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Figure11:SeeuFigure12:TheHumanDimensionFuturesWheel
f;G)GQ.
85
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RENSEIGNEMENTS
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2040
CLASSIFI
Notes
1
JeromeC.Glenn,Chapter:IntroductiontoTheFuturesResearchMethodsSeries,AC/UNUMillenniumProjectFuturesResearchMethodology_V2.0:6.
2
JeromeC.Glenn,Chapter4:TheFuturesWheel,AC/UNUMillenniumProjectFuturesResearchMethodology_V2.0:3.
3
Ibid.
5
4
[12]JeromeC.Glenn,Chapter4:ThAC/UNUMillenniumProjectFuturesV2.0:4-6.
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Futures
CLASSIFIES
DevelopingAlternativeFutures
Analternativefutureisalogical,coherent,detailed,andortantactivityforanplexworld;andtheexcluded.Alternativechangesintheoperatingceandindeedshapethetiesinfuturedecades.Whileitisectsofthealternativefuturesmay
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tcanassistinguidinglong-rangeessence,theprocessprovidesariskagainstuncertainty.Thereexistapproachestocreatingalternativefuturesallofwhichresemble,toacertaindegree,theprocessdescribedbelowinFigure13:internallyconsistentdescriptionofaplauenvironment.Alternativefuturesprovideagainstuncertaintyandperhapstofuturerequirements.Thetermalteinterchangeablywithalternatefuturescenarios.Forourpurpdescribeinobjectiveterms,scenario,thenextstepintheincorporatingthecompotsofprobabilityofeachaltrather,weconsciouslyimplausible"standard.tureoperatingtohedge
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ofpossibleisoftenusedand
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story
futures.Theisnotassessed;meetsa"not
87
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