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VAR RELATIVA

FECHA

ECOPETROL

RENTABILIDAD

1/4/2010

2,495.00

1/5/2010

2,465.00

-1.20%

1/6/2010

2,460.00

-0.20%

1/7/2010

2,440.00

-0.81%

1/8/2010

2,470.00

1.23%

1/12/2010

2,445.00

-1.01%

1/13/2010

2,435.00

-0.41%

1/14/2010

2,450.00

0.62%

6.00%

1/15/2010

2,470.00

0.82%

1/18/2010

2,465.00

-0.20%

4.00%

1/19/2010

2,460.00

-0.20%

1/20/2010

2,455.00

-0.20%

1/21/2010

2,390.00

-2.65%

1/22/2010

2,400.00

0.42%

1/25/2010

2,370.00

-1.25%

1/26/2010

2,425.00

2.32%

1/27/2010

2,445.00

0.82%

1/28/2010

2,450.00

0.20%

1/29/2010

2,455.00

0.20%

2/1/2010

2,435.00

-0.81%

2/2/2010

2,445.00

0.41%

2/3/2010

2,455.00

0.41%

2/4/2010

2,425.00

-1.22%

2/5/2010

2,415.00

-0.41%

2/8/2010

2,405.00

-0.41%

2/9/2010

2,455.00

2.08%

2/10/2010

2,465.00

0.41%

2/11/2010

2,475.00

0.41%

2/12/2010

2,480.00

0.20%

2/15/2010

2,485.00

0.20%

2/16/2010

2,470.00

-0.60%

2/17/2010

2,485.00

0.61%

2/18/2010

2,470.00

-0.60%

2/19/2010

2,495.00

1.01%

2/22/2010

2,500.00

0.20%

2/23/2010

2,540.00

1.60%

2/24/2010

2,600.00

2.36%

2/25/2010

2,570.00

-1.15%

2/26/2010

2,560.00

-0.39%

GARFICO DE LINEA DE VARIACION REL

2.00%
0.00%
-2.00%
-4.00%
-6.00%

1/28/2010 3/17/2010 5/7/201


1/4/2010 2/22/2010 4/14/2010 6

GRAFICO DE DIPERSION 3

6.00%
4.00%
2.00%
0.00%
-2.00%
-4.00%
-6.00%
10/14/2009

1/22/2010

FORMAS DE LA DISTRIBUCION

5/2

3/1/2010

2,560.00

0.00%

3/2/2010

2,565.00

0.20%

3/3/2010

2,605.00

1.56%

3/4/2010

2,605.00

0.00%

3/5/2010

2,625.00

0.77%

3/8/2010

2,640.00

0.57%

3/9/2010

2,635.00

-0.19%

3/10/2010

2,655.00

0.76%

3/11/2010

2,695.00

1.51%

3/12/2010

2,680.00

-0.56%

3/15/2010

2,675.00

-0.19%

3/16/2010

2,685.00

0.37%

3/17/2010

2,710.00

0.93%

3/18/2010

2,710.00

0.00%

3/19/2010

2,700.00

-0.37%

3/23/2010

2,700.00

0.00%

3/24/2010

2,685.00

-0.56%

3/25/2010

2,690.00

0.19%

3/26/2010

2,675.00

-0.56%

3/29/2010

2,680.00

0.19%

3/30/2010

2,685.00

0.19%

3/31/2010

2,700.00

0.56%

4/5/2010

2,710.00

0.37%

4/6/2010

2,730.00

0.74%

4/7/2010

2,740.00

0.37%

4/8/2010

2,725.00

-0.55%

4/9/2010

2,725.00

0.00%

4/12/2010

2,720.00

-0.18%

4/13/2010

2,710.00

-0.37%

4/14/2010

2,715.00

0.18%

4/15/2010

2,730.00

0.55%

4/16/2010

2,690.00

-1.47%

4/19/2010

2,680.00

-0.37%

4/20/2010

2,715.00

1.31%

4/21/2010

2,755.00

1.47%

4/22/2010

2,750.00

-0.18%

4/23/2010

2,780.00

1.09%

4/26/2010

2,785.00

0.18%

4/27/2010

2,760.00

-0.90%

4/28/2010

2,730.00

-1.09%

4/29/2010

2,765.00

1.28%

4/30/2010

2,765.00

0.00%

5/3/2010

2,790.00

0.90%

Clase
-0.05
-0.04
-0.04
-0.03
-0.02
-0.02
-0.01
-0.01
0
0
0.01
0.01
0.02
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.04
0.05
y mayor...
RESUMEN DE ESTADISTICA
Columna1
Media
Error tpico
Mediana
Moda
Desviacin estndar
Varianza de la muestra
Curtosis
Coeficiente de asimetra
Rango
Mnimo
Mximo
Suma
Cuenta

-1.25%
1.54%

5/4/2010

2,775.00

-0.54%

5/5/2010

2,725.00

-1.80%

5/6/2010

2,660.00

-2.39%

5/7/2010

2,670.00

0.38%

5/10/2010

2,720.00

1.87%

5/11/2010

2,745.00

0.92%

5/12/2010

2,775.00

1.09%

5/13/2010

2,765.00

-0.36%

5/14/2010

2,740.00

-0.90%

5/18/2010

2,710.00

-1.09%

5/19/2010

2,700.00

-0.37%

5/20/2010

2,660.00

-1.48%

5/21/2010

2,630.00

-1.13%

5/24/2010

2,660.00

1.14%

5/25/2010

2,630.00

-1.13%

5/26/2010

2,690.00

2.28%

5/27/2010

2,695.00

0.19%

5/28/2010

2,710.00

0.56%

5/31/2010

2,700.00

-0.37%

6/1/2010

2,730.00

1.11%

6/2/2010

2,730.00

0.00%

6/3/2010

2,720.00

-0.37%

6/4/2010

2,690.00

-1.10%

6/8/2010

2,685.00

-0.19%

6/9/2010

2,700.00

0.56%

6/10/2010

2,710.00

0.37%

6/11/2010

2,710.00

0.00%

6/15/2010

2,720.00

0.37%

6/16/2010

2,750.00

1.10%

6/17/2010

2,750.00

0.00%

6/18/2010

2,765.00

0.55%

6/21/2010

2,750.00

-0.54%

6/22/2010

2,740.00

-0.36%

6/23/2010

2,760.00

0.73%

6/24/2010

2,770.00

0.36%

6/25/2010

2,775.00

0.18%

6/29/2010

2,740.00

-1.26%

LA MAXIMA PERDIDA ESPERADA PARA

6/30/2010

2,755.00

0.55%

BACKTESTING

7/1/2010

2,735.00

-0.73%

7/2/2010

2,725.00

-0.37%

7/6/2010

2,755.00

1.10%

7/7/2010

2,765.00

0.36%

PRECIO JUNIO 3
VALOR POSICION JUNI 3
P/G REAL
SE COMPARA EL VaR ESTIMADO CON P

7/8/2010

2,795.00

1.08%

SI LOS DATOS SE ASEMEJAN AUNA NOR


PRUEBA DE NORMALIDAD

H0: LA DSITRIBUCION DE RENTABILIDA


H1: LA DSITRIBUCION DE RENTABILIDA
1. ESTADISTICO DE PRUEBA
JARQUE BERA
2. VALOR CRITICO
NIVEL DE SIGNIFICANCIA
GRADOS D ELIBERTAD
DECISION:

MEDICION DEL RIESGO


METODO PARAMETRICO
ACCION
1 NUMERO DE ACCIONES
2 ULTIMO PRECIO(JUNE 2)
4 VOLATILIDAD
5 NIVEL DE CONFIANZA
6 2 COBERTURA
7 HORIZONTE t
3 VALOR EXPOSICION
VaR
VaR(%)

