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Semi Automated Calibration of a Cellular Automata Model - 2008

Semi Automated Calibration of a Cellular Automata Model - 2008

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Published by: Welly Pradipta bin Maryulis on Apr 11, 2011
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01/31/2013

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UCGE Reports
Number 20265
Department of Geomatics Engineering
Semi-automated calibration of a cellular automatamodel to simulate land-use changes in the Calgaryregion
(URL:
 
http://www.geomatics.ucalgary.ca/research/publications/GradTheses.html)
 
byJean-Gabriel Hasbani
January 2008
 
UNIVESITY OF CALGARYSemi-automated calibration of a cellular automata model to simulate land-use changesin the Calgary regionbyJean-Gabriel HasbaniA THESISSUBMITTED TO THE FACULTY OF GRADUATE STUDIESIN PARTIAL FULFILMENT OF THE REQUIREMENTS FOR THEDEGREE OF MASTER OF SCIENCEDEPARTMENT OF GEOMATICS ENGINEERINGCALGARY, ALBERTAJANUARY, 2008© Jean-Gabriel Hasbani 2008
 
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Abstract
This thesis describes a semi-automated interactive method that has been implemented tocalibrate a cellular automata model developed to simulate land-use changes in the Calgaryregion, Alberta. Historical land-use maps are read and factors responsible for driving theland-use changes, such as the distance to the road network, are identified. A frequencyhistogram is produced for each combination of land-use changes, neighborhoodconfiguration, and driving factor. This information is analyzed to automatically create thetransition rules that can be applied for the simulation. This flexible and interactivecalibration procedure allows a user to display the influence of each driving factor on pastland-use changes and to select how this factor will influence the CA model whenforecasting future land-use development. Multiple processes driving a land-use change areidentified and simulated, and the application of constraints enables the simulation of “what-if” scenarios. The model generates realistic results in terms of land-use patterns and newurban development.

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