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Markov Chains and Boardgames like Monopoly with Mathematica 4-5-2008

Markov Chains and Boardgames like Monopoly with Mathematica 4-5-2008

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Published by bilisoly
How to use Mathematica to analyze board games like Chutes and Ladders and Monopoly using Markov Chains.
How to use Mathematica to analyze board games like Chutes and Ladders and Monopoly using Markov Chains.

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Published by: bilisoly on Jun 27, 2011
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11/14/2012

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Using Mathematica for Analyzing BoardGames to Teach the Basics of Markov Chains
Academic Computing ConferenceApril 5, 2008 enra onneccu ae nversyRoger Bilisoly, Ph.D.Department of Mathematical SciencesCentral Connecticut State UniversityNew Britain, Connecticut
 
Conditional Probability
Let A, B be two eventsP(A | B) = Probability of A given that B hashappened. = an
 –This is the proportion of B’s that are also A’s
Example: Draw 5 cards
 P(5
th
card an Ace | first 4 cards are Aces) = 0
Roger Bilisoly 4-08
 
Independence
If P(A | B) = P(A), then knowing about Bmakes no difference when computing theprobability of A= =result of a coin flip. Obviously we have:
 P(A | B) = P(A) P(B | A) = P(B)
This implies P(A and B) = P(A)*P(B)
Roger Bilisoly 4-08

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