PPP Release NM 630930

Public Policy Polling3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604Phone: 888 621-6988Web: www.publicpolicypolling.comEmail: information@publicpolicypolling.com

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE June 30, 2011INTERVIEWS: Tom Jensen 919-744-6312IF YOU HAVE BASIC METHODOLOGICAL QUESTIONS, PLEASE E-MAILinformation@publicpolicypolling.com, OR CONSULT THE FINAL PARAGRAPHOF THE PRESS RELEASE

Wilson, Heinrich lead for NM Sen. noms, Bachmann for pres

Raleigh, N.C. –

Bolstered by greater name recognition, Martin Heinrich has a strong leadover Hector Balderas in the Democratic Primary, 47-24. Although Heinrich is weakeramong Hispanics, who make up 46% of the Democratic primary electorate, he still leadsBalderas 39-36. However, since a majority of Democratic voters are still unwilling togive an opinion of Balderas, Balderas has more room to grow.On the Republican side, voters are ready to give Heather Wilson a shot in the general inher second run for the senate. Even if Gary Johnson chooses to abandon his long shotpresidential run and pursue a senate seat, he will start off with a major deficit in theprimary. Wilson leads with 43% to Johnson’s 22%, John Sanchez’s 18%, Greg Sowards’4%, and Bill English’s 3%. Without Johnson, Wilson’s reaches majority support. Shetakes 52% to 24% for Sanchez, 8% for Sowards, and 4% for English. Wilson leads bystrong margins across the Republican ideological spectrum. She leads Sanchez 48-19among Moderates and 48-31 among very conservatives.Michele Bachmann has surged to become Mitt Romney’s chief competitor in each statePPP has polled since the last Republican presidential debate, and New Mexico is nodifferent. With Sarah Palin and Johnson in the race, Bachmann leads the pack with 21%to Romney’s 18%, Johnson’s 13%, Palin’s 11%, Herman Cain’s 10%, Tim Pawlenty’s7%, Newt Gingrich’s 6%, and Ron Paul’s 5%. It’s hard to see how Johnson can win thenomination if he’s stuck in third place in his home state. Without Johnson, the race is tiedwith Bachmann and Romney each getting 22% of the vote. They are followed by Palinwith 14%, Cain with 10%, Pawlenty and Paul with 7%, Gingrich with 4%, and JonHuntsman with 3%. Without Palin or Johnson, Bachmann has the lead. She takes 27% toRomney’s 23%, Cain’s 12%, Paul’s 8%, Pawlenty’s 7%, Gingrich’s 6%, and Huntsman’s4%. Bachmann’s advantage stems from her strength with very conservative voters whereshe leads Romney more than 2-1.PPP surveyed 400 usual New Mexico Republican primary voters and 400 usualDemocratic primary voters, with a +/-4.9 margin of error, from June 23

th

to 26

th

. This pollwas not paid for or authorized by any campaign or political organization. PPP surveys areconducted through automated telephone interviews. PPP is a Democratic pollingcompany, but polling expert Nate Silver of the

New York Times

found that its surveys in2010 actually exhibited a slight bias toward Republican candidates.

June 23-26, 2011

Survey of 400 Republican primary voters

June 23-26, 2011

Survey of 400 Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

New Mexico Survey Results

Q1

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Michele Bachmann?50%

Favorable

........................................................

24%

Unfavorable

....................................................

27%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q2

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Herman Cain?47%

Favorable

........................................................

14%

Unfavorable

....................................................

40%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q3

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Sarah Palin?62%

Favorable

........................................................

27%

Unfavorable

....................................................

11%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q4

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Tim Pawlenty?37%

Favorable

........................................................

21%

Unfavorable

....................................................

42%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q5

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Mitt Romney?50%

Favorable

........................................................

31%

Unfavorable

....................................................

19%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q6

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Gary Johnson?47%

Favorable

........................................................

40%

Unfavorable

....................................................

13%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q7

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof John Sanchez?37%

Favorable

........................................................

19%

Unfavorable

....................................................

44%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q8

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Greg Sowards?10%

Favorable

........................................................

13%

Unfavorable

....................................................

76%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q9

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinionof Heather Wilson?66%

Favorable

........................................................

21%

Unfavorable

....................................................

14%

Not sure

..........................................................

Q10

Given the choices of Bill English, GaryJohnson, John Sanchez, Greg Sowards, andHeather Wilson, who would you most like tosee as the Republican Senate candidate nextyear?3%

Bill English

......................................................

22%

Gary Johnson

.................................................

18%

John Sanchez

.................................................

4%

Greg Sowards

.................................................

43%

Heather Wilson

...............................................

9%

Someone else/Not sure

..................................

June 23-26, 2011

Survey of 400 Republican primary voters

June 23-26, 2011

Survey of 400 Republican primary voters

3020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-69883020 Highwoods Blvd.Raleigh, NC 27604information@publicpolicypolling.com / 888 621-6988

Q11

If the choices were just Bill English, JohnSanchez, Greg Sowards, and Heather Wilson,who would you most like to see as theRepublican Senate candidate next year?4%

Bill English

......................................................

24%

John Sanchez

.................................................

8%

Greg Sowards

.................................................

52%

Heather Wilson

...............................................

12%

Someone else/Not sure

..................................

Q12

Given the choices of Michele Bachmann,Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman,Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and MittRomney, who would you most like to see asthe Republican candidate for President nextyear?22%

Michele Bachmann

.........................................

10%

Herman Cain

...................................................

4%

Newt Gingrich

.................................................

3%

Jon Huntsman

.................................................

14%

Sarah Palin

.....................................................

7%

Ron Paul

.........................................................

7%

Tim Pawlenty

..................................................

22%

Mitt Romney

....................................................

12%

Someone else/Not sure

..................................

Q13

If Sarah Palin didn’t run, and the choices were just Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, NewtGingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, TimPawlenty, and Mitt Romney, who would youmost like to see as the nominee?27%

Michele Bachmann

.........................................

12%

Herman Cain

...................................................

6%

Newt Gingrich

.................................................

4%

Jon Huntsman

.................................................

8%