7/9/2010

2,825.00

1.07%

METODO NO PARAMETRICO

7/13/2010

2,860.00

1.24%

FECHA

7/14/2010

2,930.00

2.45%

1/4/2010

7/15/2010

2,980.00

1.71%

1/5/2010

7/16/2010

2,990.00

0.34%

1/6/2010

7/19/2010

3,005.00

0.50%

1/7/2010

7/21/2010

3,100.00

3.16%

1/8/2010

7/22/2010

3,135.00

1.13%

1/12/2010

7/23/2010

3,085.00

-1.59%

1/13/2010

7/26/2010

3,165.00

2.59%

1/14/2010

7/27/2010

3,130.00

-1.11%

1/15/2010

7/28/2010

3,135.00

0.16%

1/18/2010

7/29/2010

3,095.00

-1.28%

1/19/2010

7/30/2010

3,105.00

0.32%

1/20/2010

8/2/2010

3,145.00

1.29%

1/21/2010

8/3/2010

3,245.00

3.18%

1/22/2010

8/4/2010

3,310.00

2.00%

1/25/2010

8/5/2010

3,450.00

4.23%

1/26/2010

8/6/2010

3,365.00

-2.46%

1/27/2010

8/9/2010

3,350.00

-0.45%

1/28/2010

8/10/2010

3,305.00

-1.34%

1/29/2010

8/11/2010

3,250.00

-1.66%

2/1/2010

8/12/2010

3,280.00

0.92%

2/2/2010

8/13/2010

3,320.00

1.22%

2/3/2010

8/17/2010

3,340.00

0.60%

2/4/2010

8/18/2010

3,310.00

-0.90%

2/5/2010

8/19/2010

3,310.00

0.00%

2/8/2010

8/20/2010

3,300.00

-0.30%

2/9/2010

8/23/2010

3,350.00

1.52%

2/10/2010

8/24/2010

3,360.00

0.30%

2/11/2010

8/25/2010

3,350.00

-0.30%

2/12/2010

8/26/2010

3,390.00

1.19%

2/15/2010

8/27/2010

3,435.00

1.33%

2/16/2010

8/30/2010

3,450.00

0.44%

2/17/2010

8/31/2010

3,485.00

1.01%

2/18/2010

9/1/2010

3,580.00

2.73%

2/19/2010

9/2/2010

3,500.00

-2.23%

2/22/2010

9/3/2010

3,500.00

0.00%

2/23/2010

9/6/2010

3,600.00

2.86%

2/24/2010

9/7/2010

3,620.00

0.56%

2/25/2010

9/8/2010

3,735.00

3.18%

2/26/2010

9/9/2010

3,770.00

0.94%

3/1/2010

9/10/2010

3,690.00

-2.12%

3/2/2010

9/13/2010

3,645.00

-1.22%

3/3/2010

9/14/2010

3,615.00

-0.82%

3/4/2010

9/15/2010

3,560.00

-1.52%

3/5/2010

9/16/2010

3,550.00

-0.28%

3/8/2010

9/17/2010

3,530.00

-0.56%

3/9/2010

9/20/2010

3,610.00

2.27%

3/10/2010

9/21/2010

3,645.00

0.97%

3/11/2010

9/22/2010

3,585.00

-1.65%

3/12/2010

9/23/2010

3,560.00

-0.70%

3/15/2010

9/24/2010

3,585.00

0.70%

3/16/2010

9/27/2010

3,595.00

0.28%

3/17/2010

9/28/2010

3,635.00

1.11%

3/18/2010

9/29/2010

3,730.00

2.61%

3/19/2010

9/30/2010

3,700.00

-0.80%

3/23/2010

10/1/2010

3,725.00

0.68%

3/24/2010

10/4/2010

3,730.00

0.13%

3/25/2010

10/5/2010

3,880.00

4.02%

3/26/2010

10/6/2010

4,080.00

5.15%

3/29/2010

10/7/2010

3,990.00

-2.21%

3/30/2010

10/8/2010

4,055.00

1.63%

3/31/2010

10/11/2010

4,105.00

1.23%

4/5/2010

10/12/2010

4,095.00

-0.24%

4/6/2010

10/13/2010

4,165.00

1.71%

4/7/2010

10/14/2010

4,150.00

-0.36%

4/8/2010

10/15/2010

4,140.00

-0.24%

4/9/2010

10/19/2010

4,270.00

3.14%

4/12/2010

10/20/2010

4,245.00

-0.59%

4/13/2010

10/21/2010

4,270.00

0.59%

4/14/2010

10/22/2010

4,340.00

1.64%

4/15/2010

10/25/2010

4,335.00

-0.12%

4/16/2010

10/26/2010

4,360.00

0.58%

4/19/2010

10/27/2010

4,360.00

0.00%

4/20/2010

10/28/2010

4,360.00

0.00%

4/21/2010

10/29/2010

4,410.00

1.15%

4/22/2010

11/2/2010

4,425.00

0.34%

4/23/2010

11/3/2010

4,455.00

0.68%

4/26/2010

11/4/2010

4,545.00

2.02%

4/27/2010

11/5/2010

4,630.00

1.87%

4/28/2010

11/8/2010

4,650.00

0.43%

4/29/2010

11/9/2010

4,660.00

0.22%

4/30/2010

11/10/2010

4,520.00

-3.00%

5/3/2010

11/11/2010

4,345.00

-3.87%

5/4/2010

11/12/2010

4,145.00

-4.60%

5/5/2010

11/16/2010

4,020.00

-3.02%

5/6/2010

11/17/2010

4,200.00

4.48%

5/7/2010

11/18/2010

4,260.00

1.43%

5/10/2010

11/19/2010

4,090.00

-3.99%

5/11/2010

11/22/2010

4,100.00

0.24%

5/12/2010

11/23/2010

4,035.00

-1.59%

5/13/2010

11/24/2010

4,115.00

1.98%

5/14/2010

11/25/2010

4,020.00

-2.31%

5/18/2010

11/26/2010

3,935.00

-2.11%

5/19/2010

11/29/2010

3,795.00

-3.56%

5/20/2010

11/30/2010

3,840.00

1.19%

5/21/2010

12/1/2010

3,855.00

0.39%

5/24/2010

12/2/2010

3,990.00

3.50%

5/25/2010

12/3/2010

4,020.00

0.75%

5/26/2010

12/6/2010

4,030.00

0.25%

5/27/2010

12/7/2010

4,085.00

1.36%

5/28/2010

12/9/2010

4,080.00

-0.12%

5/31/2010

12/10/2010

4,070.00

-0.25%

6/1/2010

12/13/2010

4,125.00

1.35%

6/2/2010

12/14/2010

4,190.00

1.58%

6/3/2010

12/15/2010

4,100.00

-2.15%

6/4/2010

12/16/2010

4,095.00

-0.12%

6/8/2010

12/17/2010

4,020.00

-1.83%

6/9/2010

12/20/2010

4,010.00

-0.25%

6/10/2010

12/21/2010

4,050.00

1.00%

6/11/2010

12/22/2010

4,095.00

1.11%

6/15/2010

12/23/2010

4,100.00

0.12%

6/16/2010

12/24/2010

4,105.00

0.12%

6/17/2010

12/27/2010

4,170.00

1.58%

6/18/2010

12/28/2010

4,115.00

-1.32%

6/21/2010

12/29/2010

4,120.00

0.12%

6/22/2010

12/30/2010

4,100.00

-0.49%

6/23/2010

1/3/2011

4,000.00

-2.44%

6/24/2010

1/4/2011

4,000.00

0.00%

6/25/2010

1/5/2011

3,885.00

-2.88%

6/29/2010

1/6/2011

3,805.00

-2.06%

6/30/2010

1/7/2011

3,890.00

2.23%

7/1/2010

1/11/2011

3,840.00

-1.29%

7/2/2010

1/12/2011

3,945.00

2.73%

7/6/2010

1/13/2011

4,040.00

2.41%

7/7/2010

1/14/2011

4,015.00

-0.62%

7/8/2010

1/17/2011

4,050.00

0.87%

7/9/2010

1/18/2011

4,040.00

-0.25%

7/13/2010

1/19/2011

4,005.00

-0.87%

7/14/2010

1/20/2011

3,920.00

-2.12%

7/15/2010

1/21/2011

3,925.00

0.13%

7/16/2010

1/24/2011

3,940.00

0.38%

7/19/2010

1/25/2011

3,860.00

-2.03%

7/21/2010

1/26/2011

3,940.00

2.07%

7/22/2010

1/27/2011

3,930.00

-0.25%

7/23/2010

1/28/2011

3,965.00

0.89%

7/26/2010

1/31/2011

3,970.00

0.13%

7/27/2010

2/1/2011

3,970.00

0.00%

7/28/2010

2/2/2011

3,960.00

-0.25%

7/29/2010

2/3/2011

3,925.00

-0.88%

7/30/2010

2/4/2011

3,915.00

-0.25%

8/2/2010

2/7/2011

3,930.00

0.38%

8/3/2010

2/8/2011

3,990.00

1.53%

8/4/2010

2/9/2011

3,970.00

-0.50%

8/5/2010

2/10/2011

3,910.00

-1.51%

8/6/2010

2/11/2011

3,900.00

-0.26%

8/9/2010

2/14/2011

3,900.00

0.00%

8/10/2010

2/15/2011

3,900.00

0.00%

8/11/2010

2/16/2011

3,920.00

0.51%

8/12/2010

2/17/2011

3,840.00

-2.04%

8/13/2010

2/18/2011

3,750.00

-2.34%

8/17/2010

2/21/2011

3,800.00

1.33%

8/18/2010

2/22/2011

3,760.00

-1.05%

8/19/2010

2/23/2011

3,900.00

3.72%

8/20/2010

2/24/2011

3,935.00

0.90%

8/23/2010

2/25/2011

3,955.00

0.51%

8/24/2010

2/28/2011

3,965.00

0.25%

8/25/2010

3/1/2011

3,985.00

0.50%

8/26/2010

3/2/2011

3,955.00

-0.75%

8/27/2010

3/3/2011

4,000.00

1.14%

8/30/2010

3/4/2011

4,060.00

1.50%

8/31/2010

3/7/2011

4,055.00

-0.12%

9/1/2010

3/8/2011

3,975.00

-1.97%

9/2/2010

3/9/2011

3,995.00

0.50%

9/3/2010

3/10/2011

3,900.00

-2.38%

9/6/2010

3/11/2011

3,920.00

0.51%

9/7/2010

3/14/2011

3,890.00

-0.77%

9/8/2010

3/15/2011

3,815.00

-1.93%

9/9/2010

3/16/2011

3,780.00

-0.92%

9/10/2010

3/17/2011

3,830.00

1.32%

9/13/2010

3/18/2011

3,825.00

-0.13%

9/14/2010

3/22/2011

3,815.00

-0.26%

9/15/2010

3/23/2011

3,905.00

2.36%

9/16/2010

3/24/2011

