rights issue: 5 (n) : 4 (o) 310 *Tentative date
INDONESIA EQUITY RESEARCH
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Equity Daily 24 March 2011
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INDONESIA EQUITY RESEARCH
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Equity Daily 24 March 2011
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INDONESIA EQUITY RESEARCH
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