Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: information@publicpolicypolling.com
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE June 1, 2011INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAILinformation@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPHOF THE PRESS RELEASE
Minnesotans like Dayton, split on gay marriage
Raleigh, N.C. –
If Minnesota is any indication, it looks like the trend of massivelyunpopular new Republican governors, particularly in the Midwest, is exclusive to theGOP. PPP has shown Wisconsin’s Scott Walker, Ohio’s John Kasich, Pennsylvania’sTom Corbett, Michigan’s Rick Snyder, Florida’s Rick Scott, and Georgia’s Nathan Dealall losing to their 2010 Democratic opponents in hypothetical do-overs, but Mark Daytonwould win by a 48-36-13 landslide in a repeat of the three-way race he won by less thanhalf of one percent over Republican Tom Emmer and independent Tom Horner. 51%approve and 38% approve of Dayton’s performance in office so far.Republicans last fall took control of both houses of the state legislature by flipping 25House seats and 16 Senate seats. But were voters to head to the polls today, Democratswould win the generic statewide vote, 49-40.This fall, voters will cast their ballots on a referendum to amend the state constitution tolimit marriage rights to one man and one woman. Minnesotans are split right down themiddle on that question, with 47% believing the constitution should not be amended assuch, and 46% believing it should. Similarly, 46% support same-sex marriage, and 45%think it should still be illegal.“Minnesota voters are evenly split on gay marriage right now,” said Dean Debnam,President of Public Policy Polling. “What’s interesting though is how fast public opinionis moving on this issue. It’s entirely conceivable that in another 17 months the state willhave a clear majority supportive of same sex marriage. That’s the direction things aregoing in.”47% of the state’s voters want neither Tim Pawlenty nor Michele Bachmann to run forany office next year. 43% of Republicans prefer the congresswoman to challenge AmyKlobuchar, while 57% want their former governor to duel with Obama.PPP surveyed 1,179 Minnesota voters from May 27
th
to 30
th
. The margin of error for thesurvey is +/-2.9%. This poll was not paid for or authorized by any campaign or politicalorganization. PPP surveys are conducted through automated telephone interviews. PPPis a Democratic polling company, but polling expert Nate Silver of the
New York Times
found that its surveys in 2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republicancandidates.
May 27-30, 2011
Survey of 1,179 Minnesota voters
May 27-30, 2011
Survey of 1,179 Minnesota voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Minnesota Survey Results
Q1
Do you approve or disapprove of GovernorMark Dayton’s job performance?51%
Approve
..........................................................
38%
Disapprove
......................................................
10%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q2
If you could do last fall’s election for Governorover again would you vote for Democrat MarkDayton, Republican Tom Emmer, orindependent Tom Horner?48%
Mark Dayton
..........
36%
Tom Emmer
...........
13%
Tom Horner
...........
3%
Not sure
................
Q3
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator AlFranken’s job performance?48%
Approve
..........................................................
40%
Disapprove
......................................................
12%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q4Should the Minnesota Constitution beamended to provide that only a union of oneman and one woman shall be valid orrecognized as a marriage in Minnesota?46%
Yes
..................................................................
47%
No
...................................................................
7%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q5Which of the following best describes youropinion on gay marriage: gay couples shouldbe allowed to legally marry, or gay couplesshould be allowed to form civil unions but notlegally marry, or there should be no legalrecognition of a gay couple's relationship?38%
Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry
..............................................................
34%
Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry
.......................................
26%
There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship
.......................................
2%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q6Do you think same-sex marriage should belegal or illegal?46%
Legal
...............................................................
45%
Illegal
..............................................................
9%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q7Next year would you like Michele Bachmann torun for President, the Senate, the House, or notrun for any office?14%
President
.........................................................
23%
Senate
............................................................
10%
House
.............................................................
47%
No office
..........................................................
6%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q8Next year would you like Tim Pawlenty to runfor President, the Senate, or not run for anyoffice?28%
President
.........................................................
17%
Senate
............................................................
47%
No office
..........................................................
7%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q9
Do you approve or disapprove of the job theDFL members of the legislature are doing?39%
Approve
..........................................................
45%
Disapprove
......................................................
16%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q10
Do you approve or disapprove of the job theRepublican members of the legislature aredoing?29%
Approve
..........................................................
58%
Disapprove
......................................................
13%
Not sure
..........................................................
May 27-30, 2011
Survey of 1,179 Minnesota voters
May 27-30, 2011
Survey of 1,179 Minnesota voters
3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988
Q11
If there was an election for the legislature todaydo you think you would vote for the DFL orRepublican candidate from your district?49%
DFL candidate
................................................
40%
Republican candidate
.....................................
11%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q12
Would you support a tax increase on thewealthiest 2% of Minnesotans to help balancethe state budget, or do you think the budgetshould be balanced through cuts only?63%
Would support a tax increase on the wealthiest 2% of Minnesotans
........................
32%
Budget should be balanced through cuts only
4%
Not sure
..........................................................
Q13
Who did you vote for President in 2008?41%
John McCain
...................................................
52%
Barack Obama
................................................
7%
Someone else/Don't remember
......................
Q14
Would you describe yourself as very liberal,somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhatconservative, or very conservative?11%
Very liberal
......................................................
20%
Somewhat liberal
............................................
29%
Moderate
.........................................................
25%
Somewhat conservative
..................................
15%
Very conservative
...........................................
Q15
If you are a woman, press 1. If a man, press 2.50%
Woman
...........................................................
50%
Man
.................................................................
Q16
If you are a Democrat, press 1. If a Republican,press 2. If you are an independent or identifywith another party, press 3.38%
Democrat
........................................................
31%
Republican
......................................................
31%
Independent/Other
..........................................
Q17
If you are white, press 1. If other, press 2.92%
White
..............................................................
8%
Other
...............................................................
Q18
If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1. If 30 to45, press 2. If 46 to 65, press 3. If you areolder than 65, press 4.12%
18 to 29
...........................................................
30%
30 to 45
...........................................................
38%
46 to 65
...........................................................
20%
Older than 65
..................................................
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