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UNIVERSIDAD REY JUAN CARLOS
ESCUELA TÉCNICA SUPERIOR DE INGENIERÍA DETELECOMUNICACIÓN
A statistical examination of the properties andevolution of libre software
Doctoral Thesis
Israel Herraiz Tabernero
Ingeniero IndustrialMadrid, 2008
Thesis submitted to the Departamento de Sistemas Telemáticos yComputaciónin partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor europeus of Philosophy in Computer ScienceEscuela Técnica Superior de Ingeniería de TelecomunicaciónUniversidad Rey Juan CarlosMadrid, SpainDOCTORAL THESIS
A statistical examination of the properties and evolution of libre software
Author:
Israel Herraiz Tabernero
Ingeniero Industrial - Industrial EngineerCodirector:
Jesús M. González Barahona
Doctor Ingenierio de Telecomunicación - Doctor Telecommunication EngineerCodirector:
Gregorio Robles Martínez
Doctor Ingenierio de Telecomunicación - Doctor Telecommunication Engineer
Madrid, Spain, 2008
A statistical examination of the properties and evolution of libre software
Info and Rating
Sections
« prev | next »- Motivation
- 1.1 Introduction
- 1.2 Why libre software?
- 1.2.1 What is libre software?
- 1.2.2 Open software repositories
- 1.3 Overview of this thesis
- 1.3.1 Goals and research questions
- 1.3.2 Main contributions
- 1.3.3 General structure
- State of the art
- 2.1 Introduction
- 2.2 Software evolution
- 2.2.1 The nature of programs and their evolutionary behavior
- Reference: [Leh85c], which is a reprinted edition of [Leh78]
- 2.2.2 Law of continuing change
- 2.2.3 Law of increasing entropy/complexity
- 2.2.4 The third law and the notion of feedback
- 2.2.5 The fourth and fifth laws
- 2.2.6 Law of continuing growth
- 2.2.7 Law of declining quality
- 2.3 EMPIRICAL STUDIES OF SOFTWARE EVOLUTION 23
- 2.2.8 Law of feedback system
- 2.2.9 Principle of software uncertainty
- 2.3 Empirical studies of software evolution
- 2.3.1 Laws of software evolution
- 2.3.2 FEAST and the nineties view
- 2.3.3 Libre software and software evolution
- 2.3.4 The importance of metrics for validation studies
- 2.3.5 Towards large scale investigations
- 2.3.6 The statistical properties of the size of software
- 2.4 Modelling evolution
- 2.4.1 Physical models
- 2.4.2 Statistical models
- 2.4.3 Self-Organized Criticality and the sand pile model
- 2.4.4 The Maintenance Guidance Model
- 2.5 Summary
- Methodology
- 3.1 Introduction
- 3.2 Correlation analysis
- 3.2.1 Data sources
- 3.2.2 Validation of the sample
- 3.2.3 Selected metrics
- 3.2.4 Statistical analysis
- 3.3 The dynamics of software evolution
- 3.3.1 Data sources
- 3.3.2 Statistical analysis
- 3.4 Forecasting software evolution
- 3.4.1 Data sources
- 3.4.2 Statistical analysis
- Results
- 4.1 Introduction
- 4.2 First question: Comparability of different metrics
- 4.2.1 Overall correlation
- 4.2.2 Comparability discriminating by package size
- 4.2.3 Comparability discriminating by field of application
- 4.3 SECOND QUESTION: HOW MANY METRICS TO CHARACTERIZE SOFTWARE? 69
- 4.2.4 Summary
- 4.3 Second question: How many metrics to character-
- 4.3.1 Correlation for the overall sample
- 4.3.2 Correlation discriminating by file type
- 4.3.3 Correlation discriminating by package size
- 4.3.4 Correlation discriminating by field of application
- 4.3.5 Analysis of Halstead’s level
- 4.3.6 Summary
- 4.4.1 Summary
- 4.5 FOURTH QUESTION: SELF-SIMILARITY IN SOFTWARE 81
- 4.5 Fourth question: Self-similarity in software
- 4.5.1 Header and non-header files
- 4.5.2 Shape at more aggregated levels
- 4.6 FIFTH QUESTION: THE DYNAMICS OF SOFTWARE EVOLUTION 85
- 4.5.3 Summary
- 4.6 Fifth question: The dynamics of software evolution
- 4.6.1 Sensitivity analysis
- 4.6.2 Summary
- 4.7 Sixth question: Forecasting software evolution
- 4.7.1 Fitting ARIMA models
- 4.7.2 Accuracy of the models
- 4.7.3 Summary
- Conclusions and further work
- 5.1 Summary of results
- 5.1.1 Correlation of metrics
- 5.1.2 Software attributes
- 5.1.3 Statistical properties of software
- 5.1.4 Short memory dynamics and ARIMA models
- 5.1.5 Practical implications
- 5.2 Further work
- 5.2.2 Self-similarity influence on the evolutionary patterns of soft-
- 5.2.3 Determinism and evolution
- 5.3 Conclusions
- The double Pareto distribution
- Additional results
- Time Series Analysis functions and models
- C.1 Autocorrelation Coefficients Function
- C.2 ARIMA models
- C.3 Long and short memory processes
- Patterns to identify automated files
- Resumen en español
- E.1 Antecedentes
- E.2 Objetivos
- E.3 Metodología
- • Estudio de las propiedades del software
- E.3.1 Estudio de las propiedades del software
- E.3.2 Estudio de la evolución del software
- E.4 Conclusiones
- BIBLIOGRAPHY
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