3,850.00

-1.41%

9/17/2010

3/25/2011

3,810.00

-1.04%

9/20/2010

3/28/2011

3,915.00

2.76%

9/21/2010

3/29/2011

3,875.00

-1.02%

9/22/2010

3/30/2011

3,880.00

0.13%

9/23/2010

3/31/2011

3,885.00

0.13%

9/24/2010

4/1/2011

3,865.00

-0.51%

9/27/2010

4/4/2011

3,880.00

0.39%

9/28/2010

4/5/2011

3,895.00

0.39%

9/29/2010

4/6/2011

3,865.00

-0.77%

9/30/2010

4/7/2011

3,810.00

-1.42%

10/1/2010

4/8/2011

3,765.00

-1.18%

10/4/2010

4/11/2011

3,700.00

-1.73%

10/5/2010

4/12/2011

3,625.00

-2.03%

10/6/2010

4/13/2011

3,690.00

1.79%

10/7/2010

4/14/2011

3,665.00

-0.68%

10/8/2010

4/15/2011

3,670.00

0.14%

10/11/2010

4/18/2011

3,605.00

-1.77%

10/12/2010

4/19/2011

3,670.00

1.80%

10/13/2010

4/20/2011

3,730.00

1.63%

10/14/2010

4/25/2011

3,790.00

1.61%

10/15/2010

4/26/2011

3,800.00

0.26%

10/19/2010

4/27/2011

3,800.00

0.00%

10/20/2010

4/28/2011

3,850.00

1.32%

10/21/2010

4/29/2011

3,800.00

-1.30%

10/22/2010

5/2/2011

3,840.00

1.05%

10/25/2010

5/3/2011

3,795.00

-1.17%

10/26/2010

5/4/2011

3,800.00

0.13%

10/27/2010

5/5/2011

3,720.00

-2.11%

10/28/2010

5/6/2011

3,760.00

1.08%

10/29/2010

5/9/2011

3,775.00

0.40%

11/2/2010

5/10/2011

3,900.00

3.31%

11/3/2010

5/11/2011

3,885.00

-0.38%

11/4/2010

5/12/2011

3,910.00

0.64%

11/5/2010

5/13/2011

3,870.00

-1.02%

11/8/2010

5/16/2011

3,825.00

-1.16%

11/9/2010

5/17/2011

3,860.00

0.92%

11/10/2010

5/18/2011

3,860.00

0.00%

11/11/2010

5/19/2011

3,965.00

2.72%

11/12/2010

5/20/2011

3,940.00

-0.63%

11/16/2010

5/23/2011

3,930.00

-0.25%

11/17/2010

5/24/2011

3,950.00

0.51%

11/18/2010

5/25/2011

3,940.00

-0.25%

11/19/2010

5/26/2011

3,960.00

0.51%

11/22/2010

5/27/2011

3,950.00

-0.25%

11/23/2010

5/30/2011

3,970.00

0.51%

11/24/2010

5/31/2011

4,045.00

1.89%

11/25/2010

6/1/2011

3,995.00

-1.24%

11/26/2010

6/2/2011

4,005.00

0.25%

11/29/2010
11/30/2010

RENT PERIODO TENENCIA


TASA DISCRETA
TASA CONTINUA

12/1/2010

60.52%
47.33%

12/2/2010
12/3/2010
12/6/2010

Icc=LN(1+i)
i=e elevado a icc -1

icc es tasa continua


i es tasa continua

12/7/2010
12/9/2010
12/10/2010

hallas discreta a partir de cont


continua apartir de discreta

60.52%
47.33%

12/13/2010
12/14/2010
12/15/2010
12/16/2010
12/17/2010
12/20/2010
12/21/2010
12/22/2010
12/23/2010
12/24/2010
12/27/2010
12/28/2010
12/29/2010
12/30/2010
1/3/2011
1/4/2011
1/5/2011
1/6/2011
1/7/2011
1/11/2011
1/12/2011
1/13/2011
1/14/2011
1/17/2011
1/18/2011
1/19/2011
1/20/2011

1/21/2011
1/24/2011
1/25/2011
1/26/2011
1/27/2011
1/28/2011
1/31/2011
2/1/2011
2/2/2011
2/3/2011
2/4/2011
2/7/2011
2/8/2011
2/9/2011
2/10/2011
2/11/2011
2/14/2011
2/15/2011
2/16/2011
2/17/2011
2/18/2011
2/21/2011
2/22/2011
2/23/2011
2/24/2011
2/25/2011
2/28/2011
3/1/2011
3/2/2011
3/3/2011
3/4/2011
3/7/2011
3/8/2011
3/9/2011
3/10/2011
3/11/2011
3/14/2011
3/15/2011
3/16/2011
3/17/2011
3/18/2011
3/22/2011
3/23/2011

3/24/2011
3/25/2011
3/28/2011
3/29/2011
3/30/2011
3/31/2011
4/1/2011
4/4/2011
4/5/2011
4/6/2011
4/7/2011
4/8/2011
4/11/2011
4/12/2011
4/13/2011
4/14/2011
4/15/2011
4/18/2011
4/19/2011
4/20/2011
4/25/2011
4/26/2011
4/27/2011
4/28/2011
4/29/2011
5/2/2011
5/3/2011
5/4/2011
5/5/2011
5/6/2011
5/9/2011
5/10/2011
5/11/2011
5/12/2011
5/13/2011
5/16/2011
5/17/2011
5/18/2011
5/19/2011
5/20/2011
5/23/2011
5/24/2011
5/25/2011

5/26/2011
5/27/2011
5/30/2011
5/31/2011
6/1/2011
6/2/2011

VAR METODO NO PARAMETRICO

DE VARIACION RELATIVA 2

RENTABILIDAD

RENTABILIDAD

0 3/17/2010 5/7/2010 6/30/2010 8/23/2010 10/8/2010 11/30/2010 1/20/2011 3/9/2011 4/29/2011


2/2010 4/14/2010 6/2/2010 7/28/2010 9/15/2010 11/4/2010 12/24/2010 2/14/2011 4/4/2011 5/24/2011

RENTABILIDAD

RENTABILIDAD

1/22/2010

TRIBUCION

5/2/2010

8/10/2010

11/18/2010

2/26/2011

HISTOGRAMA 4

6/6/2011

9/14/2011

Frecuencia

Histograma
80
70
60
50

Frecuencia

40
30
20
10

Clase

Columna1
0.15%
0.07%
0.16%
0.00%
1.40%
0.02%
1.08 EN EXCEL EL PUNTO DE REFERENCIA ES CERO PARA CURTO Y COEFIC
0.11 CURTOSIS MAYOR A CERO INDICA Q ES LEPTOCURTICA (EMPINADA)
9.76% CERO :MESOCURTICA
-4.60% MENOR CERO PLATICURTICA
5.15%
50.73% EN TERMIOS DE COEFICIETE DE ASIMETRIA
347.00 CERO SIMETRICA
SESGADA A LA DERECHA MAYOR Q CERO
SESG IZQUIERDA MENOR QUE CERO
EN NUESTRO CASO ES LEPTOCURTICA Y SESGADA A LA DERECHA

0.01

-0.01

-0.01

-0.02

-0.02

-0.03

-0.04

-0.04

-0.05

1
0
3
2
4
17
14
35
41
76
58
43
22
12
8
6
2
2
1

86.75

SEMEJAN AUNA NORMAL

ON DE RENTABILIDADES DE ECOPETROL SE COMPORTA COMO UNA NORMAL


ON DE RENTABILIDADES DE ECOPETROL NOOOOOO SE COMPORTA COMO UNA NORMAL
: SON LOS DATOS OBSERVADOS
17.69
5.99
5%
2 COEF DE ASIME Y CURTOSIS( LOS 2 DATOS Q NECESITAMOS)
SE RECHAZA H0
QUIERE DECIR Q LA DISTRIBUCION NOO SE COMPORTA COMO UNA NORMAL

ASUME DISTRIBUCION NORMAL


ECOPETROL
5000
4,005.00
1.40%
95%
-1.6449
1 DIA
$ 20,025,000.00
-$ 460,041.8057
-2.30%

DA ESPERADA PARA EL DIA 3 DE JUNIO ES DE 460041

4015
$ 20,075,000.00
$ 50,000.00
aR ESTIMADO CON P/G REAL

ECO
5,000.00
4,500.00
4,000.00
3,500.00
3,000.00
2,500.00
2,000.00

2/2/2010 3/31/2010 5/31/2010 8/3/20


1/4/2010 3/2/2010 4/30/2010 7/1/2010

AMETRICO

ECOPETROL

RENTABILIDAD

ESCEN DE PRECIOS

ESCENA DE POSICION

2,495.00
2,465.00

-1.20%

2,460.00

-0.20%

2,440.00

-0.81%

2,470.00

1.23%

2,445.00

-1.01%

2,435.00

-0.41%

2,450.00

0.62%

2,470.00

0.82%

2,465.00

-0.20%

2,460.00

-0.20%

2,455.00

-0.20%

2,390.00

-2.65%

2,400.00

0.42%

2,370.00

-1.25%

2,425.00

2.32%

2,445.00

0.82%

2,450.00

0.20%

2,455.00

0.20%

2,435.00

-0.81%

2,445.00

0.41%

2,455.00

0.41%

2,425.00

-1.22%

2,415.00

-0.41%

2,405.00

-0.41%

2,455.00

2.08%

2,465.00

0.41%

2,475.00

0.41%

2,480.00

0.20%

2,485.00

0.20%

2,470.00

-0.60%

2,485.00

0.61%

2,470.00

-0.60%

2,495.00

1.01%

2,500.00

0.20%

2,540.00

1.60%

2,600.00

2.36%

2,570.00

-1.15%

2,560.00

-0.39%

2,560.00

0.00%

2,565.00

0.20%

3956.84
3996.88
3972.44
4054.24
3964.46
3988.62
4029.67
4037.69
3996.89
3996.88
3996.86
3898.96
4021.76
3954.94
4097.94
4038.03
4013.19
4013.17
3972.37
4021.45
4021.38
3956.06
3988.48
3988.42
4088.26
4021.31
4021.25
4013.09
4013.07
3980.82
4029.32
3980.82
4045.54
4013.03
4069.08
4099.61
3958.79
3989.42
4005.00
4012.82

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

19,784,218.44
19,984,381.34
19,862,195.12
20,271,209.02
19,822,317.81
19,943,098.16
20,148,357.29
20,188,469.39
19,984,463.56
19,984,381.34
19,984,298.78
19,494,806.52
20,108,786.61
19,774,687.50
20,489,715.19
20,190,154.64
20,065,950.92
20,065,867.35
19,861,863.54
20,107,238.19
20,106,901.84
19,780,295.32
19,942,422.68
19,942,080.75
20,441,320.17
20,106,568.23
20,106,237.32
20,065,454.55
20,065,372.98
19,904,124.75
20,146,609.31
19,904,124.75
20,227,682.19
20,065,130.26
20,345,400.00
20,498,031.50
19,793,942.31
19,947,081.71
20,025,000.00
20,064,111.33

