Chapter 1 Introduction
1.1 Who and What is this Handbook for?
1.2 What is the structure of the Handbook?
1.3 What additional resources are available?
2.1c How does Technological Innovation Feature in the Knowledge
2.1d What about non-Technological Innovations?
2.1f What about Knowledge itself?
2.1h Can we measure Knowledge Society Developments?
2.1i How does Knowledge Society relate to social change?
2.1j What does the Knowledge Society mean for Working Conditions?
2.1k What does the Knowledge Society mean for Industrial Relations?
2.1l What does the Knowledge Society mean for Living Conditions?
2.1m Why might we need Knowledge Society Foresight?
2.1n Further resources on the Knowledge Society
2.2a What is Foresight?
2.2d Isn’t Foresight just familiar futures research?
2.2e What are the main varieties of Foresight activity?
2.2f Why do people undertake Foresight?
2.2g How can Foresight be brought to bear on the Knowledge Society?
2.2h What experiences have there already been of KS Foresight?
2.2i Further resources on Foresight
3.1 What are the main decisions to be made about a Foresight exercise?
3.2 How will the focus of KS Foresight be determined?
3.4 What is the most suitable time horizon for KS Foresight?
3.5 Who will pay for KS Foresight and how long will it take?
4.1 FORECASTING APPROACHES mainly based on expert
4.1a What are the main methods for eliciting evidence from experts?
4.1b What is Genius Forecasting? How can it be used?
4.1d What is the Delphi Method?
4.1e How can Delphi methods be used?
4.1f What does Delphi require?
4.1g What is ‘La prospective’?
4.2a What are the advantages and disadvantages of working with
4.2b What is Trend Extrapolation? How can it be used?
4.2c What are the problems with Trend Extrapolation?
4.2d What is Simulation Modelling?
4.2e Where is Computer Simulation used?
4.2f What are the advantages and problems of Simulation Modelling?
4.2g Further resources on Forecasting
5.1 PANELS, EXPERT GROUPS AND WORKSHOPS
5.1a What is the role of Panels?
5.1b Who should be Panel members?
5.1c What support do Panels require?
5.1d What is the role of other Expert Groups?
5.1e What is the role of Scenario Workshops?
5.2 INFORMATION INPUTS FOR GROUPS
5.2a What information inputs might groups need?
5.2b What is SWOT analysis? How is it used as an Information Input?
5.2c What is Benchmarking? How is it used as an Information Input?
5.2d What are Issue Surveys? How are they used as Information Inputs?
5.3 WORKING GROUP METHODS
5.3a What is Brainstorming? How can it be used?
5.3b What are Mindmapping and Argument Analysis? How can they be
5.3c What is Simulation Gaming? How can it be used?
6.1 What are Scenarios? Why are they used?
6.2 What is Multiple Scenario Analysis? How can it be used?
6.3 What are Scenario Workshops For?
6.4 How are Scenario Workshops Organised?
6.5 What is STEEPV?
6.6 Further resources on scenarios
7.1 What outputs and deliverables can be expected from KS Foresight?
7.2 What sorts of publications should be prepared?
7.3 What are Critical Technologies?
7.4 What are Action Plans and Demonstrators? What is their role?
7.5 How could the outputs from a KS Foresight exercise be followed up?
7.6 Further resources on using Foresight-type processes
8.2 How can stakeholders’ expectations for KSF be managed?
8.3 How and why could KS Foresight become a continuous activity?
Chapter 9 Concluding remarks
ANNEX A : Foundations of Futures and Foresight Research