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RELEASEDUNDERAlA.INFORMATIONUNCLASSIFIEDDIVULGUE
E~fifJJ,pE
LALAIRENSEIGNEMENTSNONCLASSIFIES
Annex
ScienceandTechnology(S&T)
Drivers
GeographicdiffusionofS&T.ThelongUSdominanceofawiderangeoffieldsinscienceandnologywilldiminishastheglobalscientificpIeldbecomesflatterandmorediverse.LargeinvestmentinbroaddevelopedandemergingnglobaleconomiccompetiProliferationofdefenduetosecurity-relatedfeloops.Proliferationof.alinnovationsfeedbackloops.Icontinuetoprovidesbetweenbrainandmindprocessesthatcanbeusedtoprovideotherbesidesovertbehaviourandchologyexperiments.Giventhe.cetohumankind,thisdomainoflopment(R&D)islikelytooffersomeoundchanges.
exponentialgrowthandaccelerationoftingfromapositivefeedbackloopwherebythetoolsfromapreviousroundofinnovationareusedtomakestillbettertoolsforthenext.Agingpopulations(andheightenedhealthawareness)willdrivegreaterresearchintotechnologiesdesignedspecificallyfortheelderly(includingpersonalizedmedicine)whichwillcreateanotherpositivefeedback
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RELEASEDUNDERAlA.INFORMATIONUNCLASSIFIED
DIVULGU~~~RTU
DELALAIRENSEIGNEMENTS
N~~y
2040
CLASSIFI
loopasthesetechnologiesextendlifeexpectancyevenfurther.Convergenceofscientificknowledgeandunderstandingofphenomenonatthenano-scale(e.g.,theconfluenceofIT,biomedicalandmaterialsscience)isfacilitatinginterdisciplinaryR&D,whichisprovidingrapidadvancesinpracticallyallS&Tdomains.Internet"Web2.0"developmentpeople,ratherthanjustinformglobalsocialnetworks-oftenobjectives(opencollaboratiWikipedia,beingaprimeAnincreasinglyprofougenome(intraaswellmanipulateitforecifictyto
unicationsorsthatconsumeproliferation-i.
e.,
globalnetworkanditsmesofinformationwilldthereforeprogress)inintelligencesystems.
rergen
ce+-preas,
television,Internet,sanextraordinarypropagandareachsmanipulationofpublicopinion.eincreasesine-crimeandcyberattackscoupledwiththepersonalandeconomicimperativestoprotectdataprivacyandintellectualpropertyisdrivingagrowingdemandtobolstercybersecuritythroughbiometrics,cryptographyandothertechnologies.Reductioninglobalreservesoffossilfuels(coupledwiththeclimateimpactcausedbytheburningoffossilfuels)willgeneratesignificantdemandforR&Dintonew
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RELEASEDUNDERAlA.INFORMATIONUNCLASSIFIEDDIVULGUE
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Annex
alternativeenergytechnologies-socalled"green"or"clean"technologies.Aconcernoverlabourshortages(resultingfromshiftingdemographics)isgeneratingsignificantinvestmentinroboticsandautomation.Roboticsandautomationwillchangethenatureofwork,particularlyindevelopednations.Theverysamedevelopmentsinteculture,andcommunicationsthrapidpaceofglobalization,"non-state"actorstoassumpotentiallymoredewaspossibleforthemIncreaseinsocietalafflucoupledwiththedrivingaren.areassuchasothers.,economlCS,ablingthe.so-called
d
thansuretimecedequipmentisteurscienceinlogyamong
andtechnologyhaslededscientificprogressisnotTheneedtoestablish~.l.l.L.l.lcA.lks,ndtopromotedardstoguidescientificologicaldevelopment,isbecomingtion,technologicalcomplexity,interdependence,terrorism,climateandenergyvolatility,andpandemicpotentialareincreasingthelevelofriskthatsocietiesandorganizationsnowface.Risksalsoareincreasinglyinterrelated;disruptionsinoneareacancascadeinmultipledirections.
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