2,605.00

1.56%

2,605.00

0.00%

2,625.00

0.77%

2,640.00

0.57%

2,635.00

-0.19%

2,655.00

0.76%

2,695.00

1.51%

2,680.00

-0.56%

2,675.00

-0.19%

2,685.00

0.37%

2,710.00

0.93%

2,710.00

0.00%

2,700.00

-0.37%

2,700.00

0.00%

2,685.00

-0.56%

2,690.00

0.19%

2,675.00

-0.56%

2,680.00

0.19%

2,685.00

0.19%

2,700.00

0.56%

2,710.00

0.37%

2,730.00

0.74%

2,740.00

0.37%

2,725.00

-0.55%

2,725.00

0.00%

2,720.00

-0.18%

2,710.00

-0.37%

2,715.00

0.18%

2,730.00

0.55%

2,690.00

-1.47%

2,680.00

-0.37%

2,715.00

1.31%

2,755.00

1.47%

2,750.00

-0.18%

2,780.00

1.09%

2,785.00

0.18%

2,760.00

-0.90%

2,730.00

-1.09%

2,765.00

1.28%

2,765.00

0.00%

2,790.00

0.90%

2,775.00

-0.54%

2,725.00

-1.80%

4067.46
4005.00
4035.75
4027.89
3997.41
4035.40
4065.34
3982.71
3997.53
4019.97
4042.29
4005.00
3990.22
4005.00
3982.75
4012.46
3982.67
4012.49
4012.47
4027.37
4019.83
4034.56
4019.67
3983.07
4005.00
3997.65
3990.28
4012.39
4027.13
3946.32
3990.11
4057.30
4064.01
3997.73
4048.69
4012.20
3969.05
3961.47
4056.35
4005.00
4041.21
3983.47
3932.84

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

20,337,280.70
20,025,000.00
20,178,742.80
20,139,428.57
19,987,073.86
20,176,992.41
20,326,694.92
19,913,543.60
19,987,639.93
20,099,859.81
20,211,452.51
20,025,000.00
19,951,107.01
20,025,000.00
19,913,750.00
20,062,290.50
19,913,336.43
20,062,429.91
20,062,360.07
20,136,871.51
20,099,166.67
20,172,785.98
20,098,351.65
19,915,374.09
20,025,000.00
19,988,256.88
19,951,378.68
20,061,946.49
20,135,635.36
19,731,593.41
19,950,557.62
20,286,520.52
20,320,027.62
19,988,656.99
20,243,454.55
20,061,016.19
19,845,242.37
19,807,336.96
20,281,730.77
20,025,000.00
20,206,057.87
19,917,338.71
19,664,189.19

2,660.00

-2.39%

2,670.00

0.38%

2,720.00

1.87%

2,745.00

0.92%

2,775.00

1.09%

2,765.00

-0.36%

2,740.00

-0.90%

2,710.00

-1.09%

2,700.00

-0.37%

2,660.00

-1.48%

2,630.00

-1.13%

2,660.00

1.14%

2,630.00

-1.13%

2,690.00

2.28%

2,695.00

0.19%

2,710.00

0.56%

2,700.00

-0.37%

2,730.00

1.11%

2,730.00

0.00%

2,720.00

-0.37%

2,690.00

-1.10%

2,685.00

-0.19%

2,700.00

0.56%

2,710.00

0.37%

2,710.00

0.00%

2,720.00

0.37%

2,750.00

1.10%

2,750.00

0.00%

2,765.00

0.55%

2,750.00

-0.54%

2,740.00

-0.36%

2,760.00

0.73%

2,770.00

0.36%

2,775.00

0.18%

2,740.00

-1.26%

2,755.00

0.55%

2,735.00

-0.73%

2,725.00

-0.37%

2,755.00

1.10%

2,765.00

0.36%

2,795.00

1.08%

2,825.00

1.07%

2,860.00

1.24%

3909.47
4020.06
4080.00
4041.81
4048.77
3990.57
3968.79
3961.15
3990.22
3945.67
3959.83
4050.68
3959.83
4096.37
4012.44
4027.29
3990.22
4049.50
4005.00
3990.33
3960.83
3997.56
4027.37
4019.83
4005.00
4019.78
4049.17
4005.00
4026.85
3983.27
3990.44
4034.23
4019.51
4012.23
3954.49
4026.93
3975.93
3990.36
4049.09
4019.54
4048.45
4047.99
4054.62

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

19,547,339.45
20,100,281.95
20,400,000.00
20,209,053.31
20,243,852.46
19,952,837.84
19,843,942.13
19,805,748.18
19,951,107.01
19,728,333.33
19,799,154.14
20,253,422.05
19,799,154.14
20,481,844.11
20,062,221.19
20,136,456.40
19,951,107.01
20,247,500.00
20,025,000.00
19,951,648.35
19,804,136.03
19,987,778.81
20,136,871.51
20,099,166.67
20,025,000.00
20,098,892.99
20,245,863.97
20,025,000.00
20,134,227.27
19,916,365.28
19,952,181.82
20,171,167.88
20,097,554.35
20,061,146.21
19,772,432.43
20,134,625.91
19,879,627.95
19,951,782.45
20,245,458.72
20,097,686.03
20,242,269.44
20,239,937.39
20,273,097.35

2,930.00

2.45%

2,980.00

1.71%

2,990.00

0.34%

3,005.00

0.50%

3,100.00

3.16%

3,135.00

1.13%

3,085.00

-1.59%

3,165.00

2.59%

3,130.00

-1.11%

3,135.00

0.16%

3,095.00

-1.28%

3,105.00

0.32%

3,145.00

1.29%

3,245.00

3.18%

3,310.00

2.00%

3,450.00

4.23%

3,365.00

-2.46%

3,350.00

-0.45%

3,305.00

-1.34%

3,250.00

-1.66%

3,280.00

0.92%

3,320.00

1.22%

3,340.00

0.60%

3,310.00

-0.90%

3,310.00

0.00%

3,300.00

-0.30%

3,350.00

1.52%

3,360.00

0.30%

3,350.00

-0.30%

3,390.00

1.19%

3,435.00

1.33%

3,450.00

0.44%

3,485.00

1.01%

3,580.00

2.73%

3,500.00

-2.23%

3,500.00

0.00%

3,600.00

2.86%

3,620.00

0.56%

3,735.00

3.18%

3,770.00

0.94%

3,690.00

-2.12%

3,645.00

-1.22%

3,615.00

-0.82%

4103.02
4073.34
4018.44
4025.09
4131.61
4050.22
3941.12
4108.86
3960.71
4011.40
3953.90
4017.94
4056.59
4132.34
4085.22
4174.40
3906.33
3987.15
3951.20
3938.35
4041.97
4053.84
4029.13
3969.03
4005.00
3992.90
4065.68
4016.96
3993.08
4052.82
4058.16
4022.49
4045.63
4114.18
3915.50
4005.00
4119.43
4027.25
4132.23
4042.53
3920.01
3956.16
3972.04

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

20,515,122.38
20,366,723.55
20,092,197.99
20,125,459.87
20,658,069.88
20,251,088.71
19,705,622.01
20,544,286.87
19,803,554.50
20,056,988.82
19,769,497.61
20,089,701.13
20,282,971.01
20,661,724.96
20,426,117.10
20,871,978.85
19,531,630.43
19,935,735.51
19,756,007.46
19,691,754.92
20,209,846.15
20,269,207.32
20,145,632.53
19,845,134.73
20,025,000.00
19,964,501.51
20,328,409.09
20,084,776.12
19,965,401.79
20,264,104.48
20,290,818.58
20,112,445.41
20,228,152.17
20,570,875.18
19,577,513.97
20,025,000.00
20,597,142.86
20,136,250.00
20,661,153.31
20,212,650.60
19,600,066.31
19,780,792.68
19,860,185.19

3,560.00

-1.52%

3,550.00

-0.28%

3,530.00

-0.56%

3,610.00

2.27%

3,645.00

0.97%

3,585.00

-1.65%

3,560.00

-0.70%

3,585.00

0.70%

3,595.00

0.28%

3,635.00

1.11%

3,730.00

2.61%

3,700.00

-0.80%

3,725.00

0.68%

3,730.00

0.13%

3,880.00

4.02%

4,080.00

5.15%

3,990.00

-2.21%

4,055.00

1.63%

4,105.00

1.23%

4,095.00

-0.24%

4,165.00

1.71%

4,150.00

-0.36%

4,140.00

-0.24%

4,270.00

3.14%

4,245.00

-0.59%

4,270.00

0.59%

4,340.00

1.64%

4,335.00

-0.12%

4,360.00

0.58%

4,360.00

0.00%

4,360.00

0.00%

4,410.00

1.15%

4,425.00

0.34%

4,455.00

0.68%

4,545.00

2.02%

4,630.00

1.87%

4,650.00

0.43%

4,660.00

0.22%

4,520.00

-3.00%

4,345.00

-3.87%

4,145.00

-4.60%

4,020.00

-3.02%

4,200.00

4.48%

3944.07
3993.75
3982.44
4095.76
4043.83
3939.07
3977.07
4033.13
4016.17
4049.56
4109.67
3972.79
4032.06
4010.38
4166.06
4211.44
3916.65
4070.24
4054.38
3995.24
4073.46
3990.58
3995.35
4130.76
3981.55
4028.59
4070.66
4000.39
4028.10
4005.00
4005.00
4050.93
4018.62
4032.15
4085.91
4079.90
4022.30
4013.61
3884.68
3849.94
3820.65
3884.22
4184.33

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

19,720,331.95
19,968,750.00
19,912,183.10
20,478,824.36
20,219,148.20
19,695,370.37
19,885,355.65
20,165,625.00
20,080,857.74
20,247,809.46
20,548,349.38
19,863,941.02
20,160,304.05
20,051,879.19
20,830,294.91
21,057,216.49
19,583,272.06
20,351,221.80
20,271,917.39
19,976,218.03
20,367,307.69
19,952,881.15
19,976,746.99
20,653,804.35
19,907,757.61
20,142,932.86
20,353,278.69
20,001,929.72
20,140,484.43
20,025,000.00
20,025,000.00
20,254,644.50
20,093,112.24
20,160,762.71
20,429,545.45
20,399,504.95
20,111,501.08
20,068,064.52
19,423,390.56
19,249,695.80
19,103,250.86
19,421,109.77
20,921,641.79

