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SEB report: A staggering world economy

SEB report: A staggering world economy

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Published by SEB Group
The global economic situation is serious but not unmanageable. Amid a sluggish economic climate in the next couple of years, the OECD countries will achieve annual GDP growth of only 1-2 per cent. Perceived economic risks are tilted towards the downside, with a recession risk of 30 per cent, SEB’s economists say in the latest version of Nordic Outlook released Tuesday.
The global economic situation is serious but not unmanageable. Amid a sluggish economic climate in the next couple of years, the OECD countries will achieve annual GDP growth of only 1-2 per cent. Perceived economic risks are tilted towards the downside, with a recession risk of 30 per cent, SEB’s economists say in the latest version of Nordic Outlook released Tuesday.

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Published by: SEB Group on Aug 30, 2011
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08/31/2011

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World is staggering under debtburdens but will avoid recessionGermany and Nordic countrieswill be affected, despiteunderlying strength
Nordic Outlook
Economic Research – August 2011
 
Contents
Nordic Outlook August 2011 | 3
International overview 5The United States 14Japan 19Asia 20The euro zone 23The United Kingdom 28Eastern Europe 29The Baltics 30Sweden 32Denmark 38Norway 40Finland 44Economic data 46
Boxes
A 30 per cent recession risk 7Commodity prices will be resilient 8Will the euro survive? 10What do alling petrol prices mean? 16Hukou an obstacle to urbanisation and growth 21Energy subsidies a heavy budget burden 22Euro zone crisis deepening 27Falling home prices oten lead to lower GDP 34
 
4 | Nordic Outlook August 2011Economic Research
This report was published on August 30, 2011.Cut-o date or calculations and oreasts was August 25, 2011.Robert Bergqvist Håkan FrisénChie Economist Head o Economic Research+ 46 8 506 230 16 + 46 8 763 80 67Daniel Bergvall Mattias BruérEconomist Economist+46 8 763 85 94 + 46 8 763 85 06Ann Enshagen Lavebrink Mikael JohanssonEditorial Assistant Economist+ 46 8 763 80 77 + 46 8 763 80 93Andreas Johnson Tomas LindströmEconomist Economist+46 8 763 80 32 + 46 8 763 80 28Gunilla Nyström Ingela HemmingGlobal Head o Personal Finance Research Global Head o Small Business Research+ 46 8 763 65 81 + 46 8 763 82 97Susanne Eliasson Johanna WahlstenPersonal Finance Analyst Small Business Analyst+ 46 8 763 65 88 + 46 8 763 80 72SEB Economic Research, K-A3, SE-106 40 StockholmContributions to this report have been made by Thomas Köbel, SEB Frankurt/M and Olle Holmgren,Trading Strategy. Stein Bruun and Erica Blomgren, SEB Oslo are responsible or the Norwegian analysis.Jakob Lage Hansen and Thomas Thygesen are responsible or the Danish analysis.

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