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Magellan NH 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Election Survey Topline Results 032411

Magellan NH 2012 GOP Presidential Primary Election Survey Topline Results 032411

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Published by: phynes_1 on Mar 25, 2011
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March24,2011MEMORANDUMTO:INTERESTEDPARTIESFR:DAVIDFLAHERTYMAGELLANDATAANDMAPPINGSTRATEGIESRE:NEWHAMPSHIRE2012GOPPRESIDENTIALPRIMARYELECTIONSURVEYTOPLINERESULTS________________________________________________________________________________________________
MagellanDataandMappingStrategiesarepleasedtopresentthetoplineresultsofa651Nautodialsurveyoflikely2012NewHampshireRepublicanprimaryvoters,andindependentvotersthatarelikelytovoteinthe2012RepublicanPresidentialprimary.TheinterviewswereconductedMarch22
nd
-23
rd
,2011.Thissurveyhasamarginoferrorof+/-3.84%atthe95percentconfidenceinterval.Thesurveyresultsareweightedbaseduponvoterturnoutdemographicsfromthe2008RepublicanPresidentialprimary.T1.AreyouregisteredtovoteasaRepublican,aDemocratoranindependentvoter?Republican..................................................................................74%Independent...............................................................................26%T2.Asyoumayknow,independentvotersinNewHampshirecanvoteinthe2012Presidentialprimaryelection.Howlikelyareyoutovoteinthe2012Presidentialprimaryelection?(Askedtoindependentvotersonly)ExtremelyLikely......................................................................91%VeryLikely.....................................................................................4%SomewhatLikely.........................................................................5%T3.Andifthe2012Presidentialprimaryelectionwasbeingheldtoday,wouldyouchoosetovoteintheDemocratprimaryortheRepublicanprimary?(Askedtoindependentvotersonly)Republicanprimary.............................................................100%
 
MagellanID#NHGOPPRIM-032211NewHampshire2012GOPPresidentialPrimaryElectionAutoSurveyPage2of4
FieldDates:3/22/11-3/23/11MoE+/-3.84%,651n
 
MagellanDataandMappingStrategies|1685BoxelderSt.Ste300|Louisville,CO80027www.MagellanStrategies.com|(303)861-8585
T4.Howlikelyareyoutovoteinthe2012RepublicanPresidentialprimarytochooseanomineeforPresident?(AskedtoRepublicanandIndependentrespondents)ExtremelyLikely......................................................................94%VeryLikely.....................................................................................5%SomewhatLikely.........................................................................1%Thinkingnowaboutcandidateendorsementsandhowimportanttheyaretoyou

T5.HowimportantaretheendorsementsofprominentNewHampshirepoliticalfiguresofRepublicanPresidentialcandidatestoyouwhendecidingonwhichcandidatetosupport?ExtremelyImportant..............................................................13%VeryImportant.........................................................................10%SomewhatImportant.............................................................34%NotImportantAtAll...............................................................40%Undecided/Unsure.....................................................................3%T6.HowimportantaretheendorsementsofthetopNewHampshirenewspapersofRepublicanPresidentialcandidatestoyouwhendecidingonwhichcandidatetosupport?ExtremelyImportant.................................................................6%VeryImportant............................................................................5%SomewhatImportant.............................................................32%NotImportantAtAll...............................................................54%Undecided/Unsure.....................................................................3%T7.AmongthefollowingNewHampshirepoliticalfigures,whoseendorsementwouldhavethebiggestimpactonyourdecisionwhendecidingwhichRepublicanPresidentialcandidatetosupport?KellyAyotte................................................................................24%JohnSununu...............................................................................16%OvideLamontagne...................................................................11%CharlieBass...................................................................................6%FrankGuinta.................................................................................3%Noneofindividualsmentionedmakesadifference...40%
 
MagellanID#NHGOPPRIM-032211NewHampshire2012GOPPresidentialPrimaryElectionAutoSurveyPage3of4
FieldDates:3/22/11-3/23/11MoE+/-3.84%,651n
 
MagellanDataandMappingStrategies|1685BoxelderSt.Ste300|Louisville,CO80027www.MagellanStrategies.com|(303)861-8585

T8.Generallyspeaking,doyousupportthegoalsoftheTeaPartyallofthetime,mostofthetime,someofthetime,ornoneofthetime?Allofthetime............................................................................20%Mostofthetime........................................................................38%Someofthetime.......................................................................30%Noneofthetime..........................................................................9%Undecided/Unsure.....................................................................3%T9.WhenmakingyourdecisionaboutwhichRepublicanprimarycandidatetosupportforPresident,whichofthefollowingcharacteristicsandfactorsmatterthemosttoyou?Ideasandvisionsofthefuture............................................39%Experienceinbusiness..........................................................22%Overalllifeexperiences.........................................................18%Noneoftheabovecharacteristics........................................7%LikelihoodofwinningtheNHprimary...............................3%Pastsuccessinwinningelections.........................................2%EndorsementsfromNHpoliticalfigures...........................1%Undecided/Unsure.....................................................................8%T10.Generallyspeaking,doyouconsideryourselftobeconservative,moderateorliberalonmostissues?Conservative..............................................................................68%Moderate.....................................................................................28%Liberal.............................................................................................2%NoOpinion.....................................................................................2%T11.Forstatisticalpurposes,areyouamanorawoman?Male...............................................................................................53%Female..........................................................................................47%

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