The Coming China Wars: Where They Will Be Fought and How They Can Be Won,Revised and Expanded Editionby Peter NavarroPublisher: FT PressPub Date: April 24, 2008Print ISBN-10: 0-13-235982-0Print ISBN-13: 978-0-13-235982-5Web ISBN-10: 0-13-714541-1Web ISBN-13: 978-0-13-714541-6Pages: 240Praise for The Coming China Wars"This is a well researched and illuminating book and is a necessary counter to alarge body of opinion that posits an inevitable and even peaceful rise of China andchooses to ignore most of the author's message."—Richard Fisher, Vice President, International Assessment and Strategy Center"What Al Gore does for climate change, Peter Navarro does for China. This bookwill hit you right between the eyes. A gargantuan wake-up call."—Stuart L. Hart, S.C. Johnson Chair of Sustainable Global Enterprise, CornellUniversity, Author of Capitalism at the Crossroads"A must read to be fully informed on U.S.-China trade. Hard nosed and impactful.Navarro lays it out."—Peter Morici, Professor, Robert H. Smith School of Business, University of Maryland"Peter Navarro is that rarest and most valuable of China-watchers—an economistwho sees the big strategic picture as well. The Coming China Wars contains the kindof realistic analysis needed by all Americans today, from voters to presidentialcandidates."—Alan Tonelson, U.S. Business & Industrial CouncilAuthor's Comment on the Updated and Expanded EditionWhy go through all the trouble of writing an expanded and updated version of TheWorld Is Flat only a year after the book was first published? I can offer a very brief answer: because I could and because I must.—Tom Friedman
I offer this updated and expanded edition of The Coming China Wars because, likeTom Friedman, I can and I must. I can because, based on the initial success of thehardcover version of this book, my publisher thought it would be a great idea to offera low-cost, paperback edition.I must write Version 2.0 of The Coming China Wars for at least three reasons. Thefirst relates to one of the lesser known, but more amusing quotations of John F.Kennedy. After a bruising campaign against Richard Nixon in the 1960 election, thenew President would quip: "When we got into office, the thing that surprised memost was to find that things were just as bad as we've been saying they were."My own surprise is not that the world's emerging "China Problem" is as bad as I saidit was in the first edition. Rather, it is that many of the problems that I documentedin that edition have become significantly worse—and have progressed much morerapidly than even I had projected. Indeed, since the initial publication of the book,not a day seems to go by without yet another chilling revelation about the dangers of a world economy increasingly "Made in China."These revelations span the spectrum from exploding cell phone batteries, shreddedtires, and fake Lipitor to poisonous toothpaste and deadly toys. But they also includestartling news about broader global issues such as China's provocative blasting of asatellite out of the sky; its threats to "go nuclear" on American financial markets bydumping U.S. bonds and dollars; a rapid escalation in the harassment of foreign journalists; and China's continued and frankly despicable role in tragedies and eventssuch as the Burmese repression, the ongoing genocide in Darfur, and a rogue Iran'sdestabilization of the Middle East.The second reason why I must update and expand The Coming China Wars is that,based on a large mound of reader correspondence, I clearly missed coverage of anumber of key issues. That's why I have added several new chapters to this edition.One chapter absolutely essential for consumers and businesses operating in Chinadeals in much greater detail with what has become an epidemic of contaminated anddefective products from China. Consumers need to know how to protect themselvesfrom this epidemic. Business executives likewise must learn how to ensure qualitycontrol when offshoring to the People's Republic—or risk costly recalls anddebilitating lawsuits.A second new chapter deals with China's very rapid Red Army buildup. Sincepublication of the first edition of this book, it has come to light that China's militarybudget is growing roughly twice as fast as its own red-hot economy. China's rapidand highly provocative military buildup includes modernization of what is already theworld's largest standing army; construction of a deepwater navy to challenge theUnited States on the high seas; the addition of advanced nuclear submarines capableof striking U.S. cities with nuclear weapons; and a Chinese Air Force powered by themost advanced fighters and bombers available from the Russians. The political andstrategic implications of China's arms buildup are worth a very close look, particularlybecause this buildup is quite literally being funded by the dollars that you and Ispend every day on cheap Chinese goods in places such as Wal-Mart and Target.A third new chapter very closely related to China's military adventures focuses onThe Coming China Star Wars. While the U.S. space program continues its parabolicfade amidst budget cuts, embarrassing scandals, and interminable shuttle delays,
China is aggressively moving forward with plans for a permanent Chinese spacestation, colonization of the moon, and travel to Mars. In conjunction with these boldplans, the Chinese are rapidly rolling out a massive space-related infrastructure thatincludes a powerful satellite network, a Global Positioning System (GPS) constellationknown as Beidou, a fleet of deepwater space tracking ships, and ground stationsestablished in Chinese client nations across the globe that will be capable of trackingU.S. military assets. The critical question examined in this chapter is whether Chinawill be a friend or foe as it reaches for the stars; and you might find at least onepossible answer to that question very disquieting.A fourth new chapter squarely addresses China's human rights abuses, itssuppression of free speech, China's brutal subjugation of Tibet, and what hasbecome the world's biggest prison. Many readers questioned why I failed to addressthese topics in the first edition. As an economist, I originally thought these topicswere more properly in the domain of politics. What changed my mind on this pointhave been several incidents involving self-censorship to gain access to the Chineseeconomy by three of the world's largest tech companies and Internet searchengines: Google, Microsoft, and Yahoo! In the most despicable case, Yahoo!executives, hungry for business in China, played a key role in the jailing of a journalist who committed no other crime than forwarding an email message. Basedon incidents such as these, it's clear to me that most of China's economic problemscannot be resolved without greater political transparency, and greater politicaltransparency inevitably means the lifting of China's totalitarian curtain.The third and final reason why I believe I must offer this updated and expandedversion of The Coming China Wars is that I want to provide a much better set of answers to the core question raised by this book: How can we together fight and winthese coming wars in a way that will benefit both China and the rest of the world? Itis in this area of inquiry where critics found the most fault with the first edition.For example, in his thoughtful review in the Asia Times, Benjamin Shobert wrote thatThe Coming China Wars "serves as an important touchstone for any prudentdiscussion regarding the implications to China's growth." However, Shobert alsonoted that the book "would have been more complete with an expanded emphasis onsolutions to the issues he introduces." Echoing this theme, Publishers Weekly opinedthat "this informative book will teach readers to understand the dragon, just not howto vanquish it."To firmly address this criticism, I have not only substantially expanded my own set of recommendations for consumers, workers, business executives, and governmentofficials. I also offer sets of solutions that have been proposed by some of the mostsophisticated China watchers in the world.I hope that you find this updated and expanded edition of The Coming China Wars tobe a very useful tool to help you navigate through the increasingly rough seas of thetwenty-first century. My primary goal in this book remains that of a "call to action."My fervent hope is that by raising the level of awareness about the world's growingChina Problem, this awareness will translate into economic and political actions bothwithin and outside of China that are long overdue.Introduction to China's "Butterfly Effect on Steroids"
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