4,260.00

1.43%

4,090.00

-3.99%

4,100.00

0.24%

4,035.00

-1.59%

4,115.00

1.98%

4,020.00

-2.31%

3,935.00

-2.11%

3,795.00

-3.56%

3,840.00

1.19%

3,855.00

0.39%

3,990.00

3.50%

4,020.00

0.75%

4,030.00

0.25%

4,085.00

1.36%

4,080.00

-0.12%

4,070.00

-0.25%

4,125.00

1.35%

4,190.00

1.58%

4,100.00

-2.15%

4,095.00

-0.12%

4,020.00

-1.83%

4,010.00

-0.25%

4,050.00

1.00%

4,095.00

1.11%

4,100.00

0.12%

4,105.00

0.12%

4,170.00

1.58%

4,115.00

-1.32%

4,120.00

0.12%

4,100.00

-0.49%

4,000.00

-2.44%

4,000.00

0.00%

3,885.00

-2.88%

3,805.00

-2.06%

3,890.00

2.23%

3,840.00

-1.29%

3,945.00

2.73%

4,040.00

2.41%

4,015.00

-0.62%

4,050.00

0.87%

4,040.00

-0.25%

4,005.00

-0.87%

3,920.00

-2.12%

4062.21
3845.18
4014.79
3941.51
4084.41
3912.54
3920.32
3862.51
4052.49
4020.64
4145.25
4035.11
4014.96
4059.66
4000.10
3995.18
4059.12
4068.11
3918.97
4000.12
3931.65
3995.04
4044.95
4049.50
4009.89
4009.88
4068.42
3952.18
4009.87
3985.56
3907.32
4005.00
3889.86
3922.53
4094.47
3953.52
4114.51
4101.44
3980.22
4039.91
3995.11
3970.30
3920.00

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

20,311,071.43
19,225,880.28
20,073,960.88
19,707,530.49
20,422,026.02
19,562,697.45
19,601,585.82
19,312,547.65
20,262,450.59
20,103,222.66
20,726,264.59
20,175,563.91
20,074,813.43
20,298,294.04
20,000,489.60
19,975,919.12
20,295,608.11
20,340,545.45
19,594,868.74
20,000,579.27
19,658,241.76
19,975,186.57
20,224,750.62
20,247,500.00
20,049,450.55
20,049,420.73
20,342,082.83
19,760,881.29
20,049,331.71
19,927,791.26
19,536,585.37
20,025,000.00
19,449,281.25
19,612,644.79
20,472,339.03
19,767,609.25
20,572,558.59
20,507,224.33
19,901,082.92
20,199,564.13
19,975,555.56
19,851,516.09
19,600,000.00

3,925.00

0.13%

3,940.00

0.38%

3,860.00

-2.03%

3,940.00

2.07%

3,930.00

-0.25%

3,965.00

0.89%

3,970.00

0.13%

3,970.00

0.00%

3,960.00

-0.25%

3,925.00

-0.88%

3,915.00

-0.25%

3,930.00

0.38%

3,990.00

1.53%

3,970.00

-0.50%

3,910.00

-1.51%

3,900.00

-0.26%

3,900.00

0.00%

3,900.00

0.00%

3,920.00

0.51%

3,840.00

-2.04%

3,750.00

-2.34%

3,800.00

1.33%

3,760.00

-1.05%

3,900.00

3.72%

3,935.00

0.90%

3,955.00

0.51%

3,965.00

0.25%

3,985.00

0.50%

3,955.00

-0.75%

4,000.00

1.14%

4,060.00

1.50%

4,055.00

-0.12%

3,975.00

-1.97%

3,995.00

0.50%

3,900.00

-2.38%

3,920.00

0.51%

3,890.00

-0.77%

3,815.00

-1.93%

3,780.00

-0.92%

3,830.00

1.32%

3,825.00

-0.13%

3,815.00

-0.26%

3,905.00

2.36%

4010.11
4020.31
3923.68
4088.01
3994.84
4040.67
4010.05
4005.00
3994.91
3969.60
3994.80
4020.34
4066.15
3984.92
3944.47
3994.76
4005.00
4005.00
4025.54
3923.27
3911.13
4058.40
3962.84
4154.12
4040.94
4025.36
4015.13
4025.20
3974.85
4050.57
4065.08
4000.07
3925.99
4025.15
3909.76
4025.54
3974.35
3927.78
3968.26
4057.98
3999.77
3994.53
4099.48

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

20,050,542.09
20,101,528.66
19,618,401.02
20,440,025.91
19,974,175.13
20,203,339.69
20,050,252.21
20,025,000.00
19,974,559.19
19,848,011.36
19,973,980.89
20,101,724.14
20,330,725.19
19,924,624.06
19,722,355.16
19,973,785.17
20,025,000.00
20,025,000.00
20,127,692.31
19,616,326.53
19,555,664.06
20,292,000.00
19,814,210.53
20,770,611.70
20,204,711.54
20,126,778.91
20,075,632.11
20,126,008.83
19,874,247.18
20,252,844.50
20,325,375.00
20,000,338.67
19,629,932.18
20,125,754.72
19,548,811.01
20,127,692.31
19,871,747.45
19,638,913.88
19,841,284.40
20,289,880.95
19,998,857.70
19,972,647.06
20,497,411.53

3,850.00

-1.41%

3,810.00

-1.04%

3,915.00

2.76%

3,875.00

-1.02%

3,880.00

0.13%

3,885.00

0.13%

3,865.00

-0.51%

3,880.00

0.39%

3,895.00

0.39%

3,865.00

-0.77%

3,810.00

-1.42%

3,765.00

-1.18%

3,700.00

-1.73%

3,625.00

-2.03%

3,690.00

1.79%

3,665.00

-0.68%

3,670.00

0.14%

3,605.00

-1.77%

3,670.00

1.80%

3,730.00

1.63%

3,790.00

1.61%

3,800.00

0.26%

3,800.00

0.00%

3,850.00

1.32%

3,800.00

-1.30%

3,840.00

1.05%

3,795.00

-1.17%

3,800.00

0.13%

3,720.00

-2.11%

3,760.00

1.08%

3,775.00

0.40%

3,900.00

3.31%

3,885.00

-0.38%

3,910.00

0.64%

3,870.00

-1.02%

3,825.00

-1.16%

3,860.00

0.92%

3,860.00

0.00%

3,965.00

2.72%

3,940.00

-0.63%

3,930.00

-0.25%

3,950.00

0.51%

3,940.00

-0.25%

3948.59
3963.39
4115.37
3964.08
4010.17
4010.16
3984.38
4020.54
4020.48
3974.15
3948.01
3957.70
3935.86
3923.82
4076.81
3977.87
4010.46
3934.07
4077.21
4070.48
4069.42
4015.57
4005.00
4057.70
3952.99
4047.16
3958.07
4010.28
3920.68
4048.06
4020.98
4137.62
3989.60
4030.77
3964.03
3958.43
4041.65
4005.00
4113.94
3979.75
3994.84
4025.38
3994.86

$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$
$

19,742,957.75
19,816,948.05
20,576,870.08
19,820,402.30
20,050,838.71
20,050,805.41
19,921,911.20
20,102,716.69
20,102,416.24
19,870,763.80
19,740,038.81
19,788,484.25
19,679,282.87
19,619,087.84
20,384,068.97
19,889,329.27
20,052,319.24
19,670,333.79
20,386,061.03
20,352,384.20
20,347,117.96
20,077,836.41
20,025,000.00
20,288,486.84
19,764,935.06
20,235,789.47
19,790,332.03
20,051,383.40
19,603,421.05
20,240,322.58
20,104,886.97
20,688,079.47
19,947,980.77
20,153,861.00
19,820,140.66
19,792,151.16
20,208,235.29
20,025,000.00
20,569,721.50
19,898,738.97
19,974,175.13
20,126,908.40
19,974,303.80

3,960.00

0.51%

3,950.00

-0.25%

3,970.00

0.51%

4,045.00

1.89%

3,995.00

-1.24%

4,005.00

0.25%

ARAMETRICO
-$ 424,980.11
-2.122%

4025.33
3994.89
4025.28
4080.66
3955.49
4015.03

$
$
$
$
$
$

20,126,649.75
19,974,431.82
20,126,392.41
20,403,306.05
19,777,472.19
20,075,125.16

RENTABILIDAD

/9/2011 4/29/2011
11 4/4/2011 5/24/2011

6/6/2011

RENTABILIDAD

9/14/2011

Histograma

Clase

ARA CURTO Y COEFIC


RTICA (EMPINADA)

A A LA DERECHA

y mayor...

