SDR: New Chapter Study (March 2002)Dr. Jeffrey Peter Bradford
Step TitleIconIcon descriptionDetail
2.0 Reasoning architecture
ReasoningArchitectureThe hub for the process (and electronically theresources comprising this exercise).
2.1 Support Materials
VariousMiscellaneousTo ensure transparency, a clear indication of materials drawn-upon in creating the model.
Systemic AnalysisThe use of influence diagramming to consider priorities in devoting scarce resources to threatanalysis.
2.3 Policy Framework
GoalsConsidering the goals of UK defence policy over multiple time-frames.
The reasoning architecture can be configured in any number of steps, iterations etc.using the tools encompassed within. This particular configuration places an accent onthe challenge of what capabilities must be developed in order to ensure the correctforce structure for the tasks envisaged of it, in the most likely operating environment.
Figure 2.0.1 Reasoning Architecture for UK MoD "New Chapter" study.
2.4 Legacy Forces
GoalsQuestions capability change since SDR and thereadiness of those forces for their military tasks.
2.5 Regional Analysis
Scenario PlanningApplying thinking from ‘strategic’ step toconstruct a model for a hypothetical region.
Scenario PlanningConstructing a strategy space looking at currentmilitary tasks.
2.7 Force Elements
Scenario PlanningScenarios around key force multiplier andstrategic options for enhancing capability.
2.8 Region / MT / FE
Scenario Planning(merged)Merging the three scenario/strategy efforts aboveto consider the most logical force structure giventhe military tasks most consistent with the future.
Synoptic evaluationWhere force development strategies from theabove effort are rated against performance goalsover three time periods to identify best choicesfor capability development.
2.10 Goals for choice
GoalsThose goals informing strategic choice above.
Hotspot Scanning3D graphing tool depicting resource allocationwithin defence.
2.12 Support materials
VariousMiscellaneousVarious sources of supporting data.
Risk AssessmentFollowing the choice of strategy to pursue, thistool assists in identifying implementation risks.