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Table Of Contents

1. Introduction
1.1 The current recession
1.2 The study
1.3 The analysis
1.4 Structure of the report
2. The consequences of the current recession for the UK labour market
2.1 Introduction
2.2 The origins of the current recession
2.3 The current recession in historical context
Table 2.1 Four recent periods of recession in the UK
Figure 2.2 Quarterly change in Gross Value Added, 1970-2008
2.4 The impact of the recession on employment and worklessness
Table 2.2 Unemployment in the last three UK recessions
2.5 The differential impact of recession on the labour market
2.6 Conclusion
3. Gender
3.1 Introduction
3.2 Measures used to examine the impact of the recession
3.3 The impact of previous recessions on women’s employment
3.4 Interactions between gender, age, disability and ethnicity
3.5 The current recession
3.6 Effects on vulnerable women
3.7 Regional differences
3.8 Other impacts of the recession on women and men
3.9 The future of women’s and men’s employment post-recession
3.10 Conclusion
4. Age
4.1 Introduction
4.2 Older workers and employment
Figure 4.1 Relationship between age and unemployment
Figure 4.2 Claimant count stock by younger and older age groups
4.3 The impact of the current recession on older people’s employment
Figure 4.3 Output gap and older men’s labour force participation
Table 4.2 Coefficient on output gap for older men
Table 4.3 Comparisons of past and projected economic downturns
4.4 The impact of the current recession on young people’s employment
Table 4.5 Applications to university by UK residents
4.5 Conclusion
5. Disability
5.1 Introduction
5.2 Defining disability
5.3 The labour market performance of disabled people
Table 5.1 Employment position of disabled people
5.4 The labour market position of disabled people aged 25-49
Table 5.2 Economic activity by disability status for men aged 25-49
Table 5.3 Economic activity by disability status for women aged 25-49
Figure 5.3 Occupational distribution of employment for men, 2008
5.5 Previous recessions and evidence of the impact on disabled people
Figure 5.5 Number of Incapacity Benefit claimants
5.6 The impact of the current recession on disabled people
5.7 Conclusion
6. Ethnicity
6.1 Introduction
Figure 6.2 Male economic activity rates by ethnic group, 1992-2008
Figure 6.3 Female economic activity rates by ethnic group, 1992-2008
Figure 6.5 Male employment rates by ethnic group, 1992-2008
Figure 6.6 Female employment rates by ethnic group, 1992-2008
Figure 6.7 Unemployment rates by ethnic group, 1992-2008
Figure 6.8 Male unemployment rates by ethnic group, 1992-2008
Figure 6.9 Female unemployment rates by ethnic group, 1992-2008
6.4 The impact of the current recession on ethnic minority groups
Table 6.2 Working age labour market rates by ethnic group, 2008
Table 6.3 Working age labour market rates by ethnic group and gender
6.5 Conclusion
7. Projections of employment
7.1 Introduction
7.2 Caveats to the projections
7.3 The economy and employment over the medium term
Table 7.1 Macroeconomic indicators
7.4 Projections of employment
Table 7.2 Employment outlook to 2020
Figure 7.3 Employment levels assuming different rates of recovery
Figure 7.5 Change in employment by sector
Figure 7.7 Changes in employment by occupation
7.5 Projections of employment by gender
Table 7.3 Male and female employment
Figure 7.9 Men’s and women’s employment under different scenarios
Figure 7.10 Male and female sectoral employment
Figure 7.11 Changes in male and female sectoral employment
Figure 7.12 Male and female occupational employment
Figure 7.13 Changes in male and female occupational employment
7.6 Projections of employment by age group
Table 7.4 Employment outlook by age
Figure 7.15 Employment by age group and gender, 1992-2020
Figure 7.16 Alternative medium-term trends: age
Figure 7.18 Changes in employment by sector and age
Figure 7.19 Occupational employment by age
Table 7.5 Employment outlook for disabled people
Figure 7.21 Employment by disability status, 1998-2020
Figure 7.22 Alternative medium-term trends: disability
Figure 7.23 Sectoral employment by disability status
Figure 7.24 Changes in employment by sector and disability
Figure 7.25 Occupational employment by disability status
Figure 7.26 Changes in employment by occupation by disability status
7.8 Projections of employment by ethnic group
Table 7.6 Employment outlook for ethnic minorities
Figure 7.27 Employment by ethnic group, 1992-2020
Employment by ethnic group, 1992-2020
Employment by ethnic group, male, 1992-2020
Figure 7.30 Changes in sectoral employment by ethnic group
Figure 7.31 Occupational employment by ethnic group
Figure 7.32 Changes in occupational employment by ethnic group
7.10 Conclusion
8. Projections of employment by nation
8.1 Introduction
8.2 Overall trends
Table 8.1 Sub-national employment totals, 1993-2020
Table 8.2 Sub-national annual rates of employment change, 1993-2020
8.3 Gender
Table 8.3 Sub-national gender shares of employment, 1993-2020
Figure 8.1 Sub-national male employment by occupation, 1993-2010
Figure 8.2 Sub-national female employment by occupation, 1993-2010
8.4 Age
Table 8.4 Sub-national employment totals by age group, 1993-2020
Table 8.6 Sub-national employment shares by age group, 1993-2020
Figure 8.3 Sub-national employment by age group, 1993-2010
8.5 Disability
Table 8.7 Sub-national employment by type of disability, 1993-2020
Table 8.9 Sub-national employment shares by type of disability, 1993-2020
8.6 Ethnicity
Table 8.10 Sub-national employment by ethnic group, 1993-2020
Table 8.11 Annual rate of change in employment by ethnic group, 1993-2020
Table 8.12 Sub-national employment shares by ethnic group, 1993-2020
8.7 Conclusion
9. Conclusion
9.1 The economy and employment
9.2 The recession and equality
9.3 The evidence from previous recessions
9.4 The economic recovery
9.5 Future implications of the recession
9.6 The equality agenda and the recession
Annex A Sectoral and occupational change
Annex B Additional tables for national projections
Table B1 England: employment by age group and occupation, 1993-2020
Table B2 Scotland: employment by age group and occupation, 1993-2020
Table B3 Wales: employment by age group and occupation, 1993-2020
Table B4 London: employment by age group and occupation, 1993-2020
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47 the Equality Impacts of the Current Recession

47 the Equality Impacts of the Current Recession

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Published by: vidhyasuran on Aug 31, 2011
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