0.05

0.04

0.04

0.03

0.02

0.02

0.01

0.01

-0.01

-0.01

-0.02

-0.02

Column F

A NORMAL

CESITAMOS)

ECOPETROL

ECOPETROL

010 3/31/2010 5/31/2010 8/3/2010 9/29/2010 11/29/2010 1/27/2011 3/25/2011 5/24/2011


3/2/2010 4/30/2010 7/1/2010 9/1/2010 10/28/2010 12/28/2010 2/24/2011 4/26/2011

ESCENA DE P/G

-$ 240,781.56
-$ 40,618.66
-$ 162,804.88
$ 246,209.02
-$ 202,682.19
-$ 81,901.84
$ 123,357.29
$ 163,469.39
-$ 40,536.44
-$ 40,618.66
-$ 40,701.22
-$ 530,193.48
$ 83,786.61
-$ 250,312.50
$ 464,715.19
$ 165,154.64
$ 40,950.92
$ 40,867.35
-$ 163,136.46
$ 82,238.19
$ 81,901.84
-$ 244,704.68
-$ 82,577.32
-$ 82,919.25
$ 416,320.17
$ 81,568.23
$ 81,237.32
$ 40,454.55
$ 40,372.98
-$ 120,875.25
$ 121,609.31
-$ 120,875.25
$ 202,682.19
$ 40,130.26
$ 320,400.00
$ 473,031.50
-$ 231,057.69
-$ 77,918.29
$ 0.00
$ 39,111.33

$ 312,280.70
$ 0.00
$ 153,742.80
$ 114,428.57
-$ 37,926.14
$ 151,992.41
$ 301,694.92
-$ 111,456.40
-$ 37,360.07
$ 74,859.81
$ 186,452.51
$ 0.00
-$ 73,892.99
$ 0.00
-$ 111,250.00
$ 37,290.50
-$ 111,663.57
$ 37,429.91
$ 37,360.07
$ 111,871.51
$ 74,166.67
$ 147,785.98
$ 73,351.65
-$ 109,625.91
$ 0.00
-$ 36,743.12
-$ 73,621.32
$ 36,946.49
$ 110,635.36
-$ 293,406.59
-$ 74,442.38
$ 261,520.52
$ 295,027.62
-$ 36,343.01
$ 218,454.55
$ 36,016.19
-$ 179,757.63
-$ 217,663.04
$ 256,730.77
$ 0.00
$ 181,057.87
-$ 107,661.29
-$ 360,810.81

-$ 477,660.55
$ 75,281.95
$ 375,000.00
$ 184,053.31
$ 218,852.46
-$ 72,162.16
-$ 181,057.87
-$ 219,251.82
-$ 73,892.99
-$ 296,666.67
-$ 225,845.86
$ 228,422.05
-$ 225,845.86
$ 456,844.11
$ 37,221.19
$ 111,456.40
-$ 73,892.99
$ 222,500.00
$ 0.00
-$ 73,351.65
-$ 220,863.97
-$ 37,221.19
$ 111,871.51
$ 74,166.67
$ 0.00
$ 73,892.99
$ 220,863.97
$ 0.00
$ 109,227.27
-$ 108,634.72
-$ 72,818.18
$ 146,167.88
$ 72,554.35
$ 36,146.21
-$ 252,567.57
$ 109,625.91
-$ 145,372.05
-$ 73,217.55
$ 220,458.72
$ 72,686.03
$ 217,269.44
$ 214,937.39
$ 248,097.35

$ 490,122.38
$ 341,723.55
$ 67,197.99
$ 100,459.87
$ 633,069.88
$ 226,088.71
-$ 319,377.99
$ 519,286.87
-$ 221,445.50
$ 31,988.82
-$ 255,502.39
$ 64,701.13
$ 257,971.01
$ 636,724.96
$ 401,117.10
$ 846,978.85
-$ 493,369.57
-$ 89,264.49
-$ 268,992.54
-$ 333,245.08
$ 184,846.15
$ 244,207.32
$ 120,632.53
-$ 179,865.27
$ 0.00
-$ 60,498.49
$ 303,409.09
$ 59,776.12
-$ 59,598.21
$ 239,104.48
$ 265,818.58
$ 87,445.41
$ 203,152.17
$ 545,875.18
-$ 447,486.03
$ 0.00
$ 572,142.86
$ 111,250.00
$ 636,153.31
$ 187,650.60
-$ 424,933.69
-$ 244,207.32
-$ 164,814.81

-$ 304,668.05
-$ 56,250.00
-$ 112,816.90
$ 453,824.36
$ 194,148.20
-$ 329,629.63
-$ 139,644.35
$ 140,625.00
$ 55,857.74
$ 222,809.46
$ 523,349.38
-$ 161,058.98
$ 135,304.05
$ 26,879.19
$ 805,294.91
$ 1,032,216.49
-$ 441,727.94
$ 326,221.80
$ 246,917.39
-$ 48,781.97
$ 342,307.69
-$ 72,118.85
-$ 48,253.01
$ 628,804.35
-$ 117,242.39
$ 117,932.86
$ 328,278.69
-$ 23,070.28
$ 115,484.43
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
$ 229,644.50
$ 68,112.24
$ 135,762.71
$ 404,545.45
$ 374,504.95
$ 86,501.08
$ 43,064.52
-$ 601,609.44
-$ 775,304.20
-$ 921,749.14
-$ 603,890.23
$ 896,641.79

$ 286,071.43
-$ 799,119.72
$ 48,960.88
-$ 317,469.51
$ 397,026.02
-$ 462,302.55
-$ 423,414.18
-$ 712,452.35
$ 237,450.59
$ 78,222.66
$ 701,264.59
$ 150,563.91
$ 49,813.43
$ 273,294.04
-$ 24,510.40
-$ 49,080.88
$ 270,608.11
$ 315,545.45
-$ 430,131.26
-$ 24,420.73
-$ 366,758.24
-$ 49,813.43
$ 199,750.62
$ 222,500.00
$ 24,450.55
$ 24,420.73
$ 317,082.83
-$ 264,118.71
$ 24,331.71
-$ 97,208.74
-$ 488,414.63
$ 0.00
-$ 575,718.75
-$ 412,355.21
$ 447,339.03
-$ 257,390.75
$ 547,558.59
$ 482,224.33
-$ 123,917.08
$ 174,564.13
-$ 49,444.44
-$ 173,483.91
-$ 425,000.00

$ 25,542.09
$ 76,528.66
-$ 406,598.98
$ 415,025.91
-$ 50,824.87
$ 178,339.69
$ 25,252.21
$ 0.00
-$ 50,440.81
-$ 176,988.64
-$ 51,019.11
$ 76,724.14
$ 305,725.19
-$ 100,375.94
-$ 302,644.84
-$ 51,214.83
$ 0.00
$ 0.00
$ 102,692.31
-$ 408,673.47
-$ 469,335.94
$ 267,000.00
-$ 210,789.47
$ 745,611.70
$ 179,711.54
$ 101,778.91
$ 50,632.11
$ 101,008.83
-$ 150,752.82
$ 227,844.50
$ 300,375.00
-$ 24,661.33
-$ 395,067.82
$ 100,754.72
-$ 476,188.99
$ 102,692.31
-$ 153,252.55
-$ 386,086.12
-$ 183,715.60
$ 264,880.95
-$ 26,142.30
-$ 52,352.94
$ 472,411.53

-$
-$
$
-$

282,042.25
208,051.95
551,870.08
204,597.70
$ 25,838.71
$ 25,805.41
-$ 103,088.80
$ 77,716.69
$ 77,416.24
-$ 154,236.20
-$ 284,961.19
-$ 236,515.75
-$ 345,717.13
-$ 405,912.16
$ 359,068.97
-$ 135,670.73
$ 27,319.24
-$ 354,666.21
$ 361,061.03
$ 327,384.20
$ 322,117.96
$ 52,836.41
$ 0.00
$ 263,486.84
-$ 260,064.94
$ 210,789.47
-$ 234,667.97
$ 26,383.40
-$ 421,578.95
$ 215,322.58
$ 79,886.97
$ 663,079.47
-$ 77,019.23
$ 128,861.00
-$ 204,859.34
-$ 232,848.84
$ 183,235.29
$ 0.00
$ 544,721.50
-$ 126,261.03
-$ 50,824.87
$ 101,908.40
-$ 50,696.20

$ 101,649.75
-$ 50,568.18
$ 101,392.41
$ 378,306.05
-$ 247,527.81
$ 50,125.16

Julio 2020: Fecha de emisin: 24 de julio 2005. TES con vencimiento el 24 de julio de 2020. Cupn de

FECHA

TES 2020

1/4/2010

8.52%

1/5/2010

8.43%

1/6/2010

8.63%

1/7/2010

8.65%

1/8/2010

8.62%

1/12/2010

8.87%

1/13/2010

8.87%

1/14/2010

8.87%

1/15/2010

8.78%

1/18/2010

8.65%

1/19/2010

8.56%

1/20/2010

8.65%

1/21/2010

8.48%

1/22/2010

8.59%

1/25/2010

8.55%

1/26/2010

8.58%

1/27/2010

8.72%

1/28/2010

8.72%

1/29/2010

8.69%

2/1/2010

8.83%

2/2/2010

9.04%

2/3/2010

8.95%

2/4/2010

9.04%

2/5/2010

8.92%

2/8/2010

8.88%

2/9/2010

8.84%

2/10/2010

8.90%

2/11/2010

8.77%

2/12/2010

8.82%

2/15/2010

8.94%

2/16/2010

8.95%

2/17/2010

8.97%

2/18/2010

9.12%

2/19/2010

9.16%

2/22/2010

9.15%

2/23/2010

9.07%

2/24/2010

9.01%

2/25/2010

9.10%

VARIACION ABSOLUTA

-0.09%
0.20%
0.02%
-0.03%
0.25%
0.00%
0.00%
-0.09%
-0.13%
-0.09%
0.09%
-0.17%
0.11%
-0.04%
0.03%
0.14%
0.00%
-0.03%
0.14%
0.21%
-0.09%
0.09%
-0.12%
-0.04%
-0.04%
0.06%
-0.13%
0.05%
0.12%
0.01%
0.02%
0.15%
0.04%
-0.01%
-0.08%
-0.06%
0.09%

-1.06%

9.30%

2.37%
0.23%

8.80%

-0.35%
2.90%
0.00%
0.00%
-1.01%
-1.48%
-1.04%
1.05%
-1.97%

8.30%
7.80%
7.30%
6.80%

2/3/2010
4/7/2010
6/8/
1/4/2010 3/4/2010
5/6/2010

1.30%
-0.47%
0.35%
1.63%

HISTOGRAMA

0.00%

Clase

-0.34%

0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0

1.61%
2.38%
-1.00%
1.01%
-1.33%
-0.45%
-0.45%
0.68%
-1.46%
0.57%
1.36%
0.11%
0.22%
1.67%
0.44%
-0.11%
-0.87%
-0.66%
1.00%

y mayor...

