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Alternative World Scenarios for a New Order of Nations Pub245

Alternative World Scenarios for a New Order of Nations Pub245

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Published by: scparco on Apr 17, 2011
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Charles W. Taylor1993
*****This book is revised and updated edition of
AlternativeWorld Scenarios for Strategic Planning 
(Taylor, 1988 and 1990)and is compatible with
A World 2010: A New Order of Nations
(Taylor, 1992).*****The views expressed in this book are those of the author anddo not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of theDepartment of the Army, the Department of Defense, or the U.S.Government. Research for this book was completed on June 30,1993. This book is approved for public release; distribution isunlimited.*****Comments pertaining to this book are invited and should beforwarded to Commandant, U.S. Army College or to the Director,Strategic Studies Institute, U.S. Army War College, CarlisleBarracks, PA 17013-5050. Comments may also be conveyed directlyto the author at Box 407 at the above address or by callingcommercial (717) 245-3010, DSN 242-3010, or FAX (717) 245-3820.Copies of this report may be obtained from the Publications andProduction Office by calling commercial (717) 245-4133, DSN242-4133, FAX (717) 245-3820, or via the Internet atrummelr@carlisle-emh2.army.mil*****Portions of this book may be quoted or represented withoutpermission, provided that a standard source credit line isincluded.*****Cover design by Ms. Roberta M. Hill.*****Selected 1993, 1994, and all later Strategic StudiesInstitute (SSI) monographs are available on the Strategic StudiesInstitute Homepage for electronic dissemination. SSI's Homepageaddress is: http://carlisle-www.army.mil/usassi/welcome.htm
This futures book reflects the global trends and events ofthe recent past and those of today that are bringing about changeto the world's political, economic, social, technological, andmilitary environments. The forecasts found throughout the bookare derived from analysis of the open literature and other media,the author's experience as a futurist, and his own futureswritings.Since their publication,
Alternative World Scenarios for Strategic Planning 
(Taylor, 1988/1990) and its follow-on study,
AWorld 2010: A New Order of Nations
(Taylor, 1992) have receivedwide usage for strategic planning throughout active and reservecomponents of U.S. military. They have also been used nationallyand internationally for long-range planning by business,industry, academia, and other private and governmentorganizations. World changes, principally those that have comeabout since the collapse of the Soviet Union and the decline ofSoviet communism, and the consequences of these changes that areunraveling with time, have increased interest in the forecasts ofthese studies. Further, greater interrelatedness and involvementof nations have encouraged long-range planners and other users torequest the author to reassess his earlier writings against thisnew global setting and produce an updated set of planningscenarios as a sequel to
A World 2010: A New Order of Nations
Alternative World Scenarios for A New Order of Nations
waswritten by Charles W. Taylor as a text and guide for long-rangeplanners, policymakers, and others. It provides a set ofplausible scenarios against which users can build policies anddecisions while anticipating and judging their consequencesbefore implementation.This book was written for the United States Army War Collegeas a contribution to long-range planning for the Army. TheStrategic Studies Institute is pleased to publish it.WILLIAM A. STOFFTMajor General, U.S. ArmyCommandant

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