COPPERFIELD RESEARCH
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
________________________________________________________________________2
have been providing since January. Based on comments in the MD&A from the 10Q, it appearsmanagement has overstated the year-over-year SSD growth rate by over 200%.
4) Irregularities in the prospectus, past filings, and a needed restatement.
The prospectus that investorsrelied upon for the recent secondary appears to have contained material financial inaccuracies. Based uponthe financials provided, we are unable to reconcile the Segment attributions with past SEC filings. Theprospectus appears to overstate SSD growth for 2010 by 183%. The 8K (from 1/10/11), the 10K, and therevenue from quarterly results reported in each 10Q do not reconcile. Additionally, it appears SSDrevenues were somehowreallocated to the PSU segment in some financials and the memory segment inothers -with the result being overstated forward revenue growth in SSD. Finally, OCZ's CFO resigned latelast year after only 18 months in that role.
5) Material information was withheld about the CEO's past felonious activity.
OCZ and theunderwriters did not disclose material background information on the CEO's criminal record.While we aresympathetic to mistakes made in the past, we believe the importance of the CEO's credibility is essentialgiven the extreme reliance investors and analysts have placed on his story. A national criminal recordssearch shows the CEO was arrested and/or charged in various Courts for: Grand Theft, Forgery, UnlawfulEntry Motor Vehicle, Theft-1, Drug Violations, and Traffic in Stolen Property.
6) Controversial geographic disclosures suggest all of the growth is from EMEA.
Despite cagyreferences to HP, Yahoo, and other U.S.-based enterprise wins, close to 100% of OCZ's growth has comefrom the Middle East, Africa, and Europe. Based on public disclosures by the CFO, for the numbers toreconcile, SSD business outside of the U.S. is somehow growing nearly 3x faster than U.S. SSD growth.The company's comments about SSD attributions imply North American non-SSD revenues would havefallen between 53% and 92% sequentially, while that same non-SSD business was flattish outside of theU.S. While unrelated, it is worth noting that OCZ has received inquiries from the FBI about product salesinto the Middle East.
1
7) Claiming to triple capacity out of thin air.
OCZ has publicly stated multiple times that they expandedcapacity by 3x in the third fiscal quarter. We have been unable to find the associated expenses or capitalexpenditures supporting that level of capacity expansion. In fact, PP&E declined by $10,000 from Q1 toQ3, while capex was only $728,000 for the entire first nine months of the fiscal year.
8) Hype aside, OCZ looks uglynext to STEC.
Despite a rocky road ahead for STEC, the side-by-sidecomparisons are alarming for OCZ investors that believe the company has the infrastructure and support toestablish large revenue agreements with OEM's (qualification announcement do not equal revenue). STECemploys 250% more heads in R&D and spends nearly 90% more per such employee. Further, STEC spentmore than 400% more on R&D in 2010 than OCZ spent in the previous four years combined. When takingall of OCZ's options and warrants into consideration, the enterprise value of OCZ is now just $250 millionless than STEC.
9) OCZ's appearsdelusional and does not seem to play in the high-end enterprise SSD sandbox.
Don'ttake our word for it, look at the supposed competition. In public filings, OCZ claims to compete withFusion-io, STEC and Smart Modular. However, none of those three list OCZ as a competitor in their publicfilings. Additionally the "wise guy" investors that have bought OCZ as a backdoor to Fusion-io are likely tobe sorely disappointed if they actually compare the financial profiles and end markets of the twocompanies.
10)Industry reviews accuse OCZ of disingenuous specs and "shady" marketing.
The CEO of DDRdrive and the industry review website Storage Review have accused OCZ of knowingly publishingdisingenuous product specifications. OCZ's decision to deceptively market new products with legacy specsand marketing material led one industry website to warn (talking about the product, not the stock) "At thispoint it is buyer beware until OCZ steps up and reveals some degree of transparency."
2
11) OCZ is being sued for Negligent Misrepresentation and Deceptive Advertising Practices.
OCZfailed to disclose any of the details behind the lawsuit filed against them in U.S. District Court less thanthree weeks ago. The lawsuit provides great detail into OCZ's decision to change the number of modules,the densities, and the nodes of its flash cells without disclosing such changes to customers. The lawsuitaccuses OCZ of Deceptive Advertising and Negligent Misrepresentation, among six total claims, "OCZ'sadvertisings and marketing representations concerning the storage capacity and performance of theProducts are false, misleading, and deceptive."
12) The Indilinx acquisition -fuzzy math and a bleak revenue picture.
Despite management's rosycomments aroundIndilinx and future accretion, public SEC filings portray Indilinx as a company that was
Add a Comment