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Table Of Contents

Executive Summary
1 Introduction
2 Determinants of the price of gold
2.1 The distinctive properties of gold
2.2 Gold and the general price level
2.3 Gold and real interest rates
2.4 Gold and the US dollar
2.5 Gold and financial stress
2.6 Gold and political instability
2.7 Gold and official sector activity
3 Modelling the price of gold
3.1 Estimation of a gold price equation
3.2 Decomposing two key historical periods
3.3 The drivers of the price of gold going forward
4 Alternative inflation scenarios
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Baseline scenario
Baseline Scenario
4.3 Deflation
4.4 Stagflation
4.5 High inflation
5 Gold in an efficient investment portfolio
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Optimisation results
6 Conclusion
7 Appendix – equation details
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Final Oxford Economics Report 010711

Final Oxford Economics Report 010711

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Published by: acbacb132132 on Jul 11, 2011
Copyright:Attribution Non-commercial


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