2/26/2010

9.06%

3/1/2010

8.89%

3/2/2010

8.88%

3/3/2010

9.00%

3/4/2010

8.92%

3/5/2010

8.90%

3/8/2010

8.91%

3/9/2010

8.90%

3/10/2010

8.85%

3/11/2010

8.80%

3/12/2010

8.75%

3/15/2010

8.77%

3/16/2010

8.82%

3/17/2010

8.82%

3/18/2010

8.85%

3/19/2010

8.83%

3/23/2010

8.77%

3/24/2010

8.77%

3/25/2010

8.81%

3/26/2010

8.80%

3/29/2010

8.80%

3/30/2010

8.81%

3/31/2010

8.78%

4/5/2010

8.79%

4/6/2010

8.64%

4/7/2010

8.58%

4/8/2010

8.58%

4/9/2010

8.52%

4/12/2010

8.47%

4/13/2010

8.56%

4/14/2010

8.42%

4/15/2010

8.43%

4/16/2010

8.36%

4/19/2010

8.32%

4/20/2010

8.34%

4/21/2010

8.34%

4/22/2010

8.33%

4/23/2010

8.30%

4/26/2010

8.28%

4/27/2010

8.37%

4/28/2010

8.42%

4/29/2010

8.31%

4/30/2010

8.32%

-0.04%
-0.17%
-0.01%
0.12%
-0.08%
-0.02%
0.01%
-0.01%
-0.05%
-0.05%
-0.05%
0.02%
0.05%
0.00%
0.03%
-0.02%
-0.06%
0.00%
0.04%
-0.01%
0.00%
0.01%
-0.03%
0.01%
-0.15%
-0.06%
0.00%
-0.06%
-0.05%
0.09%
-0.14%
0.01%
-0.07%
-0.04%
0.02%
0.00%
-0.01%
-0.03%
-0.02%
0.09%
0.05%
-0.11%
0.01%

-0.44%
-1.88%
-0.11%

Columna1

1.35%
-0.89%
-0.22%
0.11%
-0.11%
-0.56%
-0.56%
-0.57%
0.23%
0.57%
0.00%
0.34%
-0.23%
-0.68%
0.00%
0.46%
-0.11%
0.00%
0.11%
-0.34%
0.11%
-1.71%
-0.69%
0.00%
-0.70%
-0.59%
1.06%
-1.64%
0.12%
-0.83%
-0.48%
0.24%
0.00%
-0.12%
-0.36%
-0.24%
1.09%
0.60%
-1.31%
0.12%

Media
Error tpico
Mediana
Moda
Desviacin estndar
Varianza de la muestra
Curtosis
Coeficiente de asimetra
Rango
Mnimo
Mximo
Suma
Cuenta

5/3/2010

7.93%

5/4/2010

8.03%

5/5/2010

7.99%

5/6/2010

8.20%

5/7/2010

8.24%

5/10/2010

8.13%

5/11/2010

8.13%

5/12/2010

8.07%

5/13/2010

8.18%

5/14/2010

8.25%

5/18/2010

8.36%

5/19/2010

8.30%

5/20/2010

8.25%

5/21/2010

8.16%

5/24/2010

8.09%

5/25/2010

8.12%

5/26/2010

8.00%

5/27/2010

8.06%

5/28/2010

8.10%

5/31/2010

7.99%

6/1/2010

7.94%

6/2/2010

7.96%

6/3/2010

7.92%

6/4/2010

7.93%

6/8/2010

8.05%

6/9/2010

7.95%

6/10/2010

7.93%

6/11/2010

7.97%

6/15/2010

7.97%

6/16/2010

8.01%

6/17/2010

8.02%

6/18/2010

7.97%

6/21/2010

7.97%

6/22/2010

7.93%

6/23/2010

7.93%

6/24/2010

7.88%

6/25/2010

7.85%

6/28/2010

7.80%

6/29/2010

7.84%

6/30/2010

7.74%

7/1/2010

7.71%

7/2/2010

7.73%

7/6/2010

7.78%

-0.39%
0.10%
-0.04%
0.21%
0.04%
-0.11%
0.00%
-0.06%
0.11%
0.07%
0.11%
-0.06%
-0.05%
-0.09%
-0.07%
0.03%
-0.12%
0.06%
0.04%
-0.11%
-0.05%
0.02%
-0.04%
0.01%
0.12%
-0.10%
-0.02%
0.04%
0.00%
0.04%
0.01%
-0.05%
0.00%
-0.04%
0.00%
-0.05%
-0.03%
-0.05%
0.04%
-0.10%
-0.03%
0.02%
0.05%

-4.69%
1.26%
-0.50%
2.63%
0.49%
-1.33%
0.00%
-0.74%
1.36%
0.86%
1.33%
-0.72%
-0.60%
-1.09%
-0.86%
0.37%
-1.48%
0.75%
0.50%
-1.36%
-0.63%
0.25%
-0.50%
0.13%
1.51%
-1.24%
-0.25%
0.50%
0.00%
0.50%
0.12%
-0.62%
0.00%
-0.50%
0.00%
-0.63%
-0.38%
-0.64%
0.51%
-1.28%
-0.39%
0.26%
0.65%

7/7/2010

7.78%

7/8/2010

7.67%

7/9/2010

7.67%

7/12/2010

7.61%

7/13/2010

7.58%

7/14/2010

7.53%

7/15/2010

7.56%

7/16/2010

7.48%

7/19/2010

7.46%

7/21/2010

7.45%

7/22/2010

7.54%

7/23/2010

7.62%

7/26/2010

7.62%

7/27/2010

7.67%

7/28/2010

7.55%

7/29/2010

7.48%

7/30/2010

7.41%

8/2/2010

7.42%

8/3/2010

7.45%

8/4/2010

7.33%

8/5/2010

7.33%

8/6/2010

7.23%

8/9/2010

7.22%

8/10/2010

7.22%

8/11/2010

7.29%

8/12/2010

7.30%

8/13/2010

7.33%

8/17/2010

7.25%

8/18/2010

7.15%

8/19/2010

7.17%

8/20/2010

7.12%

8/23/2010

7.16%

8/24/2010

7.14%

8/25/2010

7.12%

8/26/2010

7.18%

8/27/2010

7.14%

8/30/2010

7.07%

8/31/2010

7.08%

9/1/2010

7.06%

9/2/2010

7.07%

9/3/2010

7.07%

9/6/2010

7.17%

9/7/2010

7.24%

0.00%
-0.11%
0.00%
-0.06%
-0.03%
-0.05%
0.03%
-0.08%
-0.02%
-0.01%
0.09%
0.08%
0.00%
0.05%
-0.12%
-0.07%
-0.07%
0.01%
0.03%
-0.12%
0.00%
-0.10%
-0.01%
0.00%
0.07%
0.01%
0.03%
-0.08%
-0.10%
0.02%
-0.05%
0.04%
-0.02%
-0.02%
0.06%
-0.04%
-0.07%
0.01%
-0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
0.10%
0.07%

0.00%
-1.41%
0.00%
-0.78%
-0.39%
-0.66%
0.40%
-1.06%
-0.27%
-0.13%
1.21%
1.06%
0.00%
0.66%
-1.56%
-0.93%
-0.94%
0.13%
0.40%
-1.61%
0.00%
-1.36%
-0.14%
0.00%
0.97%
0.14%
0.41%
-1.09%
-1.38%
0.28%
-0.70%
0.56%
-0.28%
-0.28%
0.84%
-0.56%
-0.98%
0.14%
-0.28%
0.14%
0.00%
1.41%
0.98%

9/8/2010

7.31%

9/9/2010

7.33%

9/10/2010

7.45%

9/13/2010

7.39%

9/14/2010

7.30%

9/15/2010

7.26%

9/16/2010

7.18%

9/17/2010

7.21%

9/20/2010

7.13%

9/21/2010

7.23%

9/22/2010

7.27%

9/23/2010

7.25%

9/24/2010

7.25%

9/27/2010

7.21%

9/28/2010

7.20%

9/29/2010

7.23%

9/30/2010

7.26%

10/1/2010

7.30%

10/4/2010

7.36%

10/5/2010

7.30%

10/6/2010

7.17%

10/7/2010

7.08%

10/8/2010

6.96%

10/11/2010

6.97%

10/12/2010

7.03%

10/13/2010

7.00%

10/14/2010

7.07%

10/15/2010

7.09%

10/19/2010

7.04%

10/20/2010

6.99%

10/21/2010

7.03%

10/22/2010

7.01%

10/25/2010

6.97%

10/26/2010

7.03%

10/27/2010

7.04%

10/28/2010

7.02%

10/29/2010

7.02%

11/2/2010

7.10%

11/3/2010

7.09%

11/4/2010

7.04%

11/5/2010

7.00%

11/8/2010

6.97%

11/9/2010

6.99%

0.07%
0.02%
0.12%
-0.06%
-0.09%
-0.04%
-0.08%
0.03%
-0.08%
0.10%
0.04%
-0.02%
0.00%
-0.04%
-0.01%
0.03%
0.03%
0.04%
0.06%
-0.06%
-0.13%
-0.09%
-0.12%
0.01%
0.06%
-0.03%
0.07%
0.02%
-0.05%
-0.05%
0.04%
-0.02%
-0.04%
0.06%
0.01%
-0.02%
0.00%
0.08%
-0.01%
-0.05%
-0.04%
-0.03%
0.02%

0.97%
0.27%
1.64%
-0.81%
-1.22%
-0.55%
-1.10%
0.42%
-1.11%
1.40%
0.55%
-0.28%
0.00%
-0.55%
-0.14%
0.42%
0.41%
0.55%
0.82%
-0.82%
-1.78%
-1.26%
-1.69%
0.14%
0.86%
-0.43%
1.00%
0.28%
-0.71%
-0.71%
0.57%
-0.28%
-0.57%
0.86%
0.14%
-0.28%
0.00%
1.14%
-0.14%
-0.71%
-0.57%
-0.43%
0.29%

