SPECTATOR AUSTRALIA
The Kiwis need
a David Cameron
‘Their conservative PM isn't doing much to reverse
New Zealand's economic decline. Still, he seems nice
JAMS ALLAN
lived in New Zealand for 11 years
Ties ie Saree
Anumber of ines mot seven ot
fortnight ag, twas the South oad,
down uh cartauakert Chstchueh
inDuneain
‘Atlas the Kivi peopl re wonder
tly tendly, nd reer and epbeat
But ater neatly yur lng aero the
Tas io Brisbane you ca ep notes
ing that New Zentand soem poor And
the economy Yoks ta estaed. Wnt of
al he Ri rine Minster cones scons
Asan all things taal men sort of poy
Who an in poi ao much opt hes
done and inprve the prospect of met
Now Zealanders sto be Hed and not
Tock the boat.
Tie’ slowly owl prapmatt rough
and through, When te err lean
{ahour government of Helen Clark won
ole, in party suber two man Mihl
Clea sumed up what the tebour
‘oprosch would be ith his hy Hel
Whatever yo think of tha approach,
you could aver pin on Key tnd a
National party government, Having sone
ino ace hey hve done remark
te that you might expect om aghe-
centre party. They fl in pce te aw
Cciminaisng pares whe snack eee
eh, merely elaming tha the police
Would enforce seat = meaning on
‘umes the lay nou ot ened
cauay Wo everyone
Zand wha ofthe massive government
spending an porentage of gas domes
te product they inherited? Ab wl thoy
Sih’ do anya aout tT at tey
Inrate iteverssligy, hough
tld the pas fow day hey hve made
Doles shout eticing i Psy
"hen there’ the ite incest ece
loa fora university stent posbly
themost ein ny tospend monty on
terry inutons ever devine by ose
The Key government hain plogeran
Same poe for Working for Fae
for of mid-cae weno selene
Keyoncedesribeditisasor of eonumiy
nism That oil n place Sonat
Inport respect ite abou gveen
snes Employment Relations Ace Oh
and the Key government even legislated
an Emissions Trading Scheme, as though
this would do anything other than further
impoverish New Zealand
‘Let me put it this way. Key is perhaps
the only politician on the planet from
a right-of-centre party who can make
British Prime Minister David Cameron
look like a small government, low-spend-
ing man of action, Key seems simply to
float above it all as a genuinely likeable
man whose greatest asset is, wel, that he’s
not former Labor PM Helen Clark. He may
govern not too differently from the way
she did, But he's nicer and gives off the
aura of moderation,
So the fiscal deficit in New Zealand is
forecast soon to hit 9 per cent. That’s not
Greece, of California, but i's not far off
either. And the goal Key and his govern-
‘ment made an explicit priority on frst tak
ing office, tocatch up with Australian living
standards, wel, that’s now a lost cause. In
faet the 2025 taskforce set up by Key to
How am I doing? PM Jol Key announces
New Zealan!’s November election date
recommend how to achieve that goal in
‘couple of decades has had its recommen
dations almost wholly ignored. ‘They've
mostly been rubbished by the people who
asked for them.
Meanwhile, he government itself offers
up basically nothing, It clearly has no ides
bout how (o catch up with Australian liv
ing standards, not least because being seen
to be nice overrides all other concerns. It's
not even clear that it has any intention of
wanting (0 do so any more, You see, that
would require having to implement things
that some people wouldn’t lke
And through itall Key remains immense-
ly popular. He is miles ahead of Labour
leader Phil Goff. If elections were simply
about choosing the most affable guy going
\who won't ever frighten the horse, then it's
hard to see Key losing to anyone, ever.
For those, though, who think winning
office is just a prelude to implementing
‘an overarching and philosophically-based
Program that improves things for most peo-
ple, Key isan awful prime minister. It's hard
{0 sce what his legacy will be, other than
winning a few elections and leaving things
Pretty much as he found thems before hand
ing back to Labour at some point.
It's not why everyone goes into politics,
Tet me put it that way.
‘Which brings us to the big referendum
fon the voting system that will be held later
this year at the same time as the election.
Nearly 20 years on, Kiwis will get another
say on the 1993 decision they made (53 per
cent 1047 percent) to move to the German:
style MMP voting system, This is a highly
proportional system, and in my view one of
the reasons for New Zealand's poor eco
‘nomic performance since that time.
You see, some people get into parlia
ment under MMP without actually winning
seat and just because their party leader
puts them at the top of a list, And small
er parties have a highly disproportionate
say, as anyone watching the Foreshore and
Seabed saga from afar would observe. It's
a system that forees compromise no mat
ter the dire economic straits. I's one that
favours those who aim to be nice and not
cause trouble,
‘That may be why Key is taking no steps
‘ocampaign against MMP ia this upcoming
referendum. His core National party voters
are the most anti-MMP voters in New Zea
land, But the system suits Key just fine
Meanwhile, MMP advocates talk vague
ly of fixing up unspecified aspects of MMP
in unspecified ways at an unspecified time
should they win on this referendum,
Personally, if MMP does win later this
year, I think pessimism for the long-term
economic future of New Zealand will be
very hard to avoid
James Ailan is Garrick Professor of Law
the University of Queensland,