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Table Of Contents

Purpose
Why Am I Doing This?
The Variables
The Sample
Regression Model
Statistics of the Model
Significance of Predictors
Interpretation of Significance
Interpretation of the Model
Examples of Prediction
Explanation of the Predictions
Residual: Error vs. Predicted
Diagnostic Checking
Diagnostics Continued
Example of a Run vs. Pass
Oriented Offense
Example of a Balanced Offense
Statistical Comparison of
Offenses
Interpretation of Comparisons
Determining the Probability of
Winning the Game
Distribution of Wins and Losses
Frequencies of Game Outcomes
Method of Analysis
Estimation of Parameters
Fit of the Model
Odds Ratios
Interpretation of the Odds Ratios
Conversion into Probabilities
Some Examples
What the Model Does Not
Suggest
Another Consideration
Does the Year and Week affect
Points Scored?
2 Way ANOVA for Points
Scored, Year and Week
Interpretation of the 2 Way
ANOVA
Conclusion
References
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Football

Football

Ratings: (0)|Views: 45 |Likes:
Published by kinception
‡100¶s of free ppt¶s from www.pptpoint.com library

Football in the ¶90¶s
Curtis Olswold University of Iowa 22S Honors Project

Sunday Afternoon Ritual
‡ A team¶s strategy, or tactical approach to a game is not unique. ‡ There are three dominant types of offense that exist in the NFL: 1) Pass oriented 2) Run oriented 3) Balanced (Run and Pass oriented)

Purpose
‡ Construct a model to predict the points a team scores. ‡ Determine the probability that a team wins given certain factors. ‡ Invest
‡100¶s of free ppt¶s from www.pptpoint.com library

Football in the ¶90¶s
Curtis Olswold University of Iowa 22S Honors Project

Sunday Afternoon Ritual
‡ A team¶s strategy, or tactical approach to a game is not unique. ‡ There are three dominant types of offense that exist in the NFL: 1) Pass oriented 2) Run oriented 3) Balanced (Run and Pass oriented)

Purpose
‡ Construct a model to predict the points a team scores. ‡ Determine the probability that a team wins given certain factors. ‡ Invest

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Published by: kinception on May 29, 2011
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial

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08/16/2013

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