11/10/2010

7.08%

11/11/2010

7.25%

11/12/2010

7.36%

11/16/2010

7.44%

11/17/2010

7.26%

11/18/2010

7.29%

11/19/2010

7.45%

11/22/2010

7.51%

11/23/2010

7.58%

11/24/2010

7.45%

11/25/2010

7.45%

11/26/2010

7.54%

11/30/2010

7.63%

12/1/2010

7.55%

12/2/2010

7.43%

12/3/2010

7.39%

12/6/2010

7.36%

12/7/2010

7.46%

12/9/2010

7.62%

12/10/2010

7.59%

12/13/2010

7.69%

12/14/2010

7.72%

12/15/2010

7.73%

12/16/2010

7.75%

12/17/2010

7.74%

12/20/2010

7.73%

12/21/2010

7.75%

12/22/2010

7.72%

12/23/2010

7.72%

12/29/2010

7.70%

12/30/2010

7.70%

1/3/2011

7.74%

1/4/2011

7.84%

1/5/2011

7.88%

1/6/2011

7.86%

1/7/2011

7.84%

1/11/2011

7.74%

1/12/2011

7.66%

1/13/2011

7.68%

1/14/2011

7.79%

1/17/2011

7.94%

1/18/2011

7.93%

1/19/2011

7.86%

0.09%
0.17%
0.11%
0.08%
-0.18%
0.03%
0.16%
0.06%
0.07%
-0.13%
0.00%
0.09%
0.09%
-0.08%
-0.12%
-0.04%
-0.03%
0.10%
0.16%
-0.03%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
0.02%
-0.01%
-0.01%
0.02%
-0.03%
0.00%
-0.02%
0.00%
0.04%
0.10%
0.04%
-0.02%
-0.02%
-0.10%
-0.08%
0.02%
0.11%
0.15%
-0.01%
-0.07%

1.29%
2.40%
1.52%
1.09%
-2.42%
0.41%
2.19%
0.81%
0.93%
-1.72%
0.00%
1.21%
1.19%
-1.05%
-1.59%
-0.54%
-0.41%
1.36%
2.14%
-0.39%
1.32%
0.39%
0.13%
0.26%
-0.13%
-0.13%
0.26%
-0.39%
0.00%
-0.26%
0.00%
0.52%
1.29%
0.51%
-0.25%
-0.25%
-1.28%
-1.03%
0.26%
1.43%
1.93%
-0.13%
-0.88%

1/20/2011

7.94%

1/21/2011

7.88%

1/24/2011

7.98%

1/25/2011

7.92%

1/26/2011

7.85%

1/27/2011

7.88%

1/28/2011

7.93%

1/31/2011

7.94%

2/1/2011

8.02%

2/2/2011

7.99%

2/3/2011

7.95%

2/4/2011

7.97%

2/7/2011

8.07%

2/8/2011

8.19%

2/9/2011

8.19%

2/10/2011

8.12%

2/11/2011

8.11%

2/14/2011

8.23%

2/15/2011

8.28%

2/16/2011

8.26%

2/17/2011

8.23%

2/18/2011

8.30%

2/21/2011

8.31%

2/22/2011

8.33%

2/23/2011

8.35%

2/24/2011

8.37%

2/25/2011

8.29%

2/28/2011

8.35%

3/1/2011

8.43%

3/3/2011

8.37%

3/4/2011

8.32%

3/7/2011

8.21%

3/8/2011

8.18%

3/9/2011

8.20%

3/10/2011

8.22%

3/11/2011

8.17%

3/14/2011

8.19%

3/15/2011

8.19%

3/16/2011

8.23%

3/17/2011

8.13%

3/18/2011

8.15%

3/22/2011

8.17%

3/23/2011

8.22%

0.08%
-0.06%
0.10%
-0.06%
-0.07%
0.03%
0.05%
0.01%
0.08%
-0.03%
-0.04%
0.02%
0.10%
0.12%
0.00%
-0.07%
-0.01%
0.12%
0.05%
-0.02%
-0.03%
0.07%
0.01%
0.02%
0.02%
0.02%
-0.08%
0.06%
0.08%
-0.06%
-0.05%
-0.11%
-0.03%
0.02%
0.02%
-0.05%
0.02%
0.00%
0.04%
-0.10%
0.02%
0.02%
0.05%

1.02%
-0.76%
1.27%
-0.75%
-0.88%
0.38%
0.63%
0.13%
1.01%
-0.37%
-0.50%
0.25%
1.25%
1.49%
0.00%
-0.85%
-0.12%
1.48%
0.61%
-0.24%
-0.36%
0.85%
0.12%
0.24%
0.24%
0.24%
-0.96%
0.72%
0.96%
-0.71%
-0.60%
-1.32%
-0.37%
0.24%
0.24%
-0.61%
0.24%
0.00%
0.49%
-1.22%
0.25%
0.25%
0.61%

3/24/2011

8.33%

3/25/2011

8.31%

3/28/2011

8.32%

3/29/2011

8.33%

3/30/2011

8.33%

3/31/2011

8.31%

4/1/2011

8.22%

4/4/2011

8.14%

4/5/2011

8.17%

4/6/2011

8.18%

4/7/2011

8.22%

4/14/2011

8.15%

4/15/2011

8.15%

4/18/2011

8.19%

4/19/2011

8.15%

4/20/2011

8.15%

4/25/2011

8.25%

4/26/2011

8.30%

4/27/2011

8.28%

4/28/2011

8.30%

4/29/2011

8.31%

5/2/2011

8.26%

5/3/2011

8.20%

5/4/2011

8.18%

5/5/2011

8.22%

5/6/2011

8.14%

5/10/2011

8.07%

5/11/2011

8.15%

5/12/2011

8.10%

5/16/2011

8.16%

5/17/2011

8.10%

5/19/2011

8.08%

5/20/2011

8.08%

5/25/2011

8.12%

5/26/2011

8.12%

5/27/2011

8.12%

5/30/2011

8.11%

5/31/2011

7.99%

6/1/2011

7.95%

6/2/2011

7.94%

0.11%
-0.02%
0.01%
0.01%
0.00%
-0.02%
-0.09%
-0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.04%
-0.07%
0.00%
0.04%
-0.04%
0.00%
0.10%
0.05%
-0.02%
0.02%
0.01%
-0.05%
-0.06%
-0.02%
0.04%
-0.08%
-0.07%
0.08%
-0.05%
0.06%
-0.06%
-0.02%
0.00%
0.04%
0.00%
0.00%
-0.01%
-0.12%
-0.04%
-0.01%

1.34%
-0.24%
0.12%
0.12%
0.00%
-0.24%
-1.08%
-0.97%
0.37%
0.12%
0.49%
-0.85%
0.00%
0.49%
-0.49%
0.00%
1.23%
0.61%
-0.24%
0.24%
0.12%
-0.60%
-0.73%
-0.24%
0.49%
-0.97%
-0.86%
0.99%
-0.61%
0.74%
-0.74%
-0.25%
0.00%
0.50%
0.00%
0.00%
-0.12%
-1.48%
-0.50%
-0.13%

o de 2020. Cupn de 11%. Fuente: Ministerio de Hacienda.

TES 2020

TES 2020

010
4/7/2010 6/8/2010 8/10/2010 10/8/2010 12/14/2010 2/17/2011 4/28/2011
3/4/2010
5/6/2010 7/9/2010
9/9/2010 11/10/2010 1/19/2011 3/22/2011

Una tendencia a la baja

Frecuencia

Histograma
90
80
70
60
50
40
30

Column F

20
10

ay 0
or
...

0
y

0
0

Frecuencia

1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
17
30
54
81
57
43
25
14
5
3
1

Clase

umna1
-0.0002
0.0005
0.0000
0.0000
0.0091
0.0001
1.9651
-0.0853
0.0759
-0.0469
0.0290
-0.0568
335.0000

VALOR ACTUAL DE LA POCISION=P$BONO * VR


643,503,821
ACTUAL
VOLATILIDAD PRECIO= VOLATILIDAD TASA * DURACION MODIFICADA
PRECIO
0.404%
COBERTURA
95%
Z
-1.64

VALORACION DEL BONO


VN DE LA INVERSION
VN
FECHA DE VENCIMIENTO
CUPON
FECHA DE VALORAC
TASA MERCADO
BASE

ay 0
or
...

Column F

METODO PARIMETRICO

500,000,000
100%
7/24/2020
11% AO VENCIDO
6/2/2011
7.94% EA
365 DIAS AL AO

FECHA PROX PAGO CUPONESDIAS


7/24/2011
7/24/2012
7/24/2013
7/24/2014
7/24/2015
7/24/2016
7/24/2017
7/24/2018
7/24/2019
7/24/2020

AOS
52
418
783
1148
1513
1879
2244
2609
2974
3340

0.14
1.15
2.15
3.15
4.15
5.15
6.15
7.15
8.15
9.15

DURACION (DUR) Dur Mod = Dur/1+i=% A


DELTA i
Cual es el % CAMBIO EN PRECIO

VAR ($)
VAR (%)

MODIFICADA

FI
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
11%
111%

(4,276,217.16) PERDIDAS MAX EN UN DIA


-0.6645%

VP FI
VP FI/PRECIO. ESPONDERACION
LA PONDERACION
*T
0.10881
8%
0.01
0.10078
8%
0.09
0.09337
7%
0.16
0.08650
7%
0.21
0.08014
6%
0.26
0.07423
6%
0.3
0.06877
5%
0.33
0.06371
5%
0.35
0.05902
5%
0.37
0.55167
43%
3.92

PRECIO
128.701%
SUCIO
119.268%
DIAS Q NO LE CORRESPONDEN
313
PRECIO LIMPIO
5/31/2017

100%

6.0022

(DUR) Dur Mod = Dur/1+i=% A precio


5.56
ante una variacion de 100 puntos basicos (1%), OSEA LA TASA SUBE
1%
% CAMBIO EN PRECIO